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by meercatjohn on Aug 10, 2009 9:55 AM PDT
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Sons of Steve Garvey: Time to Panic?
Giants-Dodgers offense comparison | Dodger Thoughts | Los Angeles Times
Jon Weisman uses EQA to compare the offenses of the Dodgers / Giants as they get ready to rumble for three games.
Memories Of Kevin Malone: Take A Deep Breath And Relax
Kensai tells everyone to relax about the current problems, but at the bottom of the story is a link to Logan White being sent to check out the group of Cuban defectors.
Memories Of Kevin Malone: Down On The Farm: Withrow World
AA Notes from Kensai
Baseball Prospectus | Future Shock: Getting Dealt
Kevin Goldstein takes a look at what happens when a young player is dealt, using our old friend Josh Bell as his subject.
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Would you want to take a chance on Chapman, Phil?
If so, what price range?
If it comes down to 20-30 million, i’d like to see some interest. If it stays at the rumored 50 million though…
Chapman? Yes please.
21 year old who is rumored to hit 100 on the gun. I would be loving that.
by Michael White on Aug 10, 2009 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions
Based on McCourts international expenditures
I don’t think we are players. If he really impresses, we won’t be outbidding anyone. The only free agents Ned has ever outbid are players no one else has wanted. Pierre, A Jones, Hudson, Wolf, Blake, Schmidt, Manny come to mind. The guys he has won like Furcal and Kuroda were over 30, so I don’t know if we have a precedent for going hard after a young free agent, combine that with the fact we haven’t gone hard in the McCourt area in the amateur international free agent and I don’t see it happening.
Nice to see Kendry Morales finally come through for the Cuban offensive contingent, was starting to wonder if any of the Cuban offensive defectors would ever be impact players given the hype they receive when they first defect.
by meercatjohn on Aug 10, 2009 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions
seriously
cuban players get so much hype then they suck.
by matthewmafa on Aug 10, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions
Great Article by Kevin Goldstein
As the Lookouts were on the road at the time of the deal’s consummation, [Bell] caught a flight the next morning, and had less than a day to gather his belongings from the townhouse he shared with teammate Adam Godwin.
It’s nice to read articles like these and remember the human element on these young players. The fact that these young men play baseball together, travel together, and even live together makes these guys form pretty tight bonds. Then one day, you get a phone call and are told that you have a new team and that’s that. Obviously the trade is probably a good one for Bell, as the article says, this trade likely moves up his timetable to get to the pro’s. I just don’t know how well I would have handled these kind of situations at that age, and I hope his new organization is understanding if/when his production drops right out of the gate.
It also helps reinforce how cool it is to for the Dodgers to have a core now with so many players coming up through the system together. The type of bonds that are formed between these players has to be pretty strong and the fact that they get to experience a season last last year and this year has to be pretty powerful for them all doing it together.
by Michael White on Aug 10, 2009 10:29 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Schedule Succor
Heading into the final 30% of the season, I decided to do a little digging: How does the Dodgers’ end-of-season schedule match up against the Rockies’ and the Giants’? How many face-to-face games does each team have left? How many days off are left down the stretch for each team? Also, what percentage of games are against under .500 teams?
Number of games left:
Dodgers (50), Giants (51), Rockies (51)
Number of games against under .500 teams:
Dodgers 24 of 50 (.480); Giants 25 of 51 (.490); Rockies 28 of 51 (.549)
Number of days off:
Dodgers (6); Giants (5); Rockies (4)
Number of games against fellow NL West contenders (LAD, SF, COL)
Dodgers (15 – 6 home, 9 away); Giants (19 – 12 h, 7 a); Rockies (16 – 7 h, 9 a)
The results, I believe, are slightly in the Dodgers’ schedule. The Dodgers have more days off remaining than their two NL West rivals, including a day off before the final series of the season, at home against the Rockies. Also, both the Giants and the Rockies have to play three “NL West rivals” series back-to-back-to-back. While the percentage of games left with under .500 teams is less than for both the Giants and the Rockies, the difference is neglible (480 for the Dodgers vs. .490 for the Giants). Also, this is lessened by the days-off advantage enjoyed by the Dodgers, as well as the lower number of head-to-head contests the Boys in Blue must face.
If the Dodgers play .500 the rest of the way:
(and with the not-too-difficult schedule remaining, .500 or better seems likely)
I believe the Giants or the Rockies would have to play about .600 baseball to tie for the division. The Giants and Rockies also play each other ten more times. If one dominates the other, then the loser in that matchup may be dealt a mortal blow. If they come close to splitting, that takes days off the calendar in favor of the Dodgers.
I'd comment at SOSG, but my ability to comment at Blogger/Google just sucks for some reason
No, it’s not time to panic. Yes, a 2-5 homestand, where the wins are a 17-4 blowout and a 5-4 miracle – the three-run walkoff HR by Ethier to erase a two-run deficit – isn’t pretty, but two losses were in extra-innings and by definition winnable, and even the last game, which had the worst pitching matchup of the homestand for the Dodgers – Stults on short rest + Weaver vs. Vasquez – was only 3-1 after 8. The two extra-inning games were decided because Garret Anderson’s bounder found the hole between Loney and Hudson and Matt Kemp’s sharper grounder up the middle didn’t.
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