In Hitting We Trust
by Dodger Dude on Jul 31, 2009 3:23 PM PDT
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PrintYou know I haven't really scouted what was available, but it shocks me that we weren't able to find a starting pitcher who would have been an upgrade from Wolf on down for the playoffs.
This basically means we count on Bills and Kershaw to out pitch the other team's aces and for the offense to knock in enough runs for Kuroda and Wolf to pick up the win.As we can see from the St. Louis series, you can see that luck is a big factor ( we out-hit the Cardinals but nearly lost every game).
While I still have to say I like our odds vs. any other team, the World Series lock is now gone and the Dodgers will absolutely have to play their best ball to get there.
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the World Series lock is now gone and the Dodgers will absolutely have to play their best ball to get there.
This has always been the case, and absolutely nothing we would have done today would have made the Dodgers a “lock” by any means.
I Think when You Are Controlling Match Ups, it makes a big difference.
I already think we have the best hitting in baseball. If we brought ourselves up to #2 or #3 in pitching, I think a “lock” would not be unrealistic, assuming a “lock” means >= 70% chance. As close to a sure thing as there is in baseball.
If we brought ourselves up to #2 or #3 in pitching
2009 Dodgers
Starters – 3.77 ERA (5th in MLB)
Relievers – 3.33 ERA (2nd in MLB)
Total – 3.60 ERA (2nd in MLB)
We are already there my friend.
Yeah, I know are relievers have been awesome (way over expectations and have sustained it), I meant starting pitching. The starters clean up against the weaker teams and then sometimes struggle against the better hitting teams. We shouldn’t plan to see SF in the post-season and more of the latter. The relievers have almost been automatic in holding any damage to 1-2 runs regardless of who we are playing.
The point is hitting has a huge element of luck that several guys are going to hit at the same time, by the time the relievers come in the game could already be lost, starting pitching is the least variable factor and is why there is always good starting pitching on almost every successful playoff team.
Ray of Hope
Coletti still seems determined to get another pitcher.
The only teams that would pick up a waiver would be Colorado and SF. I don’t think it makes sense for SF since they are already stacked with starting pitching and I don’t think its a financially realistic move for Colorado (or that they have a realistic chance at the wild card), so it could still happen. Perhaps LA and SF sign a “non-aggression” pack and allow one hitter and one pitcher to clear waivers?
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