2010 CHONE Projections: Pitching

Last month, Sean Smith of Anaheim Angels All The Way released his 2010 CHONE projections for offense.  Now, we have the pitching projections as well.  More info can be found at BaseballProjection.com.  I have added the projections for many Dodgers, including some outgoing free agents, to go with the projections from the 2010 Bill James Handbook.  As more projection systems release their projections, I will add them so we can get a more complete overall preview of the 2010 Dodgers.

I calculated FIP for the projections based on the formula at The Hardball Times.  In these projections, keep in mind that playing time and pitching role is merely estimated.

Starters

Clayton Kershaw
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 115 4.15 4.30 4.46 7.98
2009 actual 171.0 2.79 3.06 4.79 9.74
2010 Bill James     180 3.25 3.47 4.55 9.40
2010 CHONE 151 3.58 3.68 4.65 9.42
2010 status under club control
 
Chad Billingsley
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 193 3.68 3.72 3.92 8.81
2009 CHONE 161 3.69 3.70 3.75 8.72
2009 actual 196.1 4.03 3.77 3.94 8.21
2010 Bill James     185 3.65 3.77 3.94 8.61
2010 CHONE 182 3.71 3.73 3.76 8.60
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
Hiroki Kuroda
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 192 3.89 4.38 2.53 5.86
2009 CHONE 158 4.04 4.24 2.28 6.04
2009 actual 117.1 3.76 3.61 1.84 6.67
2010 Bill James     128 3.80 4.29 2.46 5.98
2010 CHONE 154 4.32 3.99 2.45 6.31
2010 status under contract
 
Randy Wolf
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 195 4.25 4.30 3.32 7.62
2009 CHONE 124 4.43 4.44 3.63 7.48
2009 actual 214.1 3.23 3.99 2.44 6.72
2010 Bill James     200 3.87 4.26 3.02 7.16
2010 CHONE 163 4.42 4.38 3.09 6.52
2010 status free agent
 

Vicente Padilla
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 151 4.71 4.71 3.28 6.26
2009 CHONE 152 4.91 4.77 3.55 6.34
2009 actual 147.1 4.46 4.51 3.30 5.93
2010 Bill James     141 4.66 4.73 3.26 6.19
2010 CHONE 155 4.70 4.74 3.60 6.27
2010 status free agent
Padilla's stats with Texas included
 
Jon Garland
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 186 4.69 5.02 2.90 4.40
2009 CHONE 187 5.01 4.50 2.60 4.91
2009 actual 204 4.01 4.43 2.69 4.81
2010 Bill James     216 4.33 4.62 2.67 4.54
2010 CHONE 186 4.55 4.53 2.71 4.60
2010 status free agent
Garland's stats with Arizona included
 

Bullpen

Jonathan Broxton
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 70 3.09 2.63 3.47 11.19
2009 CHONE 72 2.88 2.80 3.25 10.88
2009 actual 76.0 2.61 1.98 3.43 13.50
2010 Bill James     80 2.36 2.44 3.49 11.70
2010 CHONE 67 2.69 2.51 3.36 11.82
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
George Sherrill
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 53 3.40 3.43 4.58 10.19
2009 CHONE 43 3.77 4.01 4.60 8.79
2009 actual 69.0 1.70 3.09 3.13 7.96
2010 Bill James     74 2.92 3.37 4.01 9.36
2010 CHONE 52 3.63 3.77 3.98 9.35
2010 status arbitration eliglble
Sherrill's stats with Baltimore included
 
Hong-Chih Kuo
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James 69 3.39 2.90 3.52 10.96
2009 CHONE 45 3.00 2.71 3.00 11.00
2009 actual 30.0 3.00 3.18 3.90 9.60
2010 Bill James     48 3.00 3.00 3.75 10.50
2010 CHONE 39 3.23 3.23 3.23 9.69
2010 status arbitration eliglble
 
Ronald Belisario
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 37 6.08 6.58 5.11 5.59
2009 actual 70.2 2.04 3.26 3.69 8.15
2010 Bill James     69 4.04 4.25 4.17 7.17
2010 CHONE 60 4.50 4.55 4.05 7.50
2010 status under club control
 
Ramon Troncoso
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 60 4.20 4.08 3.60 6.75
2009 actual 82.2 2.72 3.31 3.70 5.99
2010 Bill James     72 3.88 3.59 3.75 6.63
2010 CHONE 71 4.06 3.95 3.55 6.59
2010 status under club control
 
James McDonald
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 127 4.54 5.12 4.11 7.72
2009 actual 63.0 4.00 4.29 4.86 7.71
2010 Bill James     74 3.77 4.27 4.01 9.12
2010 CHONE 62 3.77 4.05 4.06 9.29
2010 status under club control
 
Scott Elbert
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 43 3.98 4.36 5.65 10.47
2009 actual 19.2 5.03 4.73 3.20 9.61
2010 Bill James     --- --- --- --- ---
2010 CHONE 47 3.64 3.81 4.60 10.72
2010 status under club control
 
Cory Wade
Year IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9
2009 Bill James --- --- --- --- ---
2009 CHONE 53 3.74 4.02 2.55 7.30
2009 actual 27.2 5.53 4.13 3.25 5.86
2010 Bill James     --- --- --- --- ---
2010 CHONE 62 4.21 4.41 3.05 7.11
2010 status under club control
 

In addition, here are some other notable 2010 CHONE projections for other Dodgers.

Other Projections
Pitcher IP ERA FIP BB/9 K/9     2010 Contract Status
Eric Stults
138 4.89 4.61 3.72 6.59     under club control (out of options)
Charlie Haeger   
170 4.98 5.14 4.34 6.51     under club control (out of options)
Jeff Weaver
49 4.41 4.48 3.12 6.43     free agent
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