Joe Sheehan dissects the NL West
Long time Baseball Prospectus writer Joe Sheehan has moved onto Rotowire which I found odd because was more of a real baseball writer then a roto writer. I expect he took the gig because it pays not because he wants this as his future. Nonetheless here is Joe's take on the NL West.
http://www.rotowire.com/baseball/features/joe_sheehan.htm
Here is the link but it is behind a pay wall so I'm going to throw out some of his nuggets.
The Dodgers seem like a great young team with lots of homegrown talent, thanks to the work of Logan White in procuring and developing baseball players. At the same time, their roster is weirdly old, with half the lineup in its decline phase and as many as three starting pitchers over 30. The contrast between White's development work and the veteran fetish of Ned Colletti has never been more stark. The combined rosters have worked the last two seasons, but it's not clear whether the Matt Kemp half can keep carrying the Vicente Padilla group.
Have to say that is as good as it gets. Joe just doesn't follow the Dodgers well enough to give good analysis and never has. Jay Jaffe should be writing about the Dodgers not Joe Sheehan. He wrote this today and still has DeWitt as a back up 2nd baseman.
Other than perhaps at second base, the Dodgers cannot afford to lose a regular for any length of time, and they're well exposed to the decline phase of aging players in far too man spots. They survived the Manny Ramirez suspension a year ago, but if any of their core four youngsters, or Ramirez, were to miss significant time in '10, the Dodgers would be lost. It is as if the Dodgers are replaying the Yankee dynasty under Torre, but without all those pesky championships.
We lost Manny for 50 games last year and if anyone thinks the full 50 games Juan Pierre spelled him were the difference I have a bridge in Arizona you might be interested in buying. I'd say the only two players we cannot afford to lose are Kemp and Andre and that would be no different then Colorado losing Tulo or Arizona losing Upton.
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I don't think we can afford to lose any of our top 3 pitchers
for any extended period of time either. I also think we need Billingsly & Kershaw to continue to develop and ensure they are progressing each year.
The Airman of Westwood
Yes
but you can say that about anyone. We saw what happened to the Diamondbacks without Webb. What would happen to the Rockies without Jiminez or the Giants without Lincecum? It is a throw away line that you could use with just about any team. However we could easily live without Loney or Martin and he said we’d be trouble if ANY of our young core was to miss significant time without taking into account the Grand Canyon difference between Kemp/Andre and Loney/Martin.
“Other than perhaps at position X, the team cannot afford to lose a regular for any length of time.”
Doesn’t this also apply to most teams in baseball? What regular could the defending NL champion Phillies afford to lose for a length of time? Their fourth OF is Ben Francisco, unless they think Domonic Brown is ready. Their backup IFs are Castro, Dobbs and Gload, and the backup C is Brian Schneider. Perhaps the teams that have backups almost as good as their starters can afford to lose a starter, which probably means their starters aren’t very good, not that their backups are great.
The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
As I said
a cheap throw away line that can be applied to just about every contending team.
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

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