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Around SBN: Don't Blame Wes Welker

Stabilizing The Back End Of The Rotation

The Dodgers' top four pitchers have been solid, if unspectacular, this season, providing a solid foundation of a very good pitching staff.

Pitcher GS W-L Team W-L IP H R ER BB K ERA WHIP FIP
Wolf 30 10-6 19-11 190.0 159 72 68 49 145 3.22 1.095 3.81
Billingsley 28 12-9 16-12 172.2 150 80 74 72 155 3.86 1.286 3.57
Kershaw 28 8-8 13-15 159.0 112 53 51 86 167 2.89 1.245 3.19
Kuroda 16 5-6 9-7 93.1 89 47 43 20 66 4.15 1.168 3.62
Totals 102 35-29 57-45 615.0 510 252 236 3.32/9 7.80/9 3.45 1.198 3.55

It seems like the Dodgers have spent most of this season looking for someone to take the fifth starter role.  First, it was James McDonald.  Then Eric Stults got his chance.  Eric Milton and Jason Schmidt fought back from injuries to take their shot.  Jeff Weaver has spot started here and there throughout the year.  The Dodgers even went the unconventional route, employing a knucklballer, Charlie Haeger, in the role, albeit on a short leash.  All year, the Dodgers have needed someone to slot behind their top four starters, just to eat up some innings.  Despite the uphill battle, the Dodgers have done remarkably well when their "fifth starters" have pitched.

Pitcher GS W-L Team W-L IP H R ER BB K ERA WHIP FIP
Stults 10 4-3 7-3 50.0 51 27 27 26 33 4.86 1.540 4.28
Weaver 7 2-1 4-3 31.2 31 13 11 14 23 3.13 1.421 4.24
Milton 5 2-1 3-2 23.2 30 12 10 6 20 3.80 1.521 3.56
Schmidt 4 2-2 2-2 17.2 16 12 11 12 8 5.60 1.585 5.34
Haeger 3 1-1 2-1 17.1 12 7 7 7 13 3.63 1.096 6.02
Padilla 3 2-0 3-0 16.1 16 5 5 4 12 2.76 1.224 3.20
McDonald 4 1-1 3-1 13.1 12 13 13 14 6 8.78 1.950 7.56
Garland 1 1-0 1-0 7.0 5 2 2 1 6 2.57 0.857 3.71
Totals 37 15-9 25-12 177.0 173 91 86 4.27/9 6.15/9 4.37 1.452 4.58

Winning 67.6% of games started by these guys is pretty amazing, if not just a little bit lucky.  The additions of Vicente Padilla and Jon Garland have helped, as did the pitching of Haeger, as the Dodgers have won seven straight starts by their "fifth starters."  Before Haeger stepped into the rotation, the back end starters averaged only 4.55 innings per start.  But, in eight starts starting on August 17, the group has averaged 5.63 innings per start.

The top four have thrown at least six innings in 71 of 102 starts, and thrown 62 quality starts.  The fifth starters have only thrown six quality starts (also the same number of time they've pitched six innings), but four of those have come in the last three weeks, including Padilla's outing yesterday.  Garland has pitched six innings in 17 of his last 18 starts, so it looks like for at least the final four weeks of the season, the back end of the Dodger rotation is more stable than it has been all season.

Comment 13 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Excellent article

Yes, the back end of the rotation has stabilized just in time to face Cellar Dwellers in 14* out of the final 23 games.

  • The D-backs and Padres are currently tied for last place so they both count as Cellar Dwellers

by Connector on Sep 8, 2009 9:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Kuroda

is going to be fine, I think. I hope he finishes the season strong and can do in the playoffs what he did last year.

by LA Taco on Sep 8, 2009 9:39 AM PDT reply actions  

nice piece, despite the ever changing 5th starter role

I think any team would kill to get that kind of production out of the back end of the rotation

William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.

by Ollie on Sep 8, 2009 11:39 AM PDT reply actions  

James McDonald should be starting

Sorry.. DOnt know what happen there. But I think McDonald should start and have Weaver as the long man.

by NotJoeTorre on Sep 8, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree long term that should be the plan. But right now its not reasonable to expect that, for this year.

by Eric Stephen on Sep 8, 2009 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

I had this dream

That monster lead in the division would still be there and Kershaw and the children would get plenty of rest..

Oh well, stupid NL west.

by NotJoeTorre on Sep 8, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Not yet

I don’t think mcdonald is up for the challenge yet. He’s too streaky. Just when you think he on, poof, he gives up a ton of hits for runs. I personally like the knuckleballer. Then bring in Mcdonald around the 6-7 th inong to finish the job.

by Skunkburner on Sep 8, 2009 12:17 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Is CH going to get another start?

and does the fact that all the shots he gave up were to righties mean we’re less likely to see him in late innings?

by stillnotah8er on Sep 8, 2009 12:47 PM PDT reply actions  

Not this year

Haeger is 7th on the depth chart among starters right now.

by Eric Stephen on Sep 8, 2009 12:58 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

You don't foresee a chance of Garland or even Padilla

usurping any one of Billingsley, Kershaw or Kuroda in the playoff rotation? Especially if Padilla and Garland stay hot? Just throwing that out there to maybe spark some discussion.

by Ian Capilouto on Sep 8, 2009 1:44 PM PDT reply actions  

It would take a lot more slumping or injuries from any of those three to be bumped from the playoff rotation.

Best shot is Garland over Kuroda, but only if Kuroda’s health is in question.

by Eric Stephen on Sep 8, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

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2012 Dodgers Payroll

Italics denote estimates
Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $500,000 team control
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000 team control
LF 21 Rivera $4,000,000
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

IF/OF 6 Hairston $2,250,000
OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $485,000 team control

SP 22 Kershaw $8,500,000 arb
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 37 Capuano $3,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000

CL 54 Guerra $485,000 team control
RHP 74
Jansen $500,000 team control
RHP 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
RHP Coffey $1,000,000
RHP 66 MacDougal $650,000
LHP 57 Elbert $485,000 team control
RHP 36
Hawksworth $500,000 team control

TJ 41 De La Rosa $485,000 team control



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout

Totals
$114,662,432

For more detailed information, click here.

Players on 40-man roster used as roster
fillers until moves are made.

Current 40-man roster count: 40
(not including Belisario)

2012 Non-Roster Invitees

No Player Age*
63 Jose Ascanio rhp
27
61 Alberto Castillo lhp
36
60 Matt Chico lhp
29
35 John Grabow lhp
33
59 Angel Guzman rhp
30
47 Wil Ledezma lhp
31
72 Shane Lindsay rhp
27
62 Fernando Nieve rhp 29
73 Scott Rice lhp 30
70 Will Savage rhp
27
71 Ryan Tucker rhp
25

30 Josh Bard c 34
82 Griff Erickson c 24
81 Matt Wallachc 26
67 Jeff Baisley 3b/1b 29
62 Luis Cruz ss/2b 28
33 Josh Fields 3b 29
64 Lance Zawadzki if 27
56 Cory Sullivan of 32

*Age on June 30, 2012

NRI count: 19

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