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The win probability chart for Game 1. The Dodgers lowest odds of winning the game came in the 1st...

20091007_cardinals_dodgers_0_score

The win probability chart for Game 1. The Dodgers lowest odds of winning the game came in the 1st inning when Ryan Ludwick singled home Skip Schumaker with the bases loaded and one out to put the Cardinals up 1-0. At that point the Dodgers only had a 30.4% chance of winning. The play that swung the win probability the most was Matt Kemp's two-run homer in the bottom of the 1st inning that put the Dodgers up 2-1. The Dodgers win probability jumped from 47.3% to 65.4% on that one play alone. Although believe it or not Jeff Weaver had the highest win probability added of any Dodger, .163. He pitched 1.1 innings but his main contribution came when he got the third out of the 4th inning with the bases loaded to keep the Dodgers up 3-1. Getting that out raised the Dodgers win probability by nearly 10%.

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