Jake Peavy Trade Pending: Dodgers Breathe Sigh of Relief
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 9:14 AM PDT
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PrintYahoo's Gordon Edes has the lowdown:
The Chicago White Sox have agreed to ship four pitching prospects, including prized left-handers Aaron Poreda and Clayton Richard, to the San Diego Padres for ace right-hander Jake Peavy, but the deal is contingent on Peavy’s acceptance, a baseball source said Thursday.
Buster Olney and Peter Gammons give us the reaction of Peavy's former teammate Scott Linebrink, now with the White Sox:
Peavy called White Sox right-hander Scott Linebrink last night for his opinion about going to Chicago and got strong feedback, Gammons reported.
"Jake called me [Wednesday] afternoon to ask about what it's like here in Chicago," said Linebrink, according to ESPNChicago.com's Levine. "I think he's ready to move on, but I can't tell you for sure he's going to accept the deal. Losing 100 games, like they did last year, wears on a player.
"Right now, I'd say it's 50-50 as to whether he accepts it or not. He'll get with his family today and make a decision."
What does this mean for the Dodgers? In the short term it's great news, as they don't have to face the man who is 13-2 against them with a 2.27 ERA in 24 career starts. The Dodgers happen to face the White Sox next month, but they don't face them 19 times each year like they do the Padres.
Chad Billingsley will now move up the NL pitching leaderboards, as Peavy leads the league in innings pitched and strikeouts.
This doesn't sound like the start of a complete fire sale for the Padres, so don't look for Adrian Gonzalez to be traded anytime soon. Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune says a Peavy trade will get the Padres under their owner-mandated budget:
The Padres are about $5 million above the $40 million player payroll that Towers said the club's majority owner, John Moores, has mandated for this season and could hit that number by moving Peavy, who is due $11 million this season.
Here is the reaction of Gaslamp Ball, the SB Nation Padres blog. If you think I only linked to that because of the Flight of the Conchords video, you know me too well.
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Salary dump
I guess it was more important for SD to get rid of that contract than getting a truly elite return. I’ve heard good things about Poreda, but Richard sounds like an average back end rotation guy.
I wonder
is this better than either of the rumored offseason deals with either the Braves or Cubs?
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions
It's not a fire sale because there's only a handful of padres other teams would want.
"Morale has dropped from ‘low’ to ‘I’d like to burn this place down’.
Well
if it were truly a fire sale, Gonzalez would be gone too. But he’s extremely popular and cheap over the next few years, which means he’s perfect for SD.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions
Man I wish Peavy would veto this deal . . .
and COME TO LA . . . .That would be incredible
by SeanMillerSavior on May 21, 2009 9:48 AM PDT reply actions
Well at least the team won't have to face him anymore
"Morale has dropped from ‘low’ to ‘I’d like to burn this place down’.
I don't think that ever would have happened anyway
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions
Yup.
1. Seems highly unlikely that San Diego would trade Peavy to an NL West rival.
2. If San Diego agreed to a trade with LA, the players SD would demand from LA in exchange for Peavy would be ridiculous.
LA could offer a package
Around: James McDonald and Andrew Lambo
by SeanMillerSavior on May 21, 2009 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions
Ned Colletti
was on Dan Patrick’s radio show today and said when he talked to Kevin Towers the Padres asked for three players on the 25-man roster and a top prospect.
No thanks.
BTW, as soon as the audio is available I will post that interview.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 10:44 AM PDT up reply actions
I agree, but...
now that the WS deal is public, the bar is set for what the Pads will trade. If the Dodgers can pick up Peavy for 1 good and 3 long-shot prospects, then they should do it. It would be the most that Ned has ever gotten in a trade involving prospects.
The implication
is that the Padres would not do that deal with the Dodgers, because they would not want Peavy to be with a division rival.
A self-defeating philosophy? Yes, but also real.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 10:57 AM PDT up reply actions
ahh, yes.
That makes sense. Well, no, actually it doesn’t make sense in terms of being smart, but it makes sense in terms of practice.
Also
I put the audio up on our front page, and Towers specifically told Colletti he would make the Dodgers pay more than anyone else.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions
Looks like a decent move
and very reminiscent of Beane – also not surprising. If SD cannot afford Peavy, or more specifically if keeping him and his salary would mean an inability to improve the team, then this is a great move by SD. Getting 1 good prospect and 3 long-shots is not bad return, really. All it takes is one of those guys to be a decent starter and then the conversion of Peavy’s salary into an additional 2-win player to make this trade great.
Not so fast my friend
says Barry Axelrod (Peavy’s agent):
“If I had to make a bet on it, I would guess that Jake would say he’s not ready to take that step today,‘’ Axelrod said. "But he wouldn’t necessarily preclude it at any time in the future.
“We aren’t hiding anything from anybody. Jake has a strong preference to stay in the National League. He has a comfort zone there, he’s been successful, and he’s won a Cy Young Award. I don’t know that on May 21, that preference has eroded very much. From our point of view we may say, ’Let’s give (the Padres) more time and see if a National League team might step up over the next six weeks.’
‘’If this were any one of three or four other teams and they called about him, Jake would jump at it. He would be willing. They know who they are. They know that certain places are more enticing to him.’’
Translation: White Sox should guarantee Peavy’s $22m option in 2013.
Thanks for translating agent talk to regular english.
"Morale has dropped from ‘low’ to ‘I’d like to burn this place down’.
BA – Daily Prospect list, our Steve Johnson is the Pitcher of the day
LAD HiA Johnson, Steven 8.2 3 1 1 2 10 3.68 W (3-2); Prospect Pitcher of the Day
He’s not as good as this Steve Johnson, all-time Pac-10 leader in FG%, and who went to high school with my older sisters.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions
His K Rate has gone through the roof this year, he’s leading the Cal league in K’s and home runs allowed. So when he doesn’t miss bats bad things happen.
by meercatjohn on May 21, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions
How good is Peavy?
First off, I think Peavy is a very good pitcher. But how much of his legend is based off of pitching in San Diego and it’s pitcher friendly park(s)?
Career HR/9 Road: 1.24
Career HR/9 Home: 0.64
Career FIP Road: 4.24
Career FIP Home: 2.85
2008 K/9: 8.6 (Lowest since 2003 season)
2008 BB/9: 3.1 (Highest since 2003 season)
So far in 60+ innings he has done very well, and once again better at home than on the road. Some of the inflation of his road numbers could come from pitching in such places as Coors Field and AZ, but on the otherhand LA and SF aren’t exactly hitters parks. Still it’s pretty obvious that Peavy is an elite pitcher at home and a good but not great one on the road. The White Sox play in an extreme hitters park, so Peavy would likely see his HR/9 and FIP balloon quite a bit. Still he’s a nice upgrade over what the White Sox currently have, but teams should take into account Peavy’s home/away splits when evaluating his trade value.
vr, Xei
Sky Kalkman
of Beyond the Boxscore attempts to find that value here.
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions
I always appreciate your input and breakdowns, BTW
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions
We could do something next season
showing two hole cards, but they instead are Bills & Kershaw, our “pair of aces.”
by Eric Stephen on May 21, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions
Per Mason & Ireland
on ESPN 710, Peavy has rejected the deal. They found the info on Twitter, but I haven’t found a link yet.
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