Projections And Other Stuff
From Marc Normandin's chat on Baseball Prospectus:
Marc Normandin: I think the NL West is going to be one of the more fun divisions to watch, with the Padres and D'backs fighting at the top, and the Dodgers and Rockies both capable of making some noise. There are some pretty good teams out there, but no one seems to give them much credit, for whatever reason.
I realize I tend to be pretty negative about the Dodgers, but I still think that they're the favorites as of this moment. Putting them below the Padres and the Diamondbacks at this moment is kind of scary. Am I alone in thinking that the Dodgers are still a step ahead of the rest of the division?
Update: Some more from the chat:
Marc Normandin: Depends on who leaves first, Logan White or Ned Colletti. As long as White is there, they should have the draft picks to trade for talent, but Colletti is going to have to bring in more of a haul than he has thus far in order to make the system more effective.
Thanks for stopping by Andrew. Andrew blogs at True Blue LA, where Ned Colletti's ineptness is brought up more often than Dodgers' fans probably like to see. Such is life.
And one not from me:
Marc Normandin: Lots of Jayson Werth questions today. I was never a big fan of Werth myself; I thought his bat was much more useful as a catcher than it was ever going to be as a corner outfielder. PECOTA agreed with me last year (.257/.341/.466) and I think his 2004 numbers were somewhat inflated by a fluke line drive rate. He was at 25% for the year, which no qualifying players even reached in 2004. If he?s healthy, I don?t expect much more than adequate catcher-esque batting numbers, except from an outfielder, which is a problem.
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Marc Normandin Has Spoken
He says, in his chat, that he is a Padres fan, he has a cat named Brian Giles, he is a communications major, and he is not interested in television unless a show is a cartoon or is on Comedy Central. All four of those things make his opinions on the Dodgers beneath the level of worthless. I mean, sheesh. Does a guy have to admit to typing his comments on baseball while wearing an article of women's underwear on his head like a hat before he loses credibility?
Well hello there
Also, I was answering questions when those items came up, and I don't really see why any of that -- except for being a Padres fan -- has anything to do with my ability to evaluate the Dodgers. I think they're capable of causing some damage, but I like the Padres better in 2007, and I feel like the D'backs are just as good if not a little better thanks to their defense and lineup.
Thanks for stopping by the chat Andrew, it was nice seeing you there.
by Marc Normandin @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 8:43 AM PST up reply actions
One last thing...
Sorry for the vent, I got hammered with questions about the Dodgers as the chat was winding down, and just wanted to let that out.
by Marc Normandin @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 8:46 AM PST reply actions
Marc
BTW-YOU have not given any explanation as to why SD and Ariz will finish ahead of LA next year, especially when LA went out and got the ace they needed in Schmidt, have a more reliable CFer in Pierre who will steal 60 bases in '07. They have Russell MArtin for the full season, and everyone knows how well LA played when he was behind the plate. They quite possibly have the best starting pitching staff in the NL West, and their bullpen is solid with Saito and Broxton forming one of the better late inning tandems in the NL. Saito was absolutely lights out last year, leading ALL NL relievers in K's, with Broxton not far behind. They have Beimel and possibly Kuo as their lefty specialists, possibly Hendrickson also. They have the best bench in the NL with Saenz, Anderson, Martinez and possibly Loney and Kemp. Their starting lineup lacks a consistent power hitter, but they get on base, take alot of pitches, and hit with men in scoring position like no other lineup. They have the resources to trade for a power hitter when one presents itself. I don't blame Colletti for not trading LA's future for Manny Ramirez. It's,still quite possible they can trade for him.
Colletti took over a team that lost 90+ games in 2005 and went to the playoffs in 2006. What else did you expect in his 1st year, when they were playing with 3-4 rookies every game in the 1st half of the season?
And Andrew is quite negative on the Dodgers, he even admits it in a recent article.
by rayg @ True Blue LA on Dec 21, 2006 7:50 PM PST reply actions

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