Ranked by OPS
Uggla – .252/.350/.468
Phillips – .275/.325/.444
DeRosa – .257/.335/.416
Hudson – .270/.342/.395
Polanco – .289/.338/.398
Belliard – .256/.313/.404
Lopez – .272/.342/.377
Castillo – .273/.358/.342

Interesting:
Martin – based on 2009 they are both dropping him about 40 OPS points
Loney – ignoring his performance in 2009 they both are very close to their 2009 projections.
Hudson – James goes down but Chone goes up. They now have close to the same projections for the other person in 2010 that they had in 2009.
Belliard – ignoring his 2009 performance they are dropping him (age related)
Furcal – based on 2009 they are both dropping him from 26 to 40 OPS points
Blake – ignored his 2009 they are both keeping him almost exactly at his 2009 projection which was off by 50-60 OPS points. (age related?)
Manny – they nailed Manny in 2009, but in 2010 Chones says he drops significantly while James thinks he can remain elite.
Kemp – they came close on him, James thinks he improves but CHONE says he stays static.
Andre – James nailed him, they both have the close to the same projection in 2010 as they had in 2009.

would really suck if Blake does regress and Loney never gets better then .750-800.

Manny is projected at 24 HR (team leading) and 77 RBI, which don’t seem out of line (they predict 114 games), but Kemp and Ethier’s numbers seem low:

Ethier: 72 runs, 21 HR, 79 RBI in 149 games
Kemp: 88 runs, 20 HR, 81 RBI in 149 games

of the various reactions by the media over the Belichick 4th & 2 decision:

http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/Articles/11_2971_4th-and-2-Gate_fallout.html

What happens if/when Blake misses time in 2010? Can the Dodgers’ offense withstand a 700 OPS from someone like DeWitt?

It’s terrible that we don’t have better options at that position.

That every Dodger with the exception of the starting outfield is projected to be an outlier (either good or bad) in 2009.

HR and RBI projections seem bizzare to me. At least they should be converted into a rate (e.g HR/10 games).

The only player I’m almost sure of that will have a worse 2009 is Blake. We really need a backup 3B who can hit. Dewitt still might fit the bill, we’ll see. At the very lease I think Dewitt should stay on the team and give his frequent flier mileage a break (the guy must be going to Tahiti this off-season).

Logically, I would say Manny’s number would drop, but intuitively I feel he is just too good of a hitter to not be able to adjust and put up some pretty solid numbers. I would think his HRs dip down and K go up, but I bet he still puts ups some good Offense, provided he gets some well paced days off instead of a 50 game vacation.

25 of 28 first place votes

http://bbwaa.com/

Recently one time highly touted young studs like Grienke, Carlos Pena, Adam Lind, Aaron Hill, Kendry Morales, Ubaldo Jiminez , Matt Garza, and Edwin Jackson struggled to turn their baseball gifts into stardom at the major league level. Some took longer then others but at one time all of those players were available for the right price after seeing their stars dim. Now they would make an excellent all-star team.

Among the young studs who have failed in the last few years who do you think has the best chance to turn it around and join the group above.
Alex Gordon
Delmon Young
Jeremy Hermida –
Brandon Wood
Homer Bailey
Joba Chamberlain -
Buchholz,C –
Hochevar,L
Saltalamacchia,J
Chris Davis
Barton
Loney, James
Drew, Stephen
Jackson, Conor
Young, Chris
Travis Snider

You should have seen the Bill James/CHONES projections for these guy headed into 2008.
Boston bought low, on Hermida, who else would be willing to buy low? Granted some of these guys still have a high values but nothing like what the asking price would have been in the winter of 2007. I’d still bet on Alex Gordon. Who would you bet on?

at Baseball Prospectus:

His upside is higher than any pitching prospect in baseball other than Strasburg. There is the risk of youth, and the difficulties some Cuban have had over here. I think anyone expecting him to make a big league impact in 2010 is just kidding themselves

very interesting baseball movie. The ending threw me, I expected something different, I get the angle but think they missed what they were trying to say. I doubt we would find very many first year Dominican Pitchers starting in Class A who ended up like he did in his first year of pitching. I won’t spoil it until I write a fanpost about it and you can just ignore the fanpost if you don’t want to know how it ends.

Still it is a good movie to watch, to help understand the complexities of the non English speaking baseball player who finds himself in Great Lakes without much of a support group.

Every time I see “CHONE projections” or “Chone Figgins”, I think of two things:

1. Former Laker forward Jim Chones
2. The Mexican slang term for underwear

Dodgers have the most at 34, including CanuckDodger would-be-40-man Francisco Felix:

Los Angeles Dodgers (34)
RHP: Carlos Alvarado (AAA), Kendy Batista (AA), Henry Bonilla (AAA), Travis Chick (AA), Hyang-Nam Choi (AAA), Tim Corcoran (AAA), Nick DeBarr (AAA), Joselo Diaz (AAA), J.D. Durbin (AAA), Francisco Felix (AAA), Harvey Garcia (AA), Dwayne Pollok (AAA), Jordan Pratt (Lo A), Zach Schreiber (AA), Scott Strickland (AAA)
LHP: Marlon Arias+ (AAA), Greg Miller (Hi A), Erick Threets (AAA), Joe Torres (Hi A)
C: Danny Ardoin+ (AAA), J.D. Closser (AAA), Gabriel Gutierrez (AA), Mike Rose (AAA)
1B: Brett Harper (AAA), Gaby Martinez (AA), Vinny Rottino (AA)
2B: Sergio Garcia (AAA), Juan Gonzalez (AA), Luis Maza (AAA), Ramon Nivar (AA)
3B: Hector Luna (AAA)
OF: Dee Brown (AAA), Andres Perez (Hi A), James Tomlin (AA)

Full list here:

http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/?p=6994