Blake DeWitt Community Projections
by meercatjohn on Feb 18, 2009 10:08 AM PST
in Community Projections
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Blake DeWitt is up.
|
DeWitt |
THT |
Pecota |
HQ |
|
BA |
.252 | .264 |
.251 |
|
OBP |
.306 |
.330 |
.305 |
|
Slug |
.368 |
.401 |
.374 |
Some very negative projections. The best of the lot comes from Pecota but I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that what we saw from DeWitt was some real growth. He had a strange year after being plucked from AA to start opening day at 3rd base. He filled the job adequately in April but took off in May and then slammed into the wall in June/July and was sent packing to AAA. He returned as a 2nd baseman and proceeded to mash the ball for a 2nd baseman. His defensive skills at 2nd are still in question but this projection is about his offense.
His splits are interesting. He only hit home runs in two months, May and Sept. The best part about his Sept was that his BABIP was only .290 as compared to the .343 that fueled his May. The big story about DeWitt in Sept was the power (5 home runs) and the plate discipline (18 walks). No one thinks he can maintain that but they also don't think he can do what he did in April/May and seem to be focused on how bad he was in June/July. Being an optimist about Blake I'm going to blow the forecasts away with my projection.
.282/.347/.438
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260/340/400
This guy is difficult to project because his most relevant numbers are still MLEs.
re:
I agree, he is the most difficult player on the team to project. We can agree he won’t be great but will he be adequate? I actually would have liked to see some competition for the 2nd base job between Abreu and DeWitt but after missing so much time Abreu needs to get some at bats before he can try to lay claim to the 2nd base job. In my view the defensive value of Abreu in combination with his offense will allow him to eventually surpass DeWitt in value if he can stay healthy.
by meercatjohn on Feb 18, 2009 11:55 AM PST up reply actions
275/355/400
I’m high on Dewitt. People seem to discount DeWitt because he hit the wall in June/July. DeWitt hit 306/366/486 in AAA last year as a 22 year old. If he had never been in the pros (as a 22 year old no less) people would be proclaming him our next top prospsect.
re:
Maybe we are leery of top 3rd base prospects? It was only a year ago that this site was named after Andy LaRoche.
Huh?
But he has been to the pros, and people are using this added information to help project what he might do this year (plus, what meercat says).
.270/.350/.400
The fact that he’s a minor leaguer skews the projections, IMO. I’ve never known them to be good at projecting a prospect’s progress. They are all over the place for prospects.
But
This is all a moot point cause the Dodgers are going to sign Hudson!!
Kidding.
by the big grabowski on Feb 18, 2009 5:20 PM PST reply actions
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