September 3rd, Dodgers Simulation

I used my simulator to simulate 25000 baseball games between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers using what to the best of my knowledge will be close to today's starting lineups.  The simulator outputs a win probability for each team, along with the average total runs scored, a distribution matrix of all the final scores and how often they occurred, and an averaged box score tally of all games combined.

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran at 4:20PM, with correct lineups for both teams)

 Skinny:  Another low 60%-ish win probability for the Dodgers.  It hasn't meant a whole lot so far as the Diamondbacks have won two of three games as solid underdogs.  In today's game Vegas has upped the Dodgers chances of winning to 66.78%, a 4.5 percentage point jump above what my simulator says.  The run environment is consistent between the two, so look for around a 9 run game. 

Simulator Fun Facts...

Note: Keep in mind I did this simulation before knowing the actual starting lineups, so some of the players I used may not be starting.   Many of the "Players Most Likely To" stats depend on having the correct lineup.  The lineups I used are listed below