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The essence of the article: "... it is hard not to draw the conclusion that Don Mattingly was unable to match the qualities that Cashman saw in Girardi, raising questions about Mattingly’s ability to lead going forward."

There is also an interesting side note on a current L.A. coach:
"When Cashman approached Jeter the offseason after Joe Torre’s dismissal, Jeter said he wasn’t aware of the problem [of losing "two steps" in fielding range].... Cashman said, "He wasn’t aware because nobody had told him. My staff told me they were confronting him on it. They weren’t. Clearly I was being lied to by my field staff." While I hesitate to indict Mattingly with such thin evidence (Larry Bowa is the sensible choice for the majority of the blame), everyone on Torre’s staff becomes accountable when management is lied to and orders go unfulfilled."

When Frank McCourt told a blog group in 2007 that hiring Ned Colletti was the best decision he's made, he pointed to Colletti's abilities to keep the organization "aligned". I hope Colletti's field staff is more aligned to Ned than they were to Cashman. (Perhaps the ability to lie convincingly - or maybe convincingly doesn't even matter - is part of the current vertical alignment of the management of the Los Angeles Dodgers.)

Tip to Eric Enders for posting this link in the Dodger Thoughts comments after spotting it linked by BTF.

9 months ago Bison_tiny David Young 126 comments 0 recs  | 

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very interesting

And bringing all this full circle, this is why I’m inclined to believe Hudson over Torre. This “lack of communication”, to put it as nicely as I can, seems to be a pattern with Torre and his regime. I still think that he’s done more good than harm for the Dodgers, but the more I read about the circumstances of his dismissal from the Yankees, the less of a sympathetic character he seems to be.

by sarcastro9 on Dec 2, 2009 3:12 PM PST reply actions  

while hudson maybe right about his situation

I think Cashman is just blowing smoke up Girardi’s ass. Torre was screwed by Hank and Mattingly was Joe’s guy so they had to go to someone else to take Joe’s spot. In Cashman’s mind this is maybe how it went down looking back from 2 years out, but it is my opinion that he is revising history to lend support to the guy he chose. Jeter certainly is aware of his own diminishing defensive abilities and whether or not Cashman was told by his staff that they “confronted him” only Brian and the anonymous staff member know what happened. What Cashman calls confronted could easily be a coach or Joe telling Jeter to play a step closer to 2nd or a step more to the hole and if told to Jeter would most likely just do it and not feel like he was confronted with it.

and the whole thing about “improved scouting” including the statement:

his apparent ignorance of now basic statistical analysis and consistent strategic methodology may doom his first campaign even before he starts.

seems to be pure speculation. Pena or Girardi or Mattingly or any 2 of the three could have been the ignorant parties. Laying it at Donnie’s feet is simply the author accepting his own logic trail from prior in the article. Don did not get hired, someone who interviewed did not understand OPS+ or FIP or some other statistic, therefore Don does not understand “improved statistical analysis”. This article was a hatchet job.

For me personally I am not at all sure Mattingly is the right man to replace Torre when the time comes, I have always felt that a MLB manager should have some experience actually managing before they get the big league job, I also like to have people who have a long association with the team. ala Lasorda or Alston.

Maybe when the time comes to replace Joe, there will be some magic cure for Mike Sciocias’ Tragic Illness.

by MammothDodger on Dec 4, 2009 9:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, the article is a hatchet job, at least to a certain extent – and I used that to tease in the title of the post – but that’s why I wrote more on the Cashman quote, which was made “at a recent gathering with fans” per the linked article. True or not, what Cashman said is far stronger than the usual pablum GMs spew when explaining why they make any given decision. He is certainly in a position to build up Girardi without hammering the old coach staff, especially with something so specific, so what is his motivation to tell the story, particularly if it isn’t true?

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 4, 2009 9:58 AM PST up reply actions  

I guess it turns on the words "confronted him"

While Cashman plays that up as he was lied to, it could just be a misunderstanding amongst Jeter, the anonymous staffer and Cashman, about the way things were phrased. Then 2 years out Cashman uses the strong phrase “I was lied too” in a setting with what most likely are die hard fans of the Yankees in an attempt to justify the bypassing of the fan fav for the Giradi, who admittedly with the purchase of 3 mega stars was able to bring them back whe WS title.

by MammothDodger on Dec 4, 2009 10:10 AM PST up reply actions  

My staff told me they were confronting him on it. They weren’t. Clearly I was being lied to by my field staff.

I read the first “staff” as also meaning “field staff” – the manager and his coaches. It’s hard not to assume that the staff member that Cashman would talk to about Jeter would be either the manager (Torre) or the infielders coach (Bowa). And yes, misunderstanding isn’t unlikely. But I’m still surprise by him presenting a specific story.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 4, 2009 10:17 AM PST up reply actions  

i agree it is suprising to go into that kind of setail

perhaps he feels that Joe burned the bridge with his book and now he just needs to make sure there will be no bridge rebuilt for any Joe loyalists

by MammothDodger on Dec 4, 2009 10:23 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't think I can recall

a more depressing week since Depo was fired after the silly manager dance.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 3:14 PM PST reply actions  

Dave Cameron

from FanGraph takes a look the Dodger no arb decision.

However I found this quote from ThinkBlue in the comments interesting enough to share:

thinkblue says:
December 2, 2009 at 3:37 pm
there are rumors that Colletti had a gentlemen’s agreement with the two players to NOT offer them arb after the end of their one year contracts, thereby, making them more attractive FA’s, similar to O-Cab’s contract clause.

This is the first I’ve heard of this rumor, has anyone else heard it?

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 4:38 PM PST reply actions  

Josh from Dodger Divorce speculated as such, but admitted it was a long shot. As a response to O.Cabrera’s contract stipulation after the fact.

I don’t buy it. If Ned learned anything from the J.D. Drew situation, it’s that if it isn’t it writing it doesn’t matter.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Hudson said he had no assurances from the Dodgers that they wouldn’t offer him arbitration.

Also, why would Wolf had one? Wolf was a type B FA, and wasn’t offered arbitration from the Astros. And nobody would have projected him to be a type A Free agent.

So basically, Wolf and his agent had to know that 1) He would pitch much better than he has in years. 2) The Dodgers were okay to giving up such a potential pick that may never show up. 3) Why the heck would Wolf and his agent be asking this when he wasn’t ranked type-A and wasn’t projected to be ranked type-A?

by Tripon on Dec 2, 2009 4:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Also, why would Wolf had one? Wolf was a type B FA, and wasn’t offered arbitration from the Astros. And nobody would have projected him to be a type A Free agent.

Jon Garland was a Type B last offseason, yet he had a clause in his contract preventing offering of arbitration if he was a Type A.

There are lots of clauses, many unreachable, in many contracts.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:48 PM PST up reply actions  

The formula for starting pitching.

SP: Total games (total starts + 0.5 * total relief appearances), IP, Wins, W-L Percentage, ERA, Strikeouts

Garland is crappy, but he’s among the league leaders in starts, innings pitch, could have a flukey year where he can have a high total of wins, W-L percentage, and a fairly low ERA for him. The only thing Garland can’t do is the strikeouts.

Wolf before 2009? He still was injury prone, and there was questions if he could pitch for a whole season. So he’d be on the low side of starts, IP, Wins, W-L Percentage, and probably ERA if he didn’t have a near career year.

by Tripon on Dec 2, 2009 4:53 PM PST up reply actions  

See below

Replacing an 18-start 2007 with any kind of 2009 was going to give him a big boost.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:54 PM PST up reply actions  

There was no guarantee he was going to pitch a full year though, from 2004-2008, he always had something that put him on the DL

by Tripon on Dec 2, 2009 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Doesn’t mean it’s out of line for him to ask for the clause.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Also, Wolf wasn’t on the DL in 2008

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 5:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Also, it wasn’t that out of line to picture Wolf as a Type A because he was a mid-level Type B last offseason. Elias uses stats from th two trailing years, so this offseason you are replacing an 18-start season (2007) with the potential for a full one (2009).

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:50 PM PST up reply actions  

If there indeed was an agreement in place, I’d have to think they would have announced it as to take the heat off themselves.

by uclatroy on Dec 2, 2009 4:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Complete BS

That’s why they have contracts.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 2, 2009 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Well Maybe I'm Wrong

and they couldn’t afford to pay the lawyer to write up the clause.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 2, 2009 5:13 PM PST up reply actions  

They could afford the lawyers; they’re just too busy in the McDivorceCourt business.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:23 PM PST up reply actions  

During The Season....

….I said — here — that I read that Hudson could not be offered arbitration, his agent being acutely aware of how badly Hudson’s marketability was hurt by his Type A status last off-season. Everybody told me I was wrong so I let it go.

by CanuckDodger on Dec 2, 2009 4:45 PM PST reply actions  

I still think that was wrong

the clause would have been in the contract

by Eric Stephen on Dec 2, 2009 4:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Can't agree with that

unless Ned has told you privately that he would never have any verbal agreements again because of the JD thing. If I’m an agent I’m asking for all my clients where they could be hurt by arbitration that they not be offered arbitration before I even start talking about money. Doesn’t matter if they don’t have a stone’s chance of being a Type A I’m still asking for it. Just like I’m asking for those possible MVP top 10 or All-Star bonuses.

From my point of view the decision to not offer arb to either player is so against baseball common sense I would give some credence to the possibility they had agreed not to do so. However if you know something different as a fact I’ll take your word, if you just think it, then I’ll keep my position.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 5:48 PM PST up reply actions  

baseball is full of handshakes, winks, gentleman’s agreements, etc. I am inclined to believe that there is more going on as well, but we’ll never know.

by LA Taco on Dec 3, 2009 8:24 AM PST up reply actions  

In millions-of-dollars to hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars contracts? I doubt it. Remember, most agents are lawyers or have lawyers on staff; the Dodgers employ lawyers to work on contracts. They act and work like lawyers.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Give me a break.

Joe Torre has been a great addition to the Dodgers. Hudson was playing bad at the end of the season, and Belliard stepped in and did a nice job.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 2, 2009 4:46 PM PST reply actions  

I like the approach that Torre and Mattingly and Bowa

take with the players and the young Dodgers seem to be getting better. Joe Girardi won with a combination of being a good manager and havinga kick ass team. Joe Torre would have won a WS if AROD would have performed like he should have earlier in his career.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 2, 2009 4:51 PM PST up reply actions  

too bad torre never got that WS he wanted. I know what you meant though :)

by LA Taco on Dec 2, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions  

but Mattingly really HASN'T gotten one!

been said before a few times, but worth saying again, if only for the sheer improbability of it:

World Series appearance percentage since 1976 for Yankees sans Mattingly: 68% (11 for 16)
World Series appearance percentage since 1976 for Yankees with Mattingly: 0% (0 for 18, ‘82-’95 as player, ‘04-’07 as coach)

certainly wasn’t HIS fault though, especially in the ’80s…

by sarcastro9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:06 PM PST up reply actions  

What approach is that?

You have no problem with the way that Torre handled Hudson’s benching by (allegedly) never discussing it with him.

by Michael White on Dec 2, 2009 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Hudson should have not suck in June and July? =P Really, the problem with is that the benching didn’t come earlier in the season.

It was a delayed reaction, and Hudson probably still thinks that he played well for the whole year instead of having a great April, and a below proficient May-Oct.

by Tripon on Dec 2, 2009 5:05 PM PST up reply actions  

I'll tell ya one thing ...

when he was batting 3rd and had 8th and 9th inning PA’s, he sure as hell shouldn’t have been bunting so much that it had to be addressed in the paper!

Torre had to say, “It was his call to bunt.” Which I really can’t believe any seasoned veteran would do. I mean no outs, men on 1st and 2nd and YOU BUNT? AGAIN AND AGAIN, NIGHT AFTER NIGHT!?

by Seanny Rotten on Dec 3, 2009 7:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Sorry for answering this the next day.

I am not sure how much discussion is needed with O-Dog and Torre when it was obvious that Hudson was not playing well. It also seems out of character for Torre not to at least broach the subject….I don’t know. This seems like an outlier kind of thing.
But on the whole, I like the communication between Torre, Mattingly, and Bowa and the young players. The players seem to draw from the coaches confidence in them. I like Mattingly’s approach with them, and think it will benefit the hitters inthe long run. Kemp especially. I like how Bowa works with the infielders and I like how fired up he gets in general.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Where are you getting your information from?

What sort of communication is had between the coaching staff and the young players? What do you like about it?

by Michael White on Dec 3, 2009 10:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Just general info

that I read in the papers and other media outlets. I often read about how Torre has talks with guys in his office and try’s to straighten things out. I have read several blurbs about having talks with Kemp, Ethier, Broxton, Billingsley, Loney, Furcal. He never once undercut Billingsley this season with all of his struggles and still calls him a pitcher who will be great. I like how Bowa is constantly open to working on fielding with guys like Dewitt and will put forth a good word for a guy like Dewitt if he is showing something like a few seasons ago.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 10:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Torre’s purported M.O. is to talk to the kids and assume the veterans don’t need the embarrassing discussion because they know how to read the writing on the walls, being veterans and all. The link at the top points to Cashman believing that Torre and/or his staff told him that they talked to Jeter, a veteran, but they actually didn’t. Your examples are all “kids”, except Furcal. It’s possible Ian and mwhite are both right to some extent.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:30 PM PST up reply actions  

Hopefully there's an article or fanshot on BA's list on Friday

I’ve been looking forward to this for a while now. Canuck’s list was excellent, so it’ll be interesting to compare the two. Right now, here are the locks:

1. Dee Gordon
2. Chris Withrow
3. Ethan Martin
4. Andrew Lambo

This almost has to be the top 4, in some order. The rest is tougher to predict.

by silverwidow on Dec 2, 2009 5:04 PM PST reply actions  

been looking for a silver lining to the last few days, how's this

since we’re CLEARLY further away from a World Series championship than we were two months ago- not out of it, just further- does this reduce the chances of trading Dee Gordon to get us “over the hump”, in a probably ill-advised move that we will almost certainly regret later? A lot can happen, of course, but it sounds like he may be ready to take over SS just in time for when Rafael Furcal leaves without an arbitration offer. (Sorry- I tried to stay positive through the whole post, but I’m just not ready yet! :/ )

by sarcastro9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:18 PM PST up reply actions  

since we’re CLEARLY further away from a World Series championship than we were two months ago

I don’t believe that. At least not yet. I mean, the reason we were all so incensed about not offering Wolf arbitration, is because we assumed he wouldn’t take it. 2 months ago, we were essentially predicting the team to look the same as it looks today.

What deflated us about yesterday, is the impact to years down the line from the discarding of free draft picks.

by Michael White on Dec 2, 2009 5:21 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah, true

the impact of losing Wolf and Hudson is definitely a setback, but not as much as the idea of losing out on 4 first round picks! (including the supplemental round)

Ok, I’ll try again- perhaps the silver lining is that McCourt expects to be gone shortly, thus not CARING what team looks like in a few years?

by sarcastro9 on Dec 2, 2009 5:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Plus it says there's no money this winter for free agents

That’s my guess. There’s no money for draft picks, and that suggests there’s no real money available to improve the MLB club next year.

If they just fill in gaps with minimum-wage guys, they aren’t going to get past anybody in the playoffs. They might not even make the playoffs, if the Giants get their act together and make the right moves this winter.

by MattBakerJr on Dec 2, 2009 8:55 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm just shocked that Colletti almost DID trade Gordon

for Cliff Lee. There’s no doubt that’s his type of player.

by silverwidow on Dec 2, 2009 5:23 PM PST up reply actions  

.. And Withrow (Or Martin)

by Julio Nievas on Dec 2, 2009 5:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Other then

Juan Pierre why do you keep saying Gordon is Ned’s type of player. Ned hasn’t signed one player who meets Gordon’s profile other then Juan Pierre and that was three long winters ago.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 5:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Ned values speed and defense. This is a fact. He preaches these as fundamental ingredients to winning baseball.

Gordon obviously has a sky high ceiling in both areas (that’s if he can stick at SS).

by silverwidow on Dec 2, 2009 6:53 PM PST up reply actions  

One more thing

When he was asked who would win the World Series on a radio show, the FIRST thing he mentioned in the Phillies’ favor was their speed.

by silverwidow on Dec 2, 2009 6:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Action vs. Words in a volume contest

What Ned does, however, is acquire or re-sign numerous speedy defensive wonders like Luis Gonzalez, Jeff Kent, Nomar Garciaparra, Mark Sweeney, Mark Loretta, Jim Thome, Roly-Poly, ….

However, because he does say those things, that makes me more comfortable that Matt Kemp is here to stay.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Elbert should, unquestionably, be the top prospect for us, but I’m sure he won’t get his due respect and will end up more around 5 or 6.

by Ivdown on Dec 3, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Little shocked the Braves are giving the ball to Wagner in the 9th. How many hard throwing lefty closers who have had arm surgery past the age of 30 have bounced back to resemble themselves in the last 20 years? BJ Ryan sure didn’t. Not to many comp’s I guess since lefty closers are so rare in the first place.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 5:52 PM PST reply actions  

Seeing the headline I figured this post was about Preston

so a little surprised to see it was about his Dad. As I’ve said before I have zero interest in having a lifetime Yankee become a Dodger manager. It is not like the Dodgers dont’ have a plethora of candidates starting with Tim Wallach who at least spent some time in the Ravine.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 5:54 PM PST reply actions  

Someone can rebutt

this by saying just pick the best man for the job but you’d have a hard time convincing me that Don Mattingly is the best man for the job because you would have zero to back it up with since we have no clue what kind of manager he’d be.

Not to belabor the point but has anyone noticed what Russell has hit since Don became the hitting coach? On the other hand look what Andre has done. Maybe we need a right handed hitting coach and a left handed hitting coach. I’ve never quite understood how one single hitting coach who had a certain style can help a roster of totally different type of hitters.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 2, 2009 5:57 PM PST up reply actions  

What does Jeff Pentland do?

by pdotmac1 on Dec 3, 2009 8:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Let's not forget

Somewhat off topic, but Girardi didn’t win a thing, nor did he even make the playoffs, until his FO went out and spent $423 million last off-season.

by Capt Obvious on Dec 2, 2009 6:19 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

agreed

if instead of Wolf and Hudson the Dodgers had signed Tex, Sabbathia, and Burnett I think we’d still be talking about the 2009 World Champion Dodgers.

by bearface on Dec 3, 2009 5:49 AM PST up reply actions  

I Would Rather...

…see Tim Wallach succeed Torre than Mattingly. I don’t think Mattingly has ever managed in the minors, has he?

by CanuckDodger on Dec 2, 2009 6:44 PM PST reply actions  

I do not like the whole idea that a current coach/manager can name his replacement.

It is all the rage in CFB, and NFL. It makes sure the team can not go out and find the best fit just because of some baloney loyalty issue.

by delias man on Dec 3, 2009 7:39 AM PST reply actions  

Sounds like Polanco will be a Phillie…3 years, $18m with an option for 2013, to play 3B.

http://zozone.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/12/polanco_close_to_three-year_de.html

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 8:27 AM PST reply actions  

at least we’re not doing that. His bat doesn’t play at 3B even if he has a rebound year, does it? And how will his defense be there?

Although I guess having Utley at 2B gives you room to have a different type of 3B

by LA Taco on Dec 3, 2009 8:50 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree

I am glad the Dodgers did not give Polanco that contract, even to play 2B

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 8:51 AM PST up reply actions  

I never really thought about that option. Panda to 1B I guess.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:05 AM PST up reply actions  

Better than Panda-Ishikawa combo

by delias man on Dec 3, 2009 9:06 AM PST up reply actions  

True

I would be legitimately terrified of the Giants if they pull a Beltre/Holliday or Beltre/Bay offseason.

That said, it would be cool to grab Ryan Garko for the bench if he ends up getting non-tendered. He can mash lefties.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:09 AM PST up reply actions  

with the dodgers in (something approaching) disarray

it’s prime time for the giants. But they’re just the sort to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

by LA Taco on Dec 3, 2009 9:20 AM PST up reply actions  

Have you ready anywhere if

they have money to spend? We already know AZ has about 10 mil, Padres 0 and Dodgers 0.

by delias man on Dec 3, 2009 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Reports suggest they can raise payroll to around $90 million

but Lincecum’s big arby raise is going to take a chunk of that and they’ve got Brian Wilson and Jonathan Sanchez to negotiate big raises for as well. In the end, though, they should have some extra money to spend on offense, it’s just a matter of how much.

by Rox Girl on Dec 3, 2009 9:43 AM PST up reply actions  

So....

Have you read anything there about the Rockies plans?

by delias man on Dec 3, 2009 9:51 AM PST up reply actions  

The team isn't going to be adding payroll,

Or at least not a lot of it, so they’re looking for cheaper versions of Atkins, Torrealba and Marquis to take their places without losing overall quality (should be easy on the first two, difficult for the third) and then spend the excess on maintaining the bullpen. The Rockies hope that Jeff Francis is back and healthy and can pick up the slack for losing Marquis, but as a fan, the shoulder issues concern me and I hope there will be a suitable backup plan by the start of the season.

Like the Dodgers, the core of the team is pretty young and stable so not a lot needs to be done to keep them competitive, but probably like you guys, I’d prefer it if there was more being done to actually improve our chances.

by Rox Girl on Dec 3, 2009 10:00 AM PST up reply actions  

At least you guys get picks if Marquis signs elsewhere. OTOH, given his late-season fade and not starting in the playoffs, I wouldn’t be stunned if he accepted the arbitration offer.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Nope

just a fear.

I don’t think the Dodgers have $0 to spend. I imagine they will spend something like $10m in 2010 dollars on free agents / moves this offseason, but they were too afraid it would be wrapped up in one guy if Hudson and/or Wolf accepted arb.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:41 AM PST up reply actions  

Stop it – you are giving me hope.

by delias man on Dec 3, 2009 9:44 AM PST up reply actions  

I’m not sure if Polanco’s combo of offense & defense at 3B will be that much better than Pedro Feliz for the Phillies, but I do have a sense of payroll envy.

The Phillies will have a payroll right around $130m or so in 2010 ($111.625m for 16 guys right now, assuming $6m for Polanco, plus some arb cases).

I’m not saying spend money to spend money, because you could end up spending it on Polanco to play 3B, but wouldn’t it be nice if the Dodgers’ ceiling was $130m instead of ~$105m?

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

At $130m last season we could’ve added not just Manny/Blake/Furcal but also one of CC/Tex/AJ/etc.

at $130m this year we could have the best bench in baseball, or sign a big time FA and trade for a 2B etc.

by LA Taco on Dec 3, 2009 10:04 AM PST up reply actions  

Given that our ceiling does seem to be $105 MM (or possibly less)...

A) What do people hope we can do with the $10 or so million to spend?

B) What do people think Ned is likely to do with $10 or so million to spend?

*non-editors note – this could probably be a separate thread, now that we all have a better idea of the team’s direction as reflected by arbitration decisions.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 10:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Must be nice

Maybe the Phillies ownership doesn’t have Frank’s debt load, but they also have a shiny less than 5 year old stadium – and who paid for that? Not to mention it seats about 10k less pax per game.

I don’t know anything about their revenue streams so I’m curious how they can afford to be such a big spending team.

by Capt Obvious on Dec 3, 2009 1:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Very similar to the contract Ned gave Casey Blake: 3 years/$17.5M (2009-11), plus 2012 club option. The differences being that Blake is one-year older in the contract years compared to Polanco, but is a real 3B.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:48 PM PST up reply actions  

From Jon Heyman
#rockies, marquis had falling out over his reaction to him not getting playoff start. so he isnt expected to accept arb

So at least one NL West team understands the dynamic of a scorned player not wanting to return, and capitalizing on that fact.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 8:29 AM PST reply actions  

“Are you someone we want to give the ball to in an important game? No, no you’re not.”

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 8:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Until his agent advises him that he could get $11M in arb., but the FA offers for him look like 2yrs/$14. (Just WAGs at numbers.)

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Pretty cool blog

from Garrett Broshuis, a 27-year old minor league pitcher in the Giants organization. He provides some good insight, even if he is technically an “enemy.”

http://minorleaguelife.blogspot.com/

Broshuis was the one who wrote the NYT guest Op-Ed regarding baseball and health care for minor leaguers last month.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:07 AM PST reply actions  

Castro officially a Phillie

from Todd Zolecki:

Phillies announce infielder Juan Castro has signed a one-year contract with a club option for 2011

Not sure of the money yet.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 9:22 AM PST reply actions  

Just to weigh in on all of the hub bub for a sec.....

It was disappointing that the Dodgers did not offer arbitration, but jus to put a positive spin on it for myself, Frank is in a perilous position right now and is trying to get by somehow. Saving now just so he can keep the ball club running while he straightens things out. After that, he can improve on his own job.
What I do know is that the Dodgers can become a World Series entrant if Billingsley and Kershaw take the next step. If they do that, those are our ace guys who can dominate it. Hopefully Ethier matches last year, Manny improves, Kemp improves and I am predicting Loney turns his road power numbers into home numbers too and hits 25 home runs. That is a lot of room for growth for a team that is already good. With a few good mid season moves, they are contending for the World Series, granted I don’t know if anybody can beat the Yankees for the next few years until Jeter and Arod start falling apart.

I haven’t given up yet. The Raiders are another story though.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 10:20 AM PST reply actions  

Or you can try looking at it from that whole reality angle:
Hope is lost until a new owner emerges

The only thing left to be decided is how many years it will take to recover after this jackass screws up the team.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 3, 2009 10:25 AM PST up reply actions  

I won't take that angle

until the team is bad. But as it is, the team is really fucking good. If McCourt starts trading the Kemp’s, Ehtier’s, etc., then I will have a serious problem. And I do look at it from a reality angle. I am not blind to people making mistakes. Not offering arbitration is obviously a mistake down the road, but it is not the end of the world for me yet. I also think it is early in the offseason, so I will not fully judge it until opening rosters are set. Lot’s of things can happen.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 10:33 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree

Nothing earth shattering has happened yet to impact 2010. I’m no more optimistic or pessimistic about 2010 then I was a week ago. I knew Hudson and Wolf weren’t coming back and the draft picks wasted obviously have nothing to do with next season.

by Michael White on Dec 3, 2009 10:41 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree to a point

My anger / despair over the lack of arb offers has more to do with a general bad feeling about the direction the club is headed in the long term.

Also, the one effect of 2010 was that it really drove home the fact that the Dodgers don’t have the budget to really add anything significant in payroll for next season. However, that was sort of already known anyway, at least implicitly.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 10:48 AM PST up reply actions  

The only moves most of us wanted made

were signing guys with high upside/low cost (Harden, Sheets, Bedard) but the club had never demonstrated that they were interested in going that route anyway.

I still don’t mind that the club doesn’t have a ton of money to make the wrong decisions, like trading the farm for Roy Halladay.

by Michael White on Dec 3, 2009 10:55 AM PST up reply actions  

I understand

those lack of arb offerings giving you a bad feeling of where the club is heading. I have those feelings, but maybe not as strong yet….
It would be nice if the Dodgers would increase the payroll. But also, there isn’t really any free agents available this offseason that would make sense to sign even if they had that payroll.
Maybe Ned can make up for it by signing a couple of guys for cheap that turn into value signings.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 11:03 AM PST up reply actions  

Agree

It’s a case of the team still being incredibly short sighted, and as such, prone to keep making moves that will hurt the team going forward.

by Capt Obvious on Dec 3, 2009 1:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Frank is in a perilous position right now and is trying to get by somehow. Saving now just so he can keep the ball club running while he straightens things out. After that, he can improve on his own job.

I don’t know what would change under McCourt’s ownership so he could improve though.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 10:30 AM PST up reply actions  

I was just putting a somewhat positive sping on it

in my own mind. He may really fuck the whole thing up. I am aware of that. But I am still thinking of ways that he can improve his position and standing. Somehow. I don’t know? I am sure in his ego, he is thinking the same thing.

by Ian Capilouto on Dec 3, 2009 10:35 AM PST up reply actions  

Its good to have optimism

But when a snake has just bit you, you don’t hope the snake will change its ways and trust the snake.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 3, 2009 10:45 AM PST up reply actions  

The positive spin

is that the current team is the exact same team that was playing for the NLCS. Other then the fact the best pitcher in the posteason is a free agent (Padilla) and that the best pitcher all season is a free agent (Wolf) and both 2nd baseman are free agents (Hudson/Belliard) it is basically the same team.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Dodger Offseason

As summarized in LA Times article

The Dodgers are expected to explore the possibility of dealing fourth outfielder Juan Pierre for an overpaid back-of-the-rotation pitcher in a trade that would essentially amount to a swap of bad contracts. Pierre is owed $18.5 million over the next two seasons.

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-angels-dodgers29-2009nov29,0,6353644.story

Add open tryouts in Spring training to whomever will play for <<<$1 Million/year and you’ve pretty much just summed up the Dodger off-season.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 3, 2009 10:47 AM PST reply actions  

Am I the only one who thinks that would be a good thing?

Swapping Pierre for a back of the rotation starter that is…

by Michael White on Dec 3, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Nope

I would endorse that move

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 10:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Millwood?

Besides Harang and Arroyo who else meets those specifications? What team needs a CF that has a pitcher with a bad contract?

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Up until the Brewers acquired Carlos Gomez from the Twins, they had a need and Suppan, but he sucks anyways.

According to a recent article, the Rangers are not trying to move Millwood.

The Mets need an outfielder and have Oliver Perez, but he was terrible last year and even more costly than Pierre.

The Royals need a CF and have Gil Meche, but not sure of his health status.

The Braves would probably like to move Kawakami, but I don’t think they would want Pierre.

The only other team(s) I can think of would be Tigers or Indians who are saddled with guys like Bonderman, Robertson, Willis, Westbrook, Carmona – Can’t see any of these working out though.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

No I would like to see that also. I wish the Reds didn’t already have Taveras rotting there, because I think Arroyo or Harang could put up a decent season in Dodgertown.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 10:58 AM PST up reply actions  

The bad thing is

that is the best possible thing that Ned can do in the off-season (and he will be lucky even to do that).

Its is depressing to think that the gaining of Barry Zito will be the marquee off-season move.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 3, 2009 11:09 AM PST up reply actions  

I think the best possible thing Ned could do this off-season is sign one of Bedard/Sheets/Duchsherer to a reasonable contract and that person throw 180+ innings.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 11:13 AM PST up reply actions  

If any GM knew

that any of those three would throw 180 innings they’d be getting one hell of a contract offer. Based on history the odds of that happening are slim. I’ve never such a group of talented but question mark starters in the free agent market. Not just the three you mentioned by Harden and Escobar as well. You could even throw Mulder into that group.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Dodgers have somewhere between the 16th & 25th ranked farm system

per Baseball America:

L.A. has spent less on draft picks the last two years than any club, and it shows

by Eric Stephen on Dec 3, 2009 10:51 AM PST reply actions  

I think if you were to ask Sickels he would put us slightly higher than that. Just my opinion, but I think BA always overranks entire teams and guys based on draft standing and “raw tools” as opposed to actual results and age, which is why their top ten lists change so much from year to year.

I could entirely be an outlier on this, but its been an opinion brewing for a few years now.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't think so

Sickels seems to have a very low opinion of Lambo who many here consider our best offensive product. I’d doubt that anyone gets an A or A- grade from him right now.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:25 AM PST up reply actions  

He is not high on Lambo, but overall I think we have to be in the top 5 or 10 in pitching depth in low minors through AA (starting next season) and I think Sickels will recognize that when he publishes his book.

I guess another difference with BA is that if a system has one or two guys with real high ceilings they bump up that team’s overall ranking, whereas I always thought depth of the system should be valued highly and I tend to think that Sickels reflects this.

by BFDC on Dec 3, 2009 11:49 AM PST up reply actions  

Can't agree with that summation

our last two drafts have been solid, it was the prior drafts that have given us little at aaa-aa.

Now if they said we have spent less on international players ( which is also true) and it shows I’d agree with that statement. Which they did in fact say, I’m just disagreeing with the quote you are showing. This was in Kensai’s story that I linked to several days ago.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:24 AM PST up reply actions  

2006 and Kershaw would like to respectfully disagree with you :)

lol.

Other than Kershaw, was there really anything productive from that draft for the Dodgers?

by Ivdown on Dec 3, 2009 1:08 PM PST up reply actions  

When do the team prospect lists comes out?

by Ivdown on Dec 3, 2009 1:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Braves paying

two Red Sox relief pitchers $10 Million in 2010 while letting go better pitchers in Gonzalez and Soriano so they can get draft picks. Interesting

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 3, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

I still like Saito’s pitching ability and would have easily been in favor of giving him the same deal to take Mota’s spot, or to replace Sherrill if he were traded.

by Ivdown on Dec 3, 2009 1:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Isn’t there a big difference between the 5th/6th (or several runs down late) inning guy and the set-up (8th inning) man? The latter might be worth $3M, if you don’t have a better option. The former ain’t worth that much coin.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:59 PM PST up reply actions  

They did lose the #20 overall pick to sign Wagner, however.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Dec 3, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Read an interview recently where Billy Beane says Ks and K/9IP are the best stats to evaluate pitching.

I like it.

by silverwidow on Dec 3, 2009 11:46 AM PST reply actions  

They are a big indicator but they don’t tell the whole story. I believe Darren Dreifort has over 8.5 k/9 inning for his career, and we all know how good he really was.

by Ivdown on Dec 3, 2009 1:11 PM PST up reply actions  

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NL West Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
San Diego 76 56 .575 0 Lost 7
San Francisco 74 60 .552 3 Won 2
Colorado 69 63 .522 7 Lost 2
Los Angeles 68 66 .507 9 Lost 2
Arizona 55 79 .410 22 Won 3

(updated 9.2.2010 at 3:17 AM PDT)

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2010 Dodger Payroll

Pos No Player 2010 Salary
C 28 Barajas $117,486
1B 7 Loney $3,100,000
2B  13 Theriot $909,290
3B 23 Blake $6,000,000
SS 14 Carroll $1,475,000
LF  21 Podsednik $640,710
CF 27 Kemp $4,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $6,000,000

OF 5 Johnson $800,000
2B/3B/1B 3 Belliard $825,000
OF/1B 31 Gibbons $155,738
C 12 Ausmus $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $440,000
SP 18 Kuroda $14,100,000
SP 58 Billingsley $3,850,000
SP  29 Lilly $1,696,721
SP 37 Monasterios $460,000

CL 56 Kuo $950,000
RHP 51 Broxton $4,000,000
RHP  26 Dotel $636,612
RHP 74
Jansen $159,563
RHP 54 Belisario $297,541
RHP 38 Troncoso $297,792
RHP 36 Weaver $800,000
LHP 52 Sherrill $4,500,000

DL 15 Furcal $8,500,000
DL 44 Padilla $4,025,000
DL 59 Schlichting $185,792
DL 55 Martin $5,050,000

Manny $7,267,760


Pierre $4,000,000


Andruw $3,600,000


Schmidt $2,000,000


Wolf $2,000,000


Hudson $1,440,000


Nomar $1,250,000
Anderson $409,699
Ra.Ortiz $349,727
AAA 45 Miller $292,623
DeWitt $266,612
AAA 17 Ellis $264,481


Ohman $200,000
AAA 49 Haeger $195,393
AAA 47 Wade $194,514
AAA  48 Ely $161,749
AAA 30 Paul $131,147


Repko $122,951
DFA 33 Castro $118,033
Green $96,175
Ru.Ortiz $63,934
AAA 50 Link $48,087
DFA 35
Taschner $39,344


Zerpa $35,000
McDonald $28,771
AAA 60 Hu $13,148
AAA 57 Elbert $6,557
AAA
Hoffmann ($25,000)


Stults ($400,000)

Totals
$98,992,190
 
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