The Walk Gap
When I grew up, I learned baseball statistics from the back of baseball cards, like this 1986 Topps Darryl Strawberry card:
Sure, walks were listed, but on-base percentage was nowhere to be found. Batting average was still king of my world in those days. Over the years, thanks to the writings of Bill James, Rob Neyer, Baseball Prospectus, and many others, I came to appreciate the finer points of baseball statistics. The importance of the walk became more apparent to me.
When I think of the term patience, as it relates to baseball, I don't necessarily mean for it to be players simply looking for a walk. Rather, patience is working the count to your favor, so you can get more good pitches to hit, and when you get those more hittable pitches, hammer them. However, a byproduct of patience is in fact the almighty walk.
It may seem as I'm a bit obsessive about walks. I issued the 50-walk challenge to the Dodgers, and my first article ever at True Blue LA was about walks.
The Dodgers are leading the major leagues in walks taken, with 213. It's a main reason their offense has been so good, averaging 5.7 runs per game. As good as it is to get walks offensively, it's understandable that it's less desirable to give walks. This is one of the rare cases where it isn't better to give then receive.
Dodger pitchers have given up 196 walks, third most in baseball. Only the Nationals (202) and Florida (200) have issued more free passes. However, the Dodgers have taken more walks than they have given, so their "walk gap" is a +17.
Here's how the Dodgers rank among all major league teams:
| Team | Batting | Pitching | Walk Gap |
| Twins | 180 | 131 | +49 |
| Rockies | 179 | 142 | +37 |
| Blue Jays | 176 | 143 | +33 |
| Mets | 195 | 170 | +25 |
| Brewers | 191 | 166 | +25 |
| Rays | 203 | 179 | +24 |
| Red Sox | 184 | 166 | +18 |
| Dodgers | 213 | 196 | +17 |
| D-Backs | 169 | 152 | +17 |
| Phillies | 174 | 160 | +14 |
| Cardinals | 160 | 146 | +14 |
| Braves | 169 | 161 | +8 |
| Royals | 154 | 153 | +1 |
| Yankees | 180 | 181 | -1 |
| Indians | 193 | 195 | -2 |
| Angels | 150 | 152 | -2 |
| A's | 157 | 160 | -3 |
| Tigers | 151 | 154 | -3 |
| Nationals | 198 | 202 | -4 |
| Orioles | 147 | 152 | -5 |
| Cubs | 165 | 171 | -6 |
| Padres | 167 | 182 | -15 |
| Rangers | 131 | 146 | -15 |
| Reds | 162 | 180 | -18 |
| White Sox | 139 | 158 | -19 |
| Astros | 142 | 162 | -20 |
| Marlins | 177 | 200 | -23 |
| Pirates | 144 | 170 | -26 |
| Mariners | 121 | 177 | -56 |
| Giants | 117 | 181 | -64 |
Is the walk gap all that important? Scientifically, I doubt it, but it stands to reason that it's better to have more walks offensively than while pitching, so it would seem the higher the positive walk gap the better. Plus, it's never a bad thing to highlight a stat that in which the Giants are dead last.
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Only a nobody walks in LA
17 walk gap? Why that’s worth 5.491 runs or 0.476 wins. Combine that with 1.8 wins from the insanely high BABIP from both Hudson and Pierre and your picking up some nice insurance wins.
vr, Xei
Perfect scheduling by the Dodgers & Lakers this week
Dodger day game and Laker night game on each of Monday, Wednesday, and Friday.
I hope the Lakers take care of business by Friday because Sunday night would feature a conflict, with the Dodger game at 5pm on ESPN and Game 7 at 5:30pm at ABC.
That could go either way.
Also, kudos on the NBA for a much better play off schedule this year.
None of the silliness like having games one and two being 3 days apart like last season.
A leg swing? I'll never understand pitching mechanics.
Mota, 35, said that pitching coach Rick Honeycutt found the key to turning around his season when viewing tape of him pitching for the Dodgers in 2003 and 2004.
Honeycutt told Mota that his leg kick was too upright and told him to go back to doing what he used to do, which was to swing his leg back.
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-dodgers-fyi27-2009may27,0,39087.story
I'm with you.
What helped John Smoltz throw in the mid 90’s his rookie year was repeating to himself “I can throw 90” thousands of times a day.
by Seanny Rotten on May 27, 2009 6:59 AM PDT up reply actions
The Red Sox/Yankees' working-the-count system, pushing starting pitchers out in 5 innings & trying to go deep into bullpens, is a winning system.
But man it sure does make for some boring baseball.
Saturday's starter
Why is it listed at “TBD” on the Dodgers’ web site?
Could it be that Stults is ALREADY finished?
Probably just related to Stults's thumb
Stults if he’s healthy, Weaver if he’s not.
by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 7:24 AM PDT up reply actions
Also
I have found that section to have questionable accuracy at times. I think the same people update that as the depth charts on MLB.com. :)
by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 7:26 AM PDT up reply actions
Agree about the questionable accuracy in the past
but it’s convenient that he was left out after walking 7 guys. I wouldn’t dismiss that there’s nothing to it.
Stults is listed as the starter Saturday
per the Dodger game notes today, under “pitching probables”
by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions
Not Weaver
he’s much more likely to stay in the bullpen, his preferred spot.
by Eric Stephen on May 27, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions
Lineup: Blake sits, as does Furcal; Ethier moved down
Game thread will be up around 11:
Pierre, LF
Loretta, 3B
Hudson, 2B
Loney, 1B
Martin, C
Ethier, RF
Kemp, CF
Castro, SS
Kershaw, P
Rockies lineup
per Troy Renck of the Denver Post:
CF Fowler
SS Tulowitzki
1B Helton
LF Murton
RF Spilborghs
3B Atkins
2B Barmes
C Phillips
RHP Jimenez

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