I used my simulator to simulate 25000 baseball games between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers using what to the best of my knowledge will be close to today's starting lineups. The simulator outputs a win probability for each team, along with the average total runs scored, a distribution matrix of all the final scores and how often they occurred, and an averaged box score tally of all games combined.
Today's Results... (Last updated at 1:15pm)
Visitors | Home | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | Over/Under | Final Score |
ARI | LAN | Y.Petit vs V.Padilla | LAN | 65.64% | 61.61% | 9.0 / 9.17 | TBD |
Simulator Fun Facts...
Top 10 Most Likely Scores |
|
1 | LAN 4-3 |
2 | LAN 3-2 |
3 | LAN 5-4 |
4 | LAN 6-5 |
5 | LAN 2-1 |
6 | LAN 4-2 |
7 | ARI 4-3 |
8 | ARI 3-2 |
9 | LAN 5-3 |
10 | ARI 5-4 |
Most common shutout score: | LAN 4-0 |
Pitching Stats |
||
Pitcher | WHIP | FIP |
Y.Petit | 1.469 | 4.863 |
V.Padilla | 1.281 | 3.968 |
Player Most Likely To | ||
Category | Diamondbacks Player |
Dodgers Player |
Hit A HR | M.Reynods | M.Ramirez |
Hit A 3B | S.Drew | M.Kemp |
Hit a 2B | R.Roberts | A.Ethier |
Score Runs | S.Drew | A.Ethier |
Walk the most | S.Drew | A.Ethier |
K the most | M.Reynolds | M.Kemp |
Highest OPS | M.Reynolds | M.Ramirez |
Note: Keep in mind I did this simulation before knowing the actual starting lineups, so some of the players I used may not be starting. The lineups I used are listed below
Simulation Lineups | ||
1 | S.Drew | R.Furcal |
2 | R.Roberts | M.Kemp |
3 | J.Upton | A.Ethier |
4 | M.Reynolds | M.Ramirez |
5 | M.Montero | C.Blake |
6 | C.Young | J.Loney |
7 | G.Parra | R.Martin |
8 | B.Allen | O.Hudson |
9 | Y.Petit | V.Padilla |