Andre Ethier Community Projections
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Andre exploded after July 31st putting up a .991 OPS in the 2nd half. On July 31st Andre had an OPS of .780 and would end the year with an OPS of of .880. At age 27, Andre should be hitting his career peaks as he goes into camp with RF all his own for the first time since showing up on May 2nd, 2006.
2/24/2009 -LIMA Plan Targets: In the Baseball Forecaster, Brandon Kruse points out Andre Ethier's (RF/LF, LA) "terrific growth trends in PX [95-106-129], hr/f [8%-10%-14%], and xBA [.267-.275-.311]." Interestingly, Ethier doesn't hit many FB and has even trended down in that metric (37%-36%-32%), although 2008's low level was dragged down by what appears to be a fluky 26% FB% in the second half. However, Ethier does hit a large number of LD, 22%-18%-27% over the past three seasons -- again, the 2008 LD rate was pumped up by a 30% LD% in the second half, which should regress. Still, as pointed out in regards to David Wright, HR can come off LD in addition to FB, so don't discount Ethier just because of his low FB%. He has excellent BPIs and is at the magical age 27; invest.
| Andre Ethier Projections |
| THT | BP | HQl | |
| Avg |
.300 | .293 | .300 |
| OBP | .370 | .369 | .367 |
| SLug% | .482 | .465 | .525 |
My projection: .298/.367.493
What yours?
0 recs |
13 comments
|
Comments
mr. ethier
.304/.377/.497. i don’t usually get this excited about a player entering his prime, but i think andre has a higher ceiling than people give him credit for. i’m not sure he can improve on last year’s power numbers like HQI projects, but hopefully he’ll at least be able to slug .470 and up.
by murray805 on Mar 16, 2009 10:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
re:
Welcome to True Blue, thanks for joining and taking the time to post your projections. Did you find us via Yahoo?
by meercatjohn on Mar 16, 2009 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
805?
Murray, are you by chance from San Diego? I lived there for ~14 years but recently moved.
by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2009 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure this would level off over more PA
But in the 95 PA over 20 games in which he batted 2nd in front of Manny, Ethier hit .425/.505/.688.
Over the same period (August 28 – September 21), Manny hit .420/.515/.901!!! What great production from the 2/3 spots.
Over that period, the Dodgers went 16-7, and went from down 3 games to up 2.5 on Arizona.
by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2009 10:49 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
300/375/470
He might do it, but his hitting indicators just don’t show a substantial likelihood of power. Do HRs come from LDs? Sure. But not really. HQI knows it too, but I guess they thought they needed to say something to justify their huge SLG. They would have been better off saying “we think he’ll get lucky this year.” Which he well may do.
by Paul Scott on Mar 16, 2009 4:07 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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