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And in case you haven't already seen it, the win probability chart for game 2 is worth a look....

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20091008_cardinals_dodgers_0_score

And in case you haven't already seen it, the win probability chart for game 2 is worth a look. The Dodgers lowest win probability in the game came with two outs and nobody down in the 9th inning with the Dodgers down 2-1 and James Loney at the plate. At that point they had merely a 4.1% chance of being the victors, but that's why they play the games! Surprisingly the biggest swing in win probability didn't come on Mark Loretta's game-winning hit (although the jump from 65.2% to 100% is huge for one play). The biggest swing came earlier in the inning when Ronnie Belliard stroked the single to center to tie the score 2-2. Before the at bat the Dodgers had only a 15.9% chance of winning but after the single that number jumped to 60.5%. Belliard also led the team with .363 win probability added but Loretta was right behind him with .348 WPA.

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