All systems Guo
Good news on the Kuo front as it looks like we will have our lefty killer and all around general relief stud available for the NLCS. How effective he will be is another question.
Injuries may have been a part of the 2008 season but the postseason has been a different story. With Furcal, Saito, and Kuo at just about full strength, headed into this series the Dodgers now boast the best lineup they have had in years. I'll let Andrew use the numbers to explain the matchups but for me it is going to come down to who has the guns to get from starting pitching to the ninth.
Here is what the Phillies will be using to accomplish that task:
| Name |
ERA+ | ERA | BABIP | ExpectedERA | WHIP |
| Romero | 163 | 2.75 | 24 | 4.19 | 1.34 |
| Madson | 147 | 3.05 | 31 | 3.84 | 1.23 |
| Durbin | 155 | 2.87 | 29 | 4.57 | 1.32 |
| Condrey | 137 | 3.26 | 33 | 4.78 | 1.51 |
| Eyre | 4.21 | 34 | 3.32 | 1.17 |
Romero found a home after failing with his last few teams. He is basically our Loogy Beimel, a lucky pitcher who is running a nice streak right now. Madson and Eyre are about the only two quality arms in the bullpen who aren't masquerading as something more then they are. The Dodgers would be blessed if Durbin and Condrey have to pitch any meaningful innings. At some point the Phillies will bring in Romero to get Ethier out and when that happens don't be surprised if Romero walks him.
On the Dodger side with Kuo back they can throw at the Phillies the same bullpen that wrecked havoc upon the NL before Saito went down. If the Dodgers can get a lead headed into the 6th you would expect that Beimel, Wade, Kuo, Saito, and Broxton will bring that lead home. I'm not sure what to expect from Kershaw in the bullpen. With it being announced that Lowe would pitch on 3 days rest we will be going with a 3 man rotation. Kershaw has the same ability as Kuo to shut down an offense for a few innings. If the Dodgers win this series I expect it will be because of the lock down bullpen they can throw at the Phillies. With three of them lefthanded it might mitigate the damage that Utely and Howard can do. Most of the Phillies rivals in the central have had weak bullpens that they could feast on. That won't be the case here.
Pitching Matchups
Game One - Hamels/Lowe: We can expect Hamels to pitch a strong game one as he had the highest game score of any pitcher in the 1st round. I expect the Phillies to win game one something along the lines of 5 - 2.
Game Two - Myers/Billingsley: Myers was banished to the minors and when he got himself turned around he was every bit as good as Billingsley during the last six weeks. Then something happened and Myers was torched during his last two starts and if not for a will timed double play ground ball by Cory Hart he might not have made it out of the 1st inning of his postseason start. Once he got settled down he handled the Brewers and picked up the victory. Instead of worrying about which Myers will show, I'll focus on Billingsley. He wil pitch a gem and even the series.
So headed to LA I expect the series to be tied at one game a piece. This ain't going to be easy, the Phillies have a loaded offense but I feel the pitching is suspect. So while I expect the Phillies to be able to score on us, I also feel our offense will do the same. Hamels is a stud, Myers can be good, but Moyer and Blanton are going to get hit and then the middle relief is going to get hit.
Dodgers in Six
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Why Los Doyers will beat the Phillies
The NLDS was all Manny, as he hit two home runs and knocked in three runs. Look for him to demolish a decent Phillies pitching squad.
Ethier has been doing well, and Jeff Kent has been a great veteran for the team. Russell Martin has been a good catcher in a new era at his position and is solid at the dish. Matt Kemp had a good year as well, and Pierre is fast enough to regularly turn a single into an extra-base hit. Their offense crushed a strong Cubbies rotation, and I see no mercy from them.
by picksfarm on
Oct 8, 2008 11:53 AM PDT
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Kent and Pierre? Those two aren’t even starting in the playoffs.
Dodger Fever: Catch it every summer; head to the ER every October.
by Tango and Cash on
Oct 8, 2008 1:36 PM PDT
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Furcal will get the offense going like he did in the NLDS. I expect Martin to continue to hit as he sees good pitches in front of Manny. Manny will be Manny. Ethier will continue to get on base and I expect him to break out of the hitting slump he experienced against the Cubs. Kemp will be good for a big homer at some point during the series. Dewitt will show us again (shock is no longer appropriate) that he belongs and will play some good ball. Blake will be Blake, which is not a good thing but as long as he doesn’t hurt us we will be fine.
Game 1 – Dodgers upset the Phillies in Game 1 in a 3-2 nailbiter. Lowe goes 7 strong.
Game 2 – Billingsley proves to the country (including Larry Bowa) that he is the most underrated ace in the league and shuts down the Phillies in a 5-1 win.
Game 3 – Kuroda continues his success against the Phillies and in front of the home crowd at the game I will attend in a 5-3 victory.
Game 4 – Hamels pulls off a gutsy performance and gets the win in a 2-0 Phils win.
Game 5 – Billingsley shuts it down in front of the home crowd. Dodgers fans (including me) will celebrate in the stadium for hours after the game oblivious to the drive home ahead of them.
Dodgers will be back where they belong, playing for all the marbles against the hated Rays…or Red Sox.
by mr_blond on
Oct 8, 2008 3:00 PM PDT
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Who hates the Rays???
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen
by Phil Gurnee on
Oct 8, 2008 3:28 PM PDT
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*shrugs*
the redsox hate the rays. but i guess mr_blond does as well.
Matt Kemp for president.
Adrian Wilson for vice.
by wongy on
Oct 8, 2008 7:56 PM PDT
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The Yankees
kidna, though they still hate Boston more lol
by RollingWave on
Oct 9, 2008 3:20 AM PDT
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