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Dodgers Offseason Path Appears Set

Through three days of the winter meetings, the Dodgers haven't made any deals, but we do have a better idea of their plans this offseason.  Randy Wolf signed with the Brewers today for $29.75 million over three years, leaving the Dodgers with a sizable void to fill in their starting rotation.

Actually, there are two holes to fill, behind Clayton Kershaw, Chad Billingsley, and Hiroki Kuroda.  It appears the Dodgers are still in the market for one starting pitcher, but general manager Ned Colletti said he is looking to fill one of the two open rotation slots from within.  Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reported:

Colletti said he's comfortable holding the last rotation spot for a Spring Training competition involving James McDonald, Scott Elbert, Josh Lindblom, Charlie Haeger and Ramon Troncoso. Colletti added left-hander Eric Stults to that group he originally listed on Tuesday.

In my mind, Elbert is the favorite of that group, with his electric left arm, but there is plenty of time for that to get sorted out.  McDonald had success out of the bullpen (2.72 ERA, 8.70 strikeouts per nine innings), and I can see him returning to that role in 2010, even though I'm not ready to give up on him as a starter just yet.  Both Haeger and Stults are out of options, so they will not only be fighting for a starting role at Camelback Ranch, but also will be fighting for their baseball lives.

How the Dodgers fill that other starting rotation slot has yet to be seen, but the Dodgers don't have much room in their budget without getting creative.  If the Dodgers wanted to pay a pitcher $10 million a year, they would have either offered Wolf arbitration, or made an offer to him when presented the opportunity by Wolf's agent, Arn Tellem, today.  Wolf's deal, coupled with Brad Penny's deal with St. Louis (one year, $7.5 million plus incentives) and the oft-injured Rich Harden's deal with Texas (one year, $7.5 million with an $11.5 million option for 2011), made it clear that most free agent pitchers are simply out of the Dodgers' price range.  If they sign a free agent pitcher, it might be someone like a Vicente Padilla and Jon Garland, again.  That is, if they come cheaply enough.

Another option to fill the starting pitching void is to trade Juan Pierre.  The idea here is to swap Pierre's contract (two years, $18.5 million) for a high-priced pitcher in a swap of inflated contracts, using that money to pay for a position in need rather than for a fourth outfielder.  Options here include:

2009 2010 Projected
Pitcher 2010 Age ERA FIP ERA FIP Contract remaining
Bronson Arroyo 33 3.84 4.78 4.11 4.49 2010: $11m; 2011: $11m option ($2m buyout)
Aaron Harang 32 4.21 4.14 4.18 4.14 2010: $12.5m; 2011: $12.75m option ($2m buyout)
Paul Maholm 28 4.44 3.83 4.29 4.20 2 years, $11m total, plus $9.75m option for 2012
Nate Robertson 32 5.44 4.55 4.89 4.67 2010: $10m
Jeremy Bonderman 27 only 10 IP
4.43 4.22 2010: $12.5m
2010 Projections from Bill James Handbook Contract info courtesy of the amazing Cot's

I would have thought Kevin Millwood was another trade option (due $12 million in 2010), but he was traded to the Orioles earlier Wednesday.   Maholm may be a pipe dream, as his contract isn't all that onerous, but the Pirates seem interested in Pierre, so maybe there is a fit.

Matching up Pierre with a team directly might be tough, so a three-team trade may be the way to go.  In fact, Pierre may be traded to fill a different hole, second base.  Steve Henson of Yahoo Sports tweeted this on Wednesday night:

Dodgers are more concerned about 2B than letting on publicly, but 3-way trade tries at offing Pierre while filling 2B aren't working yet.

This is interesting, because in the report by Gurnick, Colletti showed a faith in Blake DeWitt manning the second base next season:

At second base, he's sounding more and more comfortable with DeWitt, although he still hopes to add a veteran from a group of free agents that includes Ronnie Belliard, Craig Counsell, Juan Uribe, Jamey Carroll and Felipe Lopez.

"Barring something not on the radar, it will be Blake DeWitt plus a veteran if we started the season today," Colletti said

Whether or not any budget constraints forced this philosophy, Colletti appears to have a faith in the Dodgers' young talent to play a big role in 2010.  If you ask me, I think the Dodgers bring back one of Garland or Padilla, and bring back Belliard to caddy for the Blakes -- DeWitt at second and Casey at third.  Which means the 2010 Dodgers will look a lot like the 2009 Dodgers in many ways, and the returning cast will have to step up.

Diamond Leung reported that Colletti expressed that same sentiment while showing faith in Chad Billingsley in an interview with Sirius XM:

"Sometimes, you have to make your guys better. You just can’t continue to expect to fill everything from the outside and continue to sign free agents and continue to trade away players. You end up in the same spot more times than not and most of the time worse off than before you started making moves…

The 2010 Dodgers need their guys to be better if they want to stay atop the NL West.

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

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Lets trade Juan Pierre for Pierre Juan.

by Tripon on Dec 9, 2009 11:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

As a starter?
The Dodgers have interest in re-signing righty Jeff Weaver, according to MLB.com’s Ken Gurnick. The 33-year-old Weaver had a 3.65 ERA in 79 innings for LA last season.

by dsm9412 on Dec 9, 2009 11:23 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Most likely a swing role again

by Eric Stephen on Dec 9, 2009 11:29 PM PST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

And by swing role

you mean home opener starter. ;(

by Cool Dudes on Dec 10, 2009 9:22 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

More catcher news

RT @stevehenson333: Yorvit Torrealba is exhausting his possibilities but the Rockies offered $5M+ over 2 years and it’s only a matter of time before he accepts.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 9, 2009 11:28 PM PST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

stevehenson333
  
Mark DeRosa is the Giants’ top priority at 3B because he’s cheaper than Beltre and versatile enough to move if Sandoval has to stay at 3B.

by Tripon on Dec 9, 2009 11:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I rather have Yorvit for two years, 5 million than Molina for two years, 12 million

by Tripon on Dec 9, 2009 11:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

last july i was completely confident in our young pitching staff, too

then i watched Cliff Lee and CC Sabbathia start Game 1 of the World Series

by bearface on Dec 10, 2009 5:16 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Good Perspective

Sometimes people don’t recognize that young players represent the future, not necessarily the present.

But I agree with Ned this year when it comes to playing players from the past or the future, you go with the future.

by Cool Dudes on Dec 10, 2009 9:24 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

if that made YOU feel bad

imagine how an Indians fan would have felt!

by sarcastro9 on Dec 10, 2009 7:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Joel Sherman of the New York Post says that the Yankees will take outfielder Jamie Hoffmann from the Dodgers with the first pick, which they acquired from the Nationals for Brian Bruney earlier this week.

by Tripon on Dec 10, 2009 6:16 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Bad news

Jamie Hofmann was 1st pick in Rule 5 draft

by Eric Stephen on Dec 10, 2009 6:17 AM PST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Good news

Mike Jacobs was released by Royals.

by Eric Stephen on Dec 10, 2009 6:18 AM PST via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Shocked about Hoffmann. Didn’t think he was highly valued .

Steve Johnson, on the other hand — that was a just stupid move by the O’s.

by silverwidow on Dec 10, 2009 6:45 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Both Haeger and Stults are out of options, so they will not only be fighting for a starting role at Camelback Ranch, but also will be fighting for their baseball lives.

They may be fighting for their Dodger baseball lives but not their pitching lives, both will be pitching in the major leagues somewhere in 2010.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Dec 10, 2009 7:29 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

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2010 Dodger Payroll

Pos No Player 2010 Salary
C 55 Martin $5,050,000
1B 7 Loney $3,100,000
2B 33 DeWitt $410,000*
3B 23 Blake $6,000,000
SS 15 Furcal $8,500,000
LF 99 Manny $7,267,760
CF 27 Kemp $4,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $6,000,000

2B/3B 14 Carroll $1,350,000
2B/3B/1B 3 Belliard $825,000
C 12 Ausmus $850,000
OF 5 Johnson $800,000
SS 60 Hu $405,000*

SP 22 Kershaw $440,000
SP 58 Billingsley $3,850,000
SP 18 Kuroda $14,100,000
SP 44 Padilla $4,025,000
SP 50 Stults $405,000*

CL 51 Broxton $4,000,000
LHP 52 Sherrill $4,500,000
LHP 56 Kuo $950,000
RHP 67 Troncoso $425,000*
RHP 54 Belisario $425,000*
RHP 37 Haeger $425,000*
RHP 68 Monasterios $460,000*



Pierre $4,000,000


Andruw $3,600,000


Schmidt $2,000,000


Wolf $2,000,000


Hudson $1,440,000


Nomar $1,250,000


Ohman $200,000


Zerpa $35,000


Hoffmann ($50,000)

Others on 40-man roster (total: 39)
RHP 47 Wade
C 9 Ellis  
OF 75 Paul
OF 17 Repko $500,000
SS 87 DeJesus**  
RHP 64 Guerra**  
RHP 74 Jansen**  
LHP 59 Leach**
RHP 73 Link**  
C 71 May**  
RHP 31 McDonald**  
RHP 49 Schlichting**  
LHP 57 Elbert**  
OF 62 Robinson**  

Totals
$93,537,760
 
Red = arbitration
Asterisk (*) = estimated
** = currently in minor league camp
For more detailed information, click here.

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