A Look Toward 2010: The Pitching

Yesterday we took a look at the offensive projections for the 2010 Dodgers, thanks to the Bill James Handbook (available November 1).  Today we look at the pitching staff.

I calculated FIP for the projections based on the formula at The Hardball Times.  In these projections, keep in mind that playing time and pitching role is merely estimated.

Starters

Clayton Kershaw
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected --- --- --- --- ---
2009 actual 171.0 2.79 3.06 4.79 9.74
2010 projected     180 3.25 3.47 4.55 9.40
2010 status under club control
 
Chad Billingsley
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 193 3.68 3.72 3.92 8.81
2009 actual 196.1 4.03 3.77 3.94 8.21
2010 projected     185 3.65 3.77 3.94 8.61
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
Randy Wolf
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 195 4.25 4.30 3.32 7.62
2009 actual 214.1 3.23 3.99 2.44 6.72
2010 projected     200 3.87 4.26 3.02 7.16
2010 status Type A free agent
 
Hiroki Kuroda
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 192 3.89 4.38 2.53 5.86
2009 actual 117.1 3.76 3.61 1.84 6.67
2010 projected     128 3.80 4.29 2.46 5.98
2010 status under contract
 
Vicente Padilla
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 151 4.71 4.71 3.28 6.26
2009 actual 147.1 4.46 4.51 3.30 5.93
2010 projected     141 4.66 4.73 3.26 6.19
2010 status Type B free agent
Padilla's stats with Texas included
 
Jon Garland
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 186 4.69 5.02 2.90 4.40
2009 actual 204 4.01 4.43 2.69 4.81
2010 projected     216 4.33 4.62 2.67 4.54
2010 status mutual contract option
Garland's stats with Arizona included
 

Bullpen

Jonathan Broxton
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 70 3.09 2.63 3.47 11.19
2009 actual 76.0 2.61 1.98 3.43 13.50
2010 projected     80 2.36 2.44 3.49 11.70
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
George Sherrill
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 53 3.40 3.43 4.58 10.19
2009 actual 69.0 1.70 3.09 3.13 7.96
2010 projected     74 2.92 3.37 4.01 9.36
2010 status arbitration eliglble
Sherrill's stats with Baltimore included
 
Hong-Chih Kuo
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 69 3.39 2.90 3.52 10.96
2009 actual 30.0 3.00 3.18 3.90 9.60
2010 projected     48 3.00 3.00 3.75 10.50
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
Ronald Belisario
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected --- --- --- --- ---
2009 actual 70.2 2.04 3.26 3.69 8.15
2010 projected     69 4.04 4.25 4.17 7.17
2010 status under club control
 
Ramon Troncoso
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected --- --- --- --- ---
2009 actual 82.2 2.72 3.31 3.70 5.99
2010 projected     72 3.88 3.59 3.75 6.63
2010 status under club control
 
James McDonald
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected --- --- --- --- ---
2009 actual 63.0 4.00 4.29 4.86 7.71
2010 projected     74 3.77 4.27 4.01 9.12
2010 status under club control
 
Guillermo Mota
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 projected 56 3.86 4.26 3.38 7.55
2009 actual 65.1 3.44 4.11 3.31 5.37
2010 projected     55 3.60 4.22 3.44 7.20
2010 status Type B free agent
 

In addition, there were some 2010 projections for other Dodgers.

Other Projections
Pitcher IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9     2010 Contract Status
Eric Stults
32 5.06 4.62 3.38 7.03     under club control (out of options)
Jeff Weaver
77 5.03 4.77 2.57 5.96     free agent
Charlie Haeger   
38 4.97 5.26 4.50 6.39     under club control
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