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The Walk Gap

When I grew up, I learned baseball statistics from the back of baseball cards, like this 1986 Topps Darryl Strawberry card:

86_topps_back_medium
via Darryl Strawberry Fields

Sure, walks were listed, but on-base percentage was nowhere to be found.  Batting average was still king of my world in those days.  Over the years, thanks to the writings of Bill James, Rob Neyer, Baseball Prospectus, and many others, I came to appreciate the finer points of baseball statistics.  The importance of the walk became more apparent to me.

When I think of the term patience, as it relates to baseball, I don't necessarily mean for it to be players simply looking for a walk.  Rather, patience is working the count to your favor, so you can get more good pitches to hit, and when you get those more hittable pitches, hammer them.  However, a byproduct of patience is in fact the almighty walk.

It may seem as I'm a bit obsessive about walks.  I issued the 50-walk challenge to the Dodgers, and my first article ever at True Blue LA was about walks.

The Dodgers are leading the major leagues in walks taken, with 213.  It's a main reason their offense has been so good, averaging 5.7 runs per game.  As good as it is to get walks offensively, it's understandable that it's less desirable to give walks.  This is one of the rare cases where it isn't better to give then receive.

Dodger pitchers have given up 196 walks, third most in baseball.  Only the Nationals (202) and Florida (200) have issued more free passes.  However, the Dodgers have taken more walks than they have given, so their "walk gap" is a +17.

Here's how the Dodgers rank among all major league teams:

Team Batting Pitching Walk Gap
Twins 180 131 +49
Rockies 179 142 +37
Blue Jays 176 143 +33
Mets 195 170 +25
Brewers 191 166 +25
Rays 203 179 +24
Red Sox 184 166 +18
Dodgers 213 196 +17
D-Backs 169 152 +17
Phillies 174 160 +14
Cardinals 160 146 +14
Braves 169 161 +8
Royals 154 153 +1
Yankees 180 181 -1
Indians 193 195 -2
Angels 150 152 -2
A's 157 160 -3
Tigers 151 154 -3
Nationals 198 202 -4
Orioles 147 152 -5
Cubs 165 171 -6
Padres 167 182 -15
Rangers 131 146 -15
Reds 162 180 -18
White Sox 139 158 -19
Astros 142 162 -20
Marlins 177 200 -23
Pirates 144 170 -26
Mariners 121 177 -56
Giants 117 181 -64

Is the walk gap all that important?  Scientifically, I doubt it, but it stands to reason that it's better to have more walks offensively than while pitching, so it would seem the higher the positive walk gap the better.  Plus, it's never a bad thing to highlight a stat that in which the Giants are dead last.

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Only a nobody walks in LA

17 walk gap? Why that’s worth 5.491 runs or 0.476 wins. Combine that with 1.8 wins from the insanely high BABIP from both Hudson and Pierre and your picking up some nice insurance wins.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on May 26, 2009 11:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Perfect scheduling by the Dodgers & Lakers this week

Dodger day game and Laker night game on each of Monday, Wednesday, and Friday.

I hope the Lakers take care of business by Friday because Sunday night would feature a conflict, with the Dodger game at 5pm on ESPN and Game 7 at 5:30pm at ABC.

by Eric Stephen on May 26, 2009 11:53 PM PDT reply actions  

That could go either way.

Also, kudos on the NBA for a much better play off schedule this year.

None of the silliness like having games one and two being 3 days apart like last season.

by Tripon on May 27, 2009 12:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

A leg swing? I'll never understand pitching mechanics.

Mota, 35, said that pitching coach Rick Honeycutt found the key to turning around his season when viewing tape of him pitching for the Dodgers in 2003 and 2004.

Honeycutt told Mota that his leg kick was too upright and told him to go back to doing what he used to do, which was to swing his leg back.

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-dodgers-fyi27-2009may27,0,39087.story

by Tripon on May 27, 2009 1:18 AM PDT reply actions  

I'm with you.

What helped John Smoltz throw in the mid 90’s his rookie year was repeating to himself “I can throw 90” thousands of times a day.

by Seanny Rotten on May 27, 2009 6:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Saturday's starter

Why is it listed at “TBD” on the Dodgers’ web site?

Could it be that Stults is ALREADY finished?

by silverwidow on May 27, 2009 7:05 AM PDT reply actions  

Probably just related to Stults's thumb

Stults if he’s healthy, Weaver if he’s not.

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 7:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

Also

I have found that section to have questionable accuracy at times. I think the same people update that as the depth charts on MLB.com. :)

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 7:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

Agree about the questionable accuracy in the past

but it’s convenient that he was left out after walking 7 guys. I wouldn’t dismiss that there’s nothing to it.

by silverwidow on May 27, 2009 9:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

Stults is listed as the starter Saturday

per the Dodger game notes today, under “pitching probables”

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

Someone is going to be gone. Kuroda has one more rehab start before joining the rotation next week.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 27, 2009 9:07 AM PDT reply actions  

Most likely Weaver or Milton, right?

by pdotmac1 on May 27, 2009 9:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Not Weaver

he’s much more likely to stay in the bullpen, his preferred spot.

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Lineup: Blake sits, as does Furcal; Ethier moved down

Game thread will be up around 11:

Pierre, LF
Loretta, 3B
Hudson, 2B
Loney, 1B
Martin, C
Ethier, RF
Kemp, CF
Castro, SS
Kershaw, P

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 10:14 AM PDT reply actions  

Rockies lineup

per Troy Renck of the Denver Post:

CF Fowler
SS Tulowitzki
1B Helton
LF Murton
RF Spilborghs
3B Atkins
2B Barmes
C Phillips
RHP Jimenez

by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 10:21 AM PDT reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $481,000
OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 6 Hairston $2,250,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AAA 13 DeJesus $86,648
AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$114,830,268

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
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