Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Jerry Sandusky's Wife Tries To Run A Reporter Over

Projections And Other Stuff

From Marc Normandin's chat on Baseball Prospectus:

Andrew (LA): You mentioned the Dodgers digging themselves into a hole, but what do you think of the NL West in 2007?

Marc Normandin: I think the NL West is going to be one of the more fun divisions to watch, with the Padres and D'backs fighting at the top, and the Dodgers and Rockies both capable of making some noise. There are some pretty good teams out there, but no one seems to give them much credit, for whatever reason.

I realize I tend to be pretty negative about the Dodgers, but I still think that they're the favorites as of this moment. Putting them below the Padres and the Diamondbacks at this moment is kind of scary. Am I alone in thinking that the Dodgers are still a step ahead of the rest of the division?

Update: Some more from the chat:

Andrew (LA): What wins out: The Dodger's farm system or Ned Colletti's inability to evaluate talent?

Marc Normandin: Depends on who leaves first, Logan White or Ned Colletti. As long as White is there, they should have the draft picks to trade for talent, but Colletti is going to have to bring in more of a haul than he has thus far in order to make the system more effective.

Thanks for stopping by Andrew. Andrew blogs at True Blue LA, where Ned Colletti's ineptness is brought up more often than Dodgers' fans probably like to see. Such is life.

I think I may make that last part my offical slogan.

And one not from me:

Jayson Werth (Philly): What do you think of my outlook going forward?

Marc Normandin: Lots of Jayson Werth questions today. I was never a big fan of Werth myself; I thought his bat was much more useful as a catcher than it was ever going to be as a corner outfielder. PECOTA agreed with me last year (.257/.341/.466) and I think his 2004 numbers were somewhat inflated by a fluke line drive rate. He was at 25% for the year, which no qualifying players even reached in 2004. If he?s healthy, I don?t expect much more than adequate catcher-esque batting numbers, except from an outfielder, which is a problem.

That's a bit of a shame, but I think those numbers are fine if Werth is in center.

Comment 5 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Marc Normandin Has Spoken
The only mystery bigger than why self-identified 20-year-old college junior Marc Normandin has his own chat at Baseball Prospectus is why you care enough about what he says about the Dodgers to make his declarations the subject of a post on your blog.

He says, in his chat, that he is a Padres fan, he has a cat named Brian Giles, he is a communications major, and he is not interested in television unless a show is a cartoon or is on Comedy Central.  All four of those things make his opinions on the Dodgers beneath the level of worthless.  I mean, sheesh.  Does a guy have to admit to typing his comments on baseball while wearing an article of women's underwear on his head like a hat before he loses credibility?

by CanuckDodger on Dec 21, 2006 12:28 AM PST reply actions  

Re
Because I tend to agree with what he has to say.

by Andrew on Dec 21, 2006 7:24 AM PST up reply actions  

Well hello there
Who wears panties for a hat? I have a chat at BP because I have a column there, I don't really see why that's a huge mystery.

Also, I was answering questions when those items came up, and I don't really see why any of that -- except for being a Padres fan -- has anything to do with my ability to evaluate the Dodgers. I think they're capable of causing some damage, but I like the Padres better in 2007, and I feel like the D'backs are just as good if not a little better thanks to their defense and lineup.

Thanks for stopping by the chat Andrew, it was nice seeing you there.

by Marc Normandin @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 8:43 AM PST up reply actions  

One last thing...
I have faith in my opinions on where teams are going to finish, but that doesn't mean it's my viewpoint and no one else's. As of this moment, I think that the Dodgers are going to finish in second or third in the NL West. If someone presents an argument otherwise that's convincing, it isn't like I can't change my tune :-)

Sorry for the vent, I got hammered with questions about the Dodgers as the chat was winding down, and just wanted to let that out.

by Marc Normandin @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 8:46 AM PST reply actions  

Marc
The Padres have played well over the last few years, and now with Maddux in the fold, they will be tougher to beat. Now, the D-Backs have alot of question marks-namely, their closer situation certainly is not settled. Valverde is one of the streakier closers in the NL. They have 4 rookies starting next year, one at SS, one in CF, one at C, and one in RF. It will be tough for them to keep up in the West next year.
BTW-YOU have not given any explanation as to why SD and Ariz will finish ahead of LA next year, especially when LA went out and got the ace they needed in Schmidt, have a more reliable CFer in Pierre who will steal 60 bases in '07. They have Russell MArtin for the full season, and everyone knows how well LA played when he was behind the plate. They quite possibly have the best starting pitching staff in the NL West, and their bullpen is solid with Saito and Broxton forming one of the better late inning tandems in the NL. Saito was absolutely lights out last year, leading ALL NL relievers in K's, with Broxton not far behind. They have Beimel and possibly Kuo as their lefty specialists, possibly Hendrickson also. They have the best bench in the NL with Saenz, Anderson, Martinez and possibly Loney and Kemp. Their starting lineup lacks a consistent power hitter, but they get on base, take alot of pitches, and hit with men in scoring position like no other lineup. They have the resources to trade for a power hitter when one presents itself. I don't blame Colletti for not trading LA's future for Manny Ramirez. It's,still quite possible they can trade for him.
Colletti took over a team that lost 90+ games in 2005 and went to the playoffs in 2006. What else did you expect in his 1st year, when they were playing with 3-4 rookies every game in the 1st half of the season?
And Andrew is quite negative on the Dodgers, he even admits it in a recent article.

by rayg @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 7:50 PM PST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

A place for Dodger fans to congregate without spending $15 on parking.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

100_1427_small
Dodger Blogger Softball Tourney Update

Recent FanPosts

N1209328_7139_small
True Blue Los Angeles Fantastical Base Ball League
Kemp_small
All-star predictions
Img_0247_small
Dodgers.com might have a job opening...
Small
Law Ranks Dodger System #12
Small
DODGERS -- 2 GREAT SEATS FOR SALE
Small
Joe Torre Horrow Show
2011-philly-game-me__2__small
2011 Dodgers Spreadsheet Project
Ed-ak286_scully_g_20091006143938_small
It is time to play - Name the BA Top 30
Small
Are you the Biggest Dodger Fan?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

2012 Dodgers Payroll

Italics denote estimates
Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $500,000 team control
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000 team control
LF 21 Rivera $4,000,000
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

IF/OF 6 Hairston $2,250,000
OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $485,000 team control

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000

CL 54 Guerra $485,000 team control
RHP 74
Jansen $500,000 team control
RHP 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000
RHP 66 MacDougal $650,000
LHP 57 Elbert $485,000 team control
RHP 36
Hawksworth $500,000 team control

TJ 41 De La Rosa $485,000 team control



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout

Totals
$112,162,432

For more detailed information, click here.

Players on 40-man roster used as roster
fillers until moves are made.

Current 40-man roster count: 40
(not including Belisario)

2012 Non-Roster Invitees

No Player Age*
63 Jose Ascanio rhp
27
61 Alberto Castillo lhp
36
56 Matt Chico lhp
29
33 John Grabow lhp
33
59 Angel Guzman rhp
30
47 Wil Ledezma lhp
31
72 Shane Lindsay rhp
27
62 Fernando Nieve rhp 29
73 Scott Rice lhp 30
70 Will Savage rhp
27
71 Ryan Tucker rhp
25
28 Jamey Wright rhp
37

30 Josh Bard c 34
82 Griff Erickson c 24
81 Matt Wallachc 26
67 Jeff Baisley 3b/1b 29
65 Luis Cruz ss/2b 28
37 Josh Fields 3b 29
64 Lance Zawadzki if 27
56 Cory Sullivan of 32

*Age on June 30, 2012

NRI count: 20

For more info, click here.


Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox