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Dodgers September In Review: Saving The Best For Last

The Dodgers had another solid month, not letting a slide in the final week prevent them from accomplishing their goals.  By finishing with a pair of wins, the Dodgers ended up 17-13 for the month, winning the National League West and securing home field advantage in the NL playoffs with the best record in the league.

For the second straight month, the Dodgers wrestled with Pythagoras, posting a winning percentage well under their expected win-loss record based on their runs scored and allowed.  In August, they posted a .630 pythagorean win percentage while finishing 14-15.  During the September/October period, they were 17-13, despite a .624 expected winning percentage.  Over their last two months, the Dodgers had an expected record of 37-22, and an actual record of 31-28.

For the first time all season, the Dodgers didn't get much production from their outfield.  Manny was ordinary, if not a tad unlucky, with a .218/.384/.449 line for the month, while Andre Ethier  (.729 OPS) and Matt Kemp (.637 OPS) produced well below their seasonal norms.

Dodger Batter of the MonthRafael Furcal got the job done, hitting .300/.400/.491 with 21 runs scored for the "month."  A healthy and productive Furcal at the top of the lineup could do wonders in the playoffs.

Dodger Pitcher of the MonthClayton Kershaw sat out a lot of the month, nursing a right shoulder injury, but when he pitched he made it count.  Kershaw threw 18 innings, had a 1.50 ERA, and struck out 21 batters for the month.  In game 161, he threw six superb innings, striking out 10 batters without allowing a run, keeping the Dodgers in the game in what beame their division clinching game.

Star-divide

September Record:  17-13 (.567)
145 runs scored (4.83 per game)
110 runs allowed (3.67 per game)
.624 pythagorean winning percentage (19-11)

September NL West Standings
Club W-L Pct GB RS RA
Rockies 20-11 .645 --- 150 133
Padres 18-11 .621 1 121 104
Dodgers 17-13 .567 145 110
Giants  
16-15 .516 4 127 115
Diamondbacks 10-20 .333 188 156

 

Overall Record:  95-67 (.586)
780 runs scored (4.81 per game)
611 runs allowed (3.77 per game)
.610 pythagorean winning percentage (99-63)

Final NL West Standings
Club W-L Pct GB RS RA
Dodgers 95-67 .586 --- 780 611
Rockies 92-70 .568 3 804 715
Giants 88-74 .543 7 657 611
Padres  
75-87 .463 20 720 782
Diamondbacks 
70-92 .432 25 638 769

Favorite Game of the Month:  That would be True Blue LA Night at Dodger Stadium, which also happened to be the division clincher.  A great time was had by all.  Details here, here, and here.

Previous Monthly ReviewsApril | May | June | July | August

September Stats

Player AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SB/CS BA/OBP/SLG OPS wOBA
Blake 47 14 17 1 1 2 9 9 0/0 .362/.474/.553 1.027 .449
Furcal 112 21 37 8 2 2 9 12 6/1 .330/.400/.491 .891 .395
Loney 101 17 32 2 0 4 15 13 0/1 .317/.391/.455 .847 .363
Manny 78 14 17 4 1 4 14 19 0/0 .218/.384/.449 .833 .360
Ethier 104 15 23 7 0 4 19 13 0/1 .221/.325/.404 .729 .320
Hudson 66 4 15 5 2 0 4 13 1/0 .227/.354/.364 .718 .309
Martin 87 11 18 3 0 3 15 13 2/0 .207/.327/.345 .672 .296
Kemp 116 18 26 3 1 4 15 6 6/1 .224/.266/.371 .637 .279
Starters 711 114 185 33 7 23 100 98 15/4 .260/.357/.423 .781
Belliard 73 12 26 7 0 4 16 6 1/0 .356/.405/.616 1.022 .440
Hu 5 2 2 1 0 0 2 0 0/0 .400/.333/.600 .933 .358
DeWitt 17 2 5 2 0 1 3 1 0/0 .294/.316/.588 .904 .369
Ausmus 9 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0/0 .333/.400/.333 .733 .338
Mientkiewicz 13 0 4 0 0 0 1 1 0/0 .308/.400/.308 .708 .334
Pierre 57 8 13 0 3 0 3 6 7/2 .228/.302/.333 .635 .295
Loretta 19 1 5 2 0 0 3 0 0/1 .263/.250/.368 .618 .234
Thome 17 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0/0 .235/.235/.235 .471 .210
Ellis 6 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0/0 .167/.167/.167 .333 .149
Castro 15 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 .133/.133/.133 .267 .119
Repko 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1/0 .000/.000/.000 .000 .140
Bench 236 29 65 12 3 5 33 15 9/3 .275/.316/.415 .732
Pitchers 53 2 5 0 0 0 2 3 0/0 .094/.158/.094 .192
Totals 1000 145 255 45 10 28 135 116 24/7 .255/.338/.404 .742 .326

 

Pitcher G W-L Sv IP H R ER BB K ERA WHIP FIP
Kershaw* 3 0-1 -- 16.0 11 4 3 7 17 1.69 1.125 2.15
Padilla* 6 3-0 -- 32.1 30 13 12 10 32 3.34 1.237 3.68
Garland 6 3-2 -- 36.1 37 16 11 9 26 2.72 1.266 3.74
Kuroda 5 3-2 -- 29.0 25 16 9 7 24 2.79 1.103 3.92
Billingsley* 5 0-3 -- 28.0 25 16 15 13 29 4.82 1.357 4.34
Wolf 5 2-1 -- 31.1 23 11 11 9 20 3.16 1.021 4.39
Starters 30
11-9 -- 173.0 151 76 61 55 148 3.17
1.191
3.84
Broxton 14 0-1 7 13.2 9 4 3 3 21 1.98 0.878 0.52
Kershaw* 1 0-0 -- 2.0 0 0 0 1 4 0.00 0.500 0.66
Weaver 5 0-0 -- 7.1 12 4 4 3 9 4.91 2.045 1.52
Mota 4 0-0 -- 3.1 4 2 2 1 4 5.40 1.500 1.65
Sherrill 15 1-0 -- 12.1 7 1 1 3 11 0.73 0.811 2.10
Padilla* 1 0-0 -- 2.0 0 0 0 1 2 0.00 0.500 2.66
Troncoso 12 1-2 1 10.1 12 5 4 8 10 3.48 1.935 2.67
McDonald 9 1-1 -- 10.2 11 5 4 5 16 3.38 1.500 2.78
Kuo 11 1-0 -- 10.1 7 3 3 3 5 2.61 0.968 3.05
Belisario 16 2-0 -- 13.0 10 5 2 6 13 1.38 1.231 3.07
Elbert 10 0-0 -- 4.2 4 3 3 4 6 5.79 1.714 3.15
Haeger 3 0-0 -- 2.2 1 0 0 1 3 0.00 0.750 3.16
Billingsley* 1 0-0 -- 1.2 4 2 2 2 0 10.80 3.600 14.56
Relievers 30 6-4 8 94.0 81 34 28 41 104 2.68 1.298 2.47
Totals 30 17-13 8 267.0 232 110 89 96 252 3.00
1.228
3.36

*The pitching stats of Clayton Kershaw, Chad Billingsley, and Vicente Padilla were split into their starting and relieving duties.

Thanks to Baseball-Reference.com and Fangraphs for help with the data.

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments |

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Kershaw

Maybe Kershaws injury will turn out to be a blessing. A little rest at the end of the season can work in his favor. He certainly didn’t seem to be rusty

by David in Florida on Oct 6, 2009 4:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd have gone with Belliard as hitter of the month

he had many more key hits then Rafy did and that .616 slug% in 78 at bats was fun to watch.

Some very nice pitching in Sept from the rotation. Those numbers from Kuroda will be missed in the playoffs.

by meercatjohn on Oct 6, 2009 8:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think I had a brain fart on that one. Oh well. Belliard can channel his anger into a few playoff bombs :)

by Eric Stephen on Oct 6, 2009 8:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder if that is the lowest batting average in a month for Manny ever. Probably not but .218 is pretty bad for him.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 6, 2009 8:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bob Brenly was on “Mason & Ireland” yesterday, and claimed Manny was purposely letting fat pitches go by trying to bait the Cardinals into throwing more fastballs. I don’t buy it, but it would be awesome if that were true.

by Eric Stephen on Oct 6, 2009 9:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If that were true, his plan would work for about one at-bat. :)

by Tripon on Oct 6, 2009 9:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It does seem weird how he went from striking out every PA

to hitting the ball hard almost every at bat in one night.

But probably the more rationale explanation is that he is Manny Ramirez and had a bad night. I think every Dodgers and Red Sox fans fully expects Manny to have a big post season, because we just don’t know that there is any alternative.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 6, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I might go with Blake

He got the offense going again after recovering from his days out, but Belliard and Furcal did well, hopefully they keep it going.

I think Pythagoras hates us because we don’t have enough home runs and our pitching staff is too good. Too many good innnings scoring multiple runs making blowouts and very few blowouts against us even when we throw the bottom of the barrel out there (don’t count the Pirates).

What happened to Arizona, you know the team that was “supposed” to win the division? (I kept on scratching my head on that one) It wasn’t even close. What is up with the Padres pitching and is it sustainable?

 Having two really great pitching clubs to play against in the division will be tough (but maybe are hitters will get better at hitting tough pitchers) if the Padres keep it up.

by Dodger Dude on Oct 6, 2009 9:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Pythag likes the Dodgers.

According to Pythag, the Dodgers should have 5 more wins then they do.

by Tripon on Oct 6, 2009 9:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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2010 Dodger Payroll

Pos No Player 2010 Salary
C 55 Martin $5,050,000
1B 7 Loney $3,100,000
2B 33 DeWitt $410,000*
3B 23 Blake $6,000,000
SS 15 Furcal $8,500,000
LF 99 Manny $7,267,760
CF 27 Kemp $4,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $6,000,000

2B/3B 14 Carroll $1,350,000
2B/3B/1B 3 Belliard $825,000
C 12 Ausmus $850,000
OF 5 Johnson $800,000
SS 60 Hu $405,000*

SP 22 Kershaw $440,000
SP 58 Billingsley $3,850,000
SP 18 Kuroda $14,100,000
SP 44 Padilla $4,025,000
SP 50 Stults $405,000*

CL 51 Broxton $4,000,000
LHP 52 Sherrill $4,500,000
LHP 56 Kuo $950,000
RHP 67 Troncoso $425,000*
RHP 54 Belisario $425,000*
RHP 37 Haeger $425,000*
RHP 68 Monasterios $460,000*



Pierre $4,000,000


Andruw $3,600,000


Schmidt $2,000,000


Wolf $2,000,000


Hudson $1,440,000


Nomar $1,250,000


Ohman $200,000


Zerpa $35,000


Hoffmann ($50,000)

Others on 40-man roster (total: 39)
RHP 47 Wade
C 9 Ellis  
OF 75 Paul
OF 17 Repko $500,000
SS 87 DeJesus**  
RHP 64 Guerra**  
RHP 74 Jansen**  
LHP 59 Leach**
RHP 73 Link**  
C 71 May**  
RHP 31 McDonald**  
RHP 49 Schlichting**  
LHP 57 Elbert**  
OF 62 Robinson**  

Totals
$93,537,760
 
Red = arbitration
Asterisk (*) = estimated
** = currently in minor league camp
For more detailed information, click here.

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