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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

All systems Guo

Good news on the Kuo front as it looks like we will have our lefty killer and all around general relief stud available for the NLCS. How effective he will be is another question.

Injuries may have been a part of the 2008 season but the postseason has been a different story. With Furcal, Saito,  and Kuo at just about full strength, headed into this series the Dodgers now boast the best lineup they have had in years. I'll let Andrew use the numbers to explain the matchups but for me it is going to come down to who has the guns to get from starting pitching to the ninth.

Here is what the Phillies will be using to accomplish that task:

 

Name                
ERA+ ERA BABIP ExpectedERA WHIP
Romero 163 2.75 24 4.19 1.34
Madson 147 3.05 31 3.84 1.23
Durbin 155 2.87 29 4.57 1.32
Condrey 137 3.26 33 4.78 1.51
Eyre 4.21 34 3.32 1.17

Romero found a home after failing with his last few teams. He is basically our Loogy Beimel, a lucky pitcher who is running a nice streak right now. Madson and Eyre are about the only two quality arms in the bullpen who aren't masquerading as something more then they are. The Dodgers would be blessed if Durbin and Condrey  have to pitch any meaningful innings. At some point the Phillies will bring in Romero to get Ethier out and when that happens don't be surprised if Romero walks him.

On the Dodger side with Kuo back they can throw at the Phillies the same bullpen that wrecked havoc upon the NL before Saito went down. If the Dodgers can get a lead headed into the 6th you would expect that Beimel, Wade, Kuo, Saito, and Broxton will bring that lead home. I'm not sure what to expect from Kershaw in the bullpen. With it being announced that Lowe would pitch on 3 days rest we will be going with a 3 man rotation. Kershaw has the same ability as Kuo to shut down an offense for a few innings. If the Dodgers win this series I expect it will be because of the lock down bullpen they can throw at the Phillies. With three of them lefthanded it might mitigate the damage that Utely and Howard can do. Most of the Phillies rivals in the central have had weak bullpens that they could feast on. That won't be the case here.

Pitching Matchups

Game One - Hamels/Lowe:  We can expect Hamels to pitch a strong game one as he had the highest game score of any pitcher in the 1st round. I expect the Phillies to win game one something along the lines of 5 - 2.

Game Two - Myers/Billingsley: Myers was banished to the minors and when he got himself turned around he was every bit as good as Billingsley during the last six weeks. Then something happened and Myers was torched during his last two starts and if not for a will timed double play ground ball by Cory Hart he might not have made it out of the 1st inning of his postseason start. Once he got settled down he handled the Brewers and picked up the victory. Instead of worrying about which Myers will show, I'll focus on Billingsley. He wil pitch a gem and even the series.

So headed to LA I expect the series to be tied at one game a piece. This ain't going to be easy, the Phillies have a loaded offense but I feel the pitching is suspect. So while I expect the Phillies to be able to score on us, I also feel our offense will do the same. Hamels is a stud, Myers can be good, but Moyer and Blanton are going to get hit and then the middle relief is going to get hit.

Dodgers in Six

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Why Los Doyers will beat the Phillies

The NLDS was all Manny, as he hit two home runs and knocked in three runs. Look for him to demolish a decent Phillies pitching squad.

Ethier has been doing well, and Jeff Kent has been a great veteran for the team. Russell Martin has been a good catcher in a new era at his position and is solid at the dish. Matt Kemp had a good year as well, and Pierre is fast enough to regularly turn a single into an extra-base hit. Their offense crushed a strong Cubbies rotation, and I see no mercy from them.

by picksfarm on Oct 8, 2008 11:53 AM PDT reply actions  

Kent and Pierre? Those two aren’t even starting in the playoffs.

Dodger Fever: Catch it every summer; head to the ER every October.

by Tango and Cash on Oct 8, 2008 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Furcal will get the offense going like he did in the NLDS. I expect Martin to continue to hit as he sees good pitches in front of Manny. Manny will be Manny. Ethier will continue to get on base and I expect him to break out of the hitting slump he experienced against the Cubs. Kemp will be good for a big homer at some point during the series. Dewitt will show us again (shock is no longer appropriate) that he belongs and will play some good ball. Blake will be Blake, which is not a good thing but as long as he doesn’t hurt us we will be fine.

Game 1 – Dodgers upset the Phillies in Game 1 in a 3-2 nailbiter. Lowe goes 7 strong.

Game 2 – Billingsley proves to the country (including Larry Bowa) that he is the most underrated ace in the league and shuts down the Phillies in a 5-1 win.

Game 3 – Kuroda continues his success against the Phillies and in front of the home crowd at the game I will attend in a 5-3 victory.

Game 4 – Hamels pulls off a gutsy performance and gets the win in a 2-0 Phils win.

Game 5 – Billingsley shuts it down in front of the home crowd. Dodgers fans (including me) will celebrate in the stadium for hours after the game oblivious to the drive home ahead of them.

Dodgers will be back where they belong, playing for all the marbles against the hated Rays…or Red Sox.

by mr_blond on Oct 8, 2008 3:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Who hates the Rays???

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 8, 2008 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

*shrugs*

the redsox hate the rays. but i guess mr_blond does as well.

Matt Kemp for president.
Adrian Wilson for vice.

by wongy on Oct 8, 2008 7:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Yankees

kidna, though they still hate Boston more lol

by RollingWave on Oct 9, 2008 3:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

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2012 Dodgers Payroll

Italics denote estimates
Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $500,000 team control
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000 team control
LF 21 Rivera $4,000,000
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

IF/OF 6 Hairston $2,250,000
OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $485,000 team control

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000

CL 54 Guerra $485,000 team control
RHP 74
Jansen $500,000 team control
RHP 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000
RHP 66 MacDougal $650,000
LHP 57 Elbert $485,000 team control
RHP 36
Hawksworth $500,000 team control

TJ 41 De La Rosa $485,000 team control



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout

Totals
$112,162,432

For more detailed information, click here.

Players on 40-man roster used as roster
fillers until moves are made.

Current 40-man roster count: 40
(not including Belisario)

2012 Non-Roster Invitees

No Player Age*
63 Jose Ascanio rhp
27
61 Alberto Castillo lhp
36
56 Matt Chico lhp
29
33 John Grabow lhp
33
59 Angel Guzman rhp
30
47 Wil Ledezma lhp
31
72 Shane Lindsay rhp
27
62 Fernando Nieve rhp 29
73 Scott Rice lhp 30
70 Will Savage rhp
27
71 Ryan Tucker rhp
25
28 Jamey Wright rhp
37

30 Josh Bard c 34
82 Griff Erickson c 24
81 Matt Wallachc 26
67 Jeff Baisley 3b/1b 29
65 Luis Cruz ss/2b 28
37 Josh Fields 3b 29
64 Lance Zawadzki if 27
56 Cory Sullivan of 32

*Age on June 30, 2012

NRI count: 20

For more info, click here.


Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox