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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Phighting Words: a Q&A With The Good Phight

As we head into the NLCS, I had a chance to ask a few questions of Peter Baker (aka Whole Camels) of The Good Phight, the SB Nation Phillies blog. Here are his responses:

1) Give me your thoughts on Brad Lidge. Have his struggles been overblown this season? Are you confident with him as closer, or should the job go to someone else?

No, no, and sort of. Lidge's struggles have absolutely not been overblown; if anything they've been underblown (invented word!). His 7.21 ERA could actually have been higher if not for the fact that several of his worst outings were interrupted by the opponents' celebrations at home plate after he served up a walk-off of some kind.

He's been atrocious and there's no way to mitigate it. I'll always love him for 2008 and remain optimistic that he can recapture some of his previous magic... in 2010.

I don't think the Phillies can afford to anoint a "closer" given the struggles of all of the back-of-the-bullpen guys (including nominal New Closer Ryan Madson). They need to play matchups, and with Scott Eyre's appearance in the ninth inning of Game Four versus Colorado, we might be getting a sense that Charlie Manuel intends to do just that.

2) From afar, Cole Hamels looks like the same pitcher as last season based on his peripherals, yet his ERA is over a run worse (4.32 vs. 3.09). Have you noticed any differences between the 2008 and 2009 versions of Hamels that would help explain his rise in ERA?

It's mostly been rotten luck, like you implied. He's still missing bats, he's not walking anyone, but his BABIP is appreciably worse than in 2008, when it was abnormally low. Part of the explanation might rest on the hangover from last season, when he threw a combined 262.1 innings between the regular and postseason, nearly 80 innings more than his previous season high. He's still capable of dominance, but now we're taking it on a game-by-game basis, rather than expecting brilliant outings every night.

Also, in case people forget: Hamels is just 25 years old! He's still a young pitcher, still learning on the job.

3) Since it appears Joe Mauer will win his first MVP award this season, does Chase Utley assume the mantle of "best player without an MVP" or "player better than MVP-winning teammates, yet without an MVP"?

I guess you could say Derek Jeter, if you wanted to acknowledge him in an Al Pacino "Scent of a Woman" way. But yeah, you're generally right on. Chase Utley inhabits that weird limbo where he's widely acknowledged and appreciated for his greatness, but he never had and may never have that one eye-popping season that makes the awards voters take notice. If he ever pops 40 homers, or hits .340, we might have something, but as it is I think we're just going to have to enjoy they guy as he somewhat quietly continues his Hall of Fame level career. That said, he's the best player on the Phillies, has been for several years, and it's not really even close. Season to season, he's pretty consistently the 3rd to 6th best player in the National League.

Star-divide

4) What Phillies player or players are the key(s) to winning this series?
The aforementioned Cole Hamels. If he can dominate, and help the Phillies steal Game One in Los Angeles, and pitch well in a likely Game Five start, he could singularly chart the Phillies' course to the World Series. Cliff Lee covered the NLDS; it's on Hamels to take charge of the NLCS.

On the offensive side of the ball, former Dodger Jayson Werth. Werth demolishes lefty pitching (1.080 OPS), which the Dodgers will be piling on primarily in an attempt to neutralize Ryan Howard. If Werth can rake against the likes of Randy Wolf and Clayton Kershaw, it'll soften or eliminate the impact of Ryan Howard's relative incompetence against them.

5) What Dodger player or players do you fear the most?

Pitching-wise, Clayton Kershaw. When he's on, he's as good as anyone in baseball. Best strategy against him is to make him work and try to get into an admittedly strong bullpen, where at least you stand a chance.

On offense, Andre Ethier. I'm still pretty traumatized from that series in L.A. earlier this season.

6) Who could eat the most Subway sandwiches in a 10-minute span: Ryan Howard or Jonathan Broxton?

I was and remain appalled that a guy who plies his trade in Philadelphia does ads for Subway. It's the City of Subs (or "Hoagies" to use the local term). Jocking for a terrible national chain joint is disappointing.

That said, Howard has dropped about 25 pounds since last season and has become an unstoppable force on the basepaths (eight steals!). Broxton, on the other hand, just looks like he's gotten fatter. I guess I'll take Howard based on his familiarity with the product, and the knowledge that if he lost the contest, Jared would murder his family. It's a great motivator.

7) Dodger fans seem to get singled out from national announcers for arriving late and leaving early, despite evidence of fans of other teams doing the same. Are there any national perceptions of Philadelphia sports fans that you take issue with?

Where to begin? The booing Santa Claus thing needs to die, yesterday. "Santa" was a drunk college student in a rotten costume, and it dates to the Frankin Field days of the 1960s. It was a poor effort from an awful Eagles franchise and deserved booing. I have no defense for throwing batteries at J.D. Drew. It happened, but again arose from Phillies management's miserable handling of the negotiations with Scott Boras back in 1997.

None of this is to say that Philadelphia fans haven't engaged in some awful, savage behavior -- oh yes, they have (read about their racially-motivated mistreatment of Dick Allen in the 1960s) -- but most of it is in the distant past. The general perception that Philadelphia fans are the worst and only fans to engage in such behavior is what gets to me.

In sum, it's unfair to paint all Dodgers fans with the "arrive late, leave early!" stereotype, just like it's not right to assume that all Phillies fans are baby-eating savages.

8) John Kruk: lovable and revered ex-Phillie, or national buffoon?

Both! He was very good but odd player, a smart hitter, but I always wonder how great he could have been if he had taken care of himself. He spent a season or two in the broadcast booth as the Phillies' color guy and did a pretty good job; he's funny, relaxed, and confident. The problem arises when you try to extract meaningful, astute analysis. He bats about .200 in that regard.

9) What is your prediction for this series?

Phillies win in 6 (you expected something else?). The Dodgers are better than last year, no doubt, but I'm confident in the Phillies' lineup's ability to put runs on the board, and the starting pitching between Hamels, Lee, and your choice of Joe Blanton and Pedro Martinez gets a slight edge over the Dodgers.

Thanks, Peter! Here's to a good series.

Comment 26 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I Always Really Like These Features

always great insight from somebody who’s watched and written about a team all season, rather than from some guy on a national level who’s spouting off statistics being fed to him by an intern.

by bearface on Oct 15, 2009 7:57 AM PDT reply actions  

Apparently they asked the guy who played Santa if he wanted to do it next year “No way. If it doesn’t snow, they’ll probably throw beer bottles.”
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/football/nfl/eagles/2003-11-27-santa-snowballs_x.htm

All MLB teams are equal but some MLB teams are more equal than others.

by Sordid on Oct 15, 2009 8:41 AM PDT reply actions  

Rain Predicted Now for Sunday in Phillie

If rescheduled for Monday would make G3 starter not have 4 days rest until G7.

Also G1 starter could pitch G4 rescheduled on Tuesday on a full 4 days rest.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 15, 2009 9:28 AM PDT reply actions  

Once again, pls tell me why the baseball playoffs drag on into November again?? If the Phillies and Yankees advance to the W.S., they can play the games with ice skates on.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 15, 2009 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

Money

All MLB teams are equal but some MLB teams are more equal than others.

by Sordid on Oct 15, 2009 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

They should just induct a stack of money into the Hall of Fame. :)
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Oct 15, 2009 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

They will put up a giant tarp over Phillie and Dodger Stadium before they play less games

Wait until they figure out once you get past all of that wet precipitation stuff in the fall and go into winter where it freezes, you can then play ball for three more months till Spring rains. The season will go into February then.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 15, 2009 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Elbert made the roster over Weaver

by Eric Stephen on Oct 15, 2009 10:57 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Reeeeeeeally...

Who said yesterday he didn’t?

by PHAT JULIO on Oct 15, 2009 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

Weaver's Sick

He was probably a late scratch. Would thing Garland, but I guess that the Loogey lure was just too much for Joe. I think Weaver’s role was supposed to be situational righty, it was just a "situation came up" where he had to pitch a couple of innings, so he subbed with a situational lefty.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 15, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yes

He was already informed, said he wasn’t happy but he understood.

Now that I think about it, the pen will already have a full workload, so Bills is likely the extra inning specialist.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 15, 2009 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ah okay

I think I misread your comment above.

by Michael White on Oct 15, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

If Elbert is on the roster

I don’t dislike the move. If nothing else, it gives the team a LOOGY that can be used against Howard early in the game, instead of having to bring in Kuo or Sherrill to blow on one batter.

by EMDarrow on Oct 15, 2009 11:05 AM PDT reply actions  

Right

I don’t think he’ll be put on in any other situation than that.

by PHAT JULIO on Oct 15, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

New post on the front page. Having trouble linking to it. On my phone right now

by Eric Stephen on Oct 15, 2009 11:15 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Great idea for a pre-series post.

You wanna know how great baseball is? The greatest basketball player ever left his sport to play baseball.

by Jesse S. on Oct 15, 2009 11:25 AM PDT reply actions  

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2012 Dodgers Payroll

Italics denote estimates
Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $500,000 team control
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000 team control
LF 21 Rivera $4,000,000
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

IF/OF 6 Hairston $2,250,000
OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $485,000 team control

SP 22 Kershaw $8,500,000 arb
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 37 Capuano $3,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000

CL 54 Guerra $485,000 team control
RHP 74
Jansen $500,000 team control
RHP 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
RHP Coffey $1,000,000
RHP 66 MacDougal $650,000
LHP 57 Elbert $485,000 team control
RHP 36
Hawksworth $500,000 team control

TJ 41 De La Rosa $485,000 team control



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout

Totals
$114,662,432

For more detailed information, click here.

Players on 40-man roster used as roster
fillers until moves are made.

Current 40-man roster count: 40
(not including Belisario)

2012 Non-Roster Invitees

No Player Age*
63 Jose Ascanio rhp
27
61 Alberto Castillo lhp
36
60 Matt Chico lhp
29
35 John Grabow lhp
33
59 Angel Guzman rhp
30
47 Wil Ledezma lhp
31
72 Shane Lindsay rhp
27
62 Fernando Nieve rhp 29
73 Scott Rice lhp 30
70 Will Savage rhp
27
71 Ryan Tucker rhp
25

30 Josh Bard c 34
82 Griff Erickson c 24
81 Matt Wallachc 26
67 Jeff Baisley 3b/1b 29
62 Luis Cruz ss/2b 28
33 Josh Fields 3b 29
64 Lance Zawadzki if 27
56 Cory Sullivan of 32

*Age on June 30, 2012

NRI count: 19

For more info, click here.


Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

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100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox