Quick look at the 2007 Draft for pitchers in the first round.
1. David Price - Trying to establish himself in the Rays rotation.
4. Daniel Moskos - Considered a huge overdraft, will likely be a reliever if he ever makes it.
5. Ross Detwiler - injured, had hip surgery in Feb.
8. Casey Weathers - had Tommy John surgery, looks like Rockies brought him back as a reliever.
9. Jerrod Parker - Tommy John surgery over the off season. Likely out for at least the 2010 season.
10. Madison Bumgarner - unexplained loss of velocity. Had chance to start in majors, now likely to be at triple-A to start the season.
11. Phillippe Amount - injury history, traded to Philly. Philly wants to treat him as a starter.
17.Blake Beavan - spent 2009 at A+/AA. Mediocre stats.
19. Joe Savery - Mediocre stats, looks like Philly converted him to a reliever.
20. Chris Withrow - His arm is fine and he K's people which is more you can say for most pitchers in this list.22. Tim Alderson - loss of velocity hurt his draft stock. Just like Madison Bumgarner. Are the Giants doing something with their pitching prospects?
23. Nicholas Schmidt - Padres converted him to a reliever after injury.
24. Micheal Main - Still only 20, needs more time to develop. Mediocre season at Low-A.
25. Aaron Anderman Poreda - traded tot he padres, likely 3 or 4 type pitcher.
26. James Simmons - at Triple-A, yet likely isn't going to be a viable major leaguer.
27. Rick Porcello - Shows why you should draft for talent instead of need. Odd how just a year later the A's later decided to go for broke and sign Yano for over $4 million, but drafted Simmons for only $1.9 million with Procello still sitting in the past 27 picks.
30. Andrew Brackman - Rumored to have tons of talent with crappy performance as a Yankees farmhand.
This wasn't meant to be in depth or anything, Just wanted to point out a couple of things.
Even in two (or I guess 3 years now since the draft was in 2007), prospects status change tremendously (but you already knew that.) With guys like Bumgarner, Parker, and Price being touted, Procello being this draft's Kershaw (being ready at 20 and staying in the majors), and a guy like Withrow who was considered an overdraft at the time and working out for the team that drafted him.
Also, the Dodgers had the potential to draft both Withrow and Porcello except they chose to sign Jason Schimdt instead and give their first rounder to the Giants. *The Giants* had the opportunity to draft Bumgarner and Porcello in the same draft with the first rounder they acquired, instead choosing Tim Alderson. The Red Sox had the opportunity to draft Procello initially... except they chose to sign Julio Lugo and thus give the Dodgers their first rounder.
Then you also had draft heavy teams like the Phillies and Mariners who decided to pass on Porcello as well. My point is that the Tigers had some serious help in getting Procello to drop to them. Just amazing.
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Porcello...
You are treating teams passing up Porcello like it was some kind of oversight, that a bunch of teams goofed. Everybody knew Porcello was the best HS arm in the draft. He only fell as far as he did because he wanted a completely ridiculous $8 million to sign, and Detroit alone was willing to give it to him (though perhaps the Yankees would have met the price if Porcello had fallen to them). I certainly didn’t expect or even want the Dodgers to pony up that kind of money for one draft pick, and I don’t have a different opinion even in hindsight. I will take Withrow at slot money over Porcello at $8 million straight out of HS. I am all for the Dodgers spending more on the draft, going over slot on some players, but $8 million for one guy is crazy.
The real question is...
how did the best player in the draft fall to 14?
Yeah, I know it’s because teams didn’t have enough on Heyward, but c’mon — the Braves’ got a steal of a lifetime for $1.7M.
nobody pitched to him in HS
they just walked him everytime… like albert
by matthewmafa on Mar 16, 2010 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions
a player
with talent like Justin Upton at 14th is downright criminal
+
under 2 million
He should be hitting rockets for the royals. but hey a least they have Hochevar
Ouch
by hirambocachica on Mar 16, 2010 6:54 PM PDT up reply actions
But He Wasn't the Best At The Time Of The Draft
When an Albert Pujols doesn’t get drafted till the 13th round, or a Matt Kemp doesn’t get drafted till the 6th round — or heck, a Mike Piazza doesn’t get picked till the 62nd round — not being till 14th overall is no big deal. Baseball is like that. Given a few years, or even a few months, players get better, others get worse.
I don't think you can use Jason Schmidt as an argument
Otherwise, are you saying that no free agent signing that includes a compensation pick isn’t worth it?
Schmidt was a pretty unique circumstance in that the player the Dodgers wished to sign had an extensive injury history and also had an injury that affected his ability to pitch and yet still signed him anyway.
I personally don’t think they used good judgment in signing Schimdt, but this is looking at it in hindsight.
Braves really know how to scout their region
I’d be curious to see how many good players from Georgia were not drafted by the Braves. Seems like they get all the good ones. Looks like KC whiffed again, they took the wrong High School player.
Jonathan Broxton.
The Braves were picking four picks after the Dodgers in 2002, but they could have picked Broxton with a sandwich pick. Hard to fault the Braves though: they drafted Francoeur #1, Dan Meyer (part of the Tim Hudson trade) sandwich, and McCann (from Georgia) four picks after Broxton.
The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Wow, just look for a second
The Giants could have had Heyward and one of Withrow or Porcello… thank God they didn’t pick them.. we’d be screwed :)
by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Mar 16, 2010 8:13 PM PDT reply actions

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