The win probability chart for Game 1. The Dodgers lowest odds of winning the game came in the 1st inning when Ryan Ludwick singled home Skip Schumaker with the bases loaded and one out to put the Cardinals up 1-0. At that point the Dodgers only had a 30.4% chance of winning.
The play that swung the win probability the most was Matt Kemp's two-run homer in the bottom of the 1st inning that put the Dodgers up 2-1. The Dodgers win probability jumped from 47.3% to 65.4% on that one play alone.
Although believe it or not Jeff Weaver had the highest win probability added of any Dodger, .163. He pitched 1.1 innings but his main contribution came when he got the third out of the 4th inning with the bases loaded to keep the Dodgers up 3-1. Getting that out raised the Dodgers win probability by nearly 10%.
about 1 month ago
Brendan Scolari
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I don't see the giant dip when that ball was flying away from Manny veering towards the 3rd base line
with Weaver pitching with two out three on. When that ball was in the air, there was definitely a big negative spike in my optimism:)
by Dodger Dude on Oct 8, 2009 1:04 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree
that looked like a base clearing looper that was going to hit chalk. Payback for bloop single in the 1st inning that should have been caught.
by meercatjohn on Oct 8, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bob Timmermann (sitting in LF) said the ball hit chalk. We wouldn’t know since TBS didn’t show a replay.
by Eric Stephen on Oct 8, 2009 1:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I too was sitting in left (up in reserved)
I thought it hit the line, and everyone around us was shocked when the umpire pointed foul.
by jaffa on Oct 8, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for posting this Brendan
WEAVER
by meercatjohn on Oct 8, 2009 1:38 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
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