Dodgers Chased, Not Caught Yet
The Dodgers return to playing within their division tonight, starting a pivotal three-game series in San Francisco, facing a Giants team that is tied with the Rockies atop the Wild Card standings, and 5½ games behind LA. The Dodgers and Giants haven't played each other in 102 92 days, which seems crazy to me for some reason.
Now matter how many runs the Dodgers score tonight, Hiroki Kuroda is bound for a letdown in the run support department. Then again, maybe the Dodgers are due for another 17-run explosion. Kuroda has walked two or fewer batters in each of his last ten starts.
Not only did Jonathan Sanchez throw a no-hitter last month, but he's also coming off another strong start in his last time out, pitching seven shutout innings in Houston to beat the Astros.
Eugenio Velez has been great since his return to the Giants from the minors in late July, and is currently riding a 15-game hitting streak. He is hitting .431/.456/.631 during that streak with 13 runs scored, and has started games at second base plus all three outfield positions this year.
Get your guesses in for "Just A Bit Outside" here.
Game Time: 7:15pm
TV: Prime Ticket
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Furcal, SS
Martin, C
Ethier, RF
Manny, LF
Blake, 3B
Hudson, 2B
Kemp, CF
Loretta, 1B
Kuroda, P
by Eric Stephen on Aug 10, 2009 4:27 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
So the man who hits on the road and against LHP sits
while the man who does not hit on the road or against LHP is batting 3rd.
That’s from ITD. I’ve been mobile most of the day and it’s a bitch to add a link.
by Eric Stephen on Aug 10, 2009 4:32 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
I like moving the OBP king up to 2nd
Still think he could lead off though Furcal is doing much better in the OBP department recently (.395 OBP in July.)
by Michael White on Aug 10, 2009 4:35 PM PDT up reply actions
im just wondering but
why does matt kemp get moved down in the order today…. we are facing a left hander… if anything he should get moved up because he has an amazing .481 OBP vs LEFT HANDERS
The other night
Andre Ethier hit a walk-off, three-run HR to erase a two-run Atlanta lead and pull a Dodger victory from the ashes of defeat. This was the first time since 1992^ that the Dodgers had a player hit a walk-off HR to erase a deficit of two runs or more. On May 23, 1992, rookie pinch-hitter Eric Karros stepped to the plate against the Pirates’ Stan Belinda, who had just entered the game with a two-run lead after Pittsburgh had allowed a run in the ninth already and Jose Offerman had just sacrificed two runners into scoring position. In an eight-pitch AB, Karros launched a full-count pitch into the LCF bleachers for the win. Probably was exciting in the moment, but the Dodgers were already 6 1/2 games back and on their way to a 99-loss season. Karros, of course, became the NL Rookie of the Year.
Perhaps Bob Timmermann already posted that fact in the DT comments, but Jon didn’t transfer it to his posts and I didn’t try and catch up on the DT comments.
^ assuming I am reading the team HR logs correctly – I am trusting the “ENDED GAME” notation from baseball-reference as being accurate.
Karros and Ethier are the only two to do it in Dodger Stadium.
Duke Snider hit a three-run HR with the Dodgers down two to win in the Coliseum, off Elroy Face. Like Karros’ game, it was as a PH, after a run had scored off a previous pitcher, with two-strikes, and immediately after a sacrifice (by Tommy Davis – who had two walkoff HRs earlier that season and one off Roy Face the previous year, how loud would the howls have been at a 1961 TBLA?) to move two runners into scoring position.
Those are the only three in L.A. Dodger history.
Don’t know if Loney is hurt. Yesterday I saw Torre talking to Loney just outside the clubhouse, and used the words “do whatever you have to do…” (if my lip reading skills are accurate). I assumed yesterday he was just telling Loney he was getting a day off but maybe he told him he would get two days off. Loney was 3-24 last week (and I think is 1 for 19 too).
by Eric Stephen on Aug 10, 2009 4:36 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
maybe torres just giving him a day off
cause hes been struggling
he did the same thing with o-dog and manny…
I'm probably just hallucinating
But in the games I’ve been seeing, doesn’t Loney’s bat seem slower for quite a few weeks now? Especially when RHs are getting the inside black? Maybe this offseason he needs to hit the weight room more, or switch to a lighter bat. Heck, maybe one-ounce less bat with no swing changes is a quick-fix.
You’re sure it might be just a slump :)
by Michael White on Aug 10, 2009 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions
Billingsley not starting Weds. No starter announced yet. Shows what I know #dodgers13 minutes ago from Twittelator
Better to play it safe with the leg than risk it with the arm
Once the Dodgers win the first two games of the series, the last game won’t mean as much.
I have the Dodgers Win Probability for tonight’s game at 54.89%, with an Over/Under of 8.39.
Wednesday’s win probablity could get pretty ugly if Chad is indeed scratched. Defintely will be the Dodgers lowest WP of the season.
vr, Xei
if loney is not injured
i would rather see him play then loretta… i would rather see anyone play then lorretta.. i dont know why joe keeps calling his number…
should have DFA'd Loretta
and on a night like this, play Tony Abreu at 3rd and Beard at 1st
William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.
If the Dodgers had done that we wouldn't have seen Loretta lineout 4 times tonight.
"I don't know the meaning of the word 'surrender'!... I mean, I know it, I'm not dumb... Just - not in this context."
Waivers
No, they can be pulled back anytime they are put on waivers. August is the only time people are trying to trade using waivers, thus the need to pull back players.
When someone gets DFA’d, those are release waivers.
by Eric Stephen on Aug 10, 2009 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Huge series tonight.
I think the only way the Dodgers will get caught is if we absolutely suck in H2H matchups with the Giants and Rockies. 15 games remain vs those two teams (9 Giants and 6 Rockies).
With the remaining 35 games are against the Cardinals (3H), Cubs (4H), Reds (3A), D-Backs (6A, 4H), Padres (3H, 2A), Pirates (3H, 4A), Nationals (3A).
The teams listed with the Reds and after them primarily make up the rest of the schedule starting on August 28th.
According to Sports Club Stats, there is a 2.3% swing for the Dodgers chances of making the playoffs dependent upon the outcome of tonight’s game. On the otherhand for the Giants, they have an 8.9% swing. Rockies also have a 3.9% swing dependent upon the winner of the Dodgers game.
vr, Xei
Those huge swings in % help my theory that truly the only way the Giants and Rockies will catch the Dodgers is if they kill us in H2H.
Lets say we go 8-7 against those two teams and go light on the other 35 games, say 20-15. That will end up giving us 95 wins.
I don’t think the Giants and Rockies will go 34-17 just to tie, 35-16 to pass the Dodgers if we get to 95 wins.

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