True Blue LA: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Off Tackle Empire interviews Rich Rodriguez

2010 Player Profile: Rafael Furcal - Back To Normal?

Rafael Furcal will be starting his fifth season with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2010.  He's hoping that it is his second season in L.A. that is not seriously affected by injury.

  • 2006 - 159 games played, career year at the plate with an .814 OPS.
  • 2007 - Jason Repko wrecks Furcal's ankle in spring training.   The Dodgers perceiving that that they lack alternatives at SS don't rest Furcal after he starts the season on the DL and he plays on a bad wheel all year: .687 OPS and a -15.2 UZR/150.
  • 2008 - Red-hot start ruined by back injury and surgery, misses games 33 to 157.
  • 2009 - Still recovering from the back surgery, Furcal never seemed to let his game fully loose. Talking about last season, he told Tom Singer of mlb.com,
"I felt afraid of hurting the back again. Everything I did, that was in the back of my mind." ... "As a whole, it was bad. I never found myself until the end of the season."

Despite being plagued by injuries and related issues, the switch-hitting Furcal has been the second-best offensive Dodger shortstop in the "Integration Era" (1947 to the present), measured by OPS+:

Rk          Player OPS+   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS   PA From   To   Age
1    Pee Wee Reese  100 .273 .371 .390 .760 7136 1947 1958 28-39
2    Rafael Furcal   98 .286 .354 .406 .760 2222 2006 2009 28-31
3    Jose Offerman   87 .256 .344 .325 .669 2297 1990 1995 21-26
4      Maury Wills   87 .281 .331 .332 .663 6744 1959 1972 26-39
5       Greg Gagne   83 .253 .315 .359 .673 1040 1996 1997 34-35
6     Bill Russell   82 .263 .310 .338 .648 8020 1969 1986 20-37

Defensively, fangraphs.com has Furcal's career UZR/150 at -3.1 (for the years for which data is available, 2002-present) , but with some wild swings.  2008 is, of course, a ridiculously small sample size, but even a full season is considered a smallish sample size for UZR.

Fun Fact

Excluding rehab assignments, Furcal has only 11 career minor-league plate appearances above the A+ level, all in AA ball.

Not So Fun Fact

Furcal's career high walk rate of 13.5% was in his 2000 NL Rookie of the Year season with Atlanta.

Contract Status

Furcal is signed through 2011, with an $8.5 million salary for 2010, and with an option for 2012 that he could vest or that he could opt out of based on PAs.  Details here.  (He would be a 34-year old SS in 2012, so if he vests that option, which would be worth $12M - $14.3M, at first blush it would seem unlikely he would opt out.)

2010 Outlook

Year Age PA BB% Runs RBI BA OBP SLG wOBA
2006 28 736 9.9% 113 63 .300 .369 .445 .357
2007 29 642 8.6% 87 47 .270 .333 .355 .311
2008 30 164 12.2% 34 16 .357 .439 .573 .440
2009 31 680 9.0% 92 47 .269 .335 .375 .316
2010 Projections - Age 32 Season
Bill James 643 9.3% 94 50 .278 .346 .391 .329
CHONE 625 9.3% 89 47 .274 .344 .389 .328
Marcel 556 9.2% 76 44 .273 .341 .391 .325
Baseball HQ 612 9.8% 87 49 .287 .357 .404
ZiPS 513 9.2% 76 47 .275 .341 .384
(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

 

Furcal took the winter off this past off-season, rather than play Dominican winter ball, as has been his custom.  This was done to allow his back to rest and continue to heal, but perhaps it will also give the Dodgers a fresher Furcal throughout the 2010 season.  I am going to be optimistic and guess that he will get to enjoy a rare season in Los Angeles that is not dogged with injuries and have a quality year at the plate:

.282 / .357 / .399 with 645 PAs.

What are your predictions for Rafael Furcal (BA/OBP/SLG and Plate Appearances)?

0 recs  |  Comment 23 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

.275 / .340 / .395 with 530 PA’s.

by Michael White on Mar 16, 2010 8:55 AM PDT reply actions  

For what its worth

I believe this would be the last year the Dodgers can trade Furcal without him having an automatic no-trade clause, due to him being a 10/5 guy.

by Michael White on Mar 16, 2010 8:56 AM PDT reply actions  

2012

I didn’t realize he had that 2012 option (triggered by 2011 PAs or combined 2009-11 PAs). The devil’s in the details I guess. With Dee Gordon probably ready to take over in 2012, I’m actively rooting for Furcal not to reach those incentive levels. Knowing this now, I suspect we’ll see Furcal rarely come out of a game, thereby decreasing any need for a true backup SS.

by kinbote on Mar 16, 2010 9:34 AM PDT reply actions  

D'oh

Cory Wade will undergo right shoulder arthroscopy tomorrow in Los Angeles

by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2010 9:48 AM PDT reply actions  

Dr. Neal ElAttrache has been a busy man

by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2010 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

I would imagine that this will free up a 40-man spot since he will likely go to the 60-day DL.

by OB12 on Mar 16, 2010 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

Spring Stats

Some heady numbers for Galvez and Songo to remember all summer. From the starting eight, the Blake’s are doing serious damage along with the starting outfield. Rafy and Loney on the outside looking in. Ellis doing what we expected, walks and singles and nothing else.

If we thought Juan Pierre was a lousy leadoff man what does that make Furcal?

by meercatjohn on Mar 16, 2010 10:04 AM PDT reply actions  

.295/.358/.390 620 PA

Leaving Raffy only 300 PA in 2011 away from the 1.3 million 2012 addition. If he gets to that but not to 600 is that the total to buy out the option. 14.3 mil (assuming he continues his core conditioning) seems like it would be a lot to pay a SS in his 34 year old year.

by MammothDodger on Mar 16, 2010 10:17 AM PDT reply actions  

Upon rereading the 2012 option details, I slightly misunderstood them in my above comment. Evidently, the 2012 option is triggered only by the 2011 PAs. Right?

by kinbote on Mar 16, 2010 10:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yep

the 1600 PA from 2009-2011 only affect the buyout and/or 2012 salary.

by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2010 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

.291/.360/.402

647 PA

by Eric Stephen on Mar 16, 2010 10:29 AM PDT reply actions  

I love watching Raffy play D.

Not so much his bat, but his D is outstanding. Beside Chin Hu, who are our other ss? I wish this season would hurry up and start.

by Skunkburner on Mar 16, 2010 11:03 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

nick green

alferedo amezega angel berroa

by matthewmafa on Mar 16, 2010 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ivan DeJesus, Jr.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Mar 16, 2010 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's right.

I forgot about green. And for some reason I thought dejesus played 2nd only. Amezega and berroa don’t count. They won’t be on tbd team past this year.

by Skunkburner on Mar 16, 2010 2:45 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

A place for Dodger fans to congregate without spending $15 on parking.
Start posting about the Dodgers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

NL West Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
San Diego 76 56 .575 0 Lost 7
San Francisco 74 60 .552 3 Won 2
Colorado 69 63 .522 7 Lost 2
Los Angeles 68 66 .507 9 Lost 2
Arizona 55 79 .410 22 Won 3

(updated 9.2.2010 at 3:17 AM PDT)

True Blue LA on Twitter

2010 Dodger Payroll

Pos No Player 2010 Salary
C 28 Barajas $117,486
1B 7 Loney $3,100,000
2B  13 Theriot $909,290
3B 23 Blake $6,000,000
SS 14 Carroll $1,475,000
LF  21 Podsednik $640,710
CF 27 Kemp $4,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $6,000,000

OF 5 Johnson $800,000
2B/3B/1B 3 Belliard $825,000
OF/1B 31 Gibbons $155,738
C 12 Ausmus $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $440,000
SP 18 Kuroda $14,100,000
SP 58 Billingsley $3,850,000
SP  29 Lilly $1,696,721
SP 37 Monasterios $460,000

CL 56 Kuo $950,000
RHP 51 Broxton $4,000,000
RHP  26 Dotel $636,612
RHP 74
Jansen $159,563
RHP 54 Belisario $297,541
RHP 38 Troncoso $297,792
RHP 36 Weaver $800,000
LHP 52 Sherrill $4,500,000

DL 15 Furcal $8,500,000
DL 44 Padilla $4,025,000
DL 59 Schlichting $185,792
DL 55 Martin $5,050,000

Manny $7,267,760


Pierre $4,000,000


Andruw $3,600,000


Schmidt $2,000,000


Wolf $2,000,000


Hudson $1,440,000


Nomar $1,250,000
Anderson $409,699
Ra.Ortiz $349,727
AAA 45 Miller $292,623
DeWitt $266,612
AAA 17 Ellis $264,481


Ohman $200,000
AAA 49 Haeger $195,393
AAA 47 Wade $194,514
AAA  48 Ely $161,749
AAA 30 Paul $131,147


Repko $122,951
DFA 33 Castro $118,033
Green $96,175
Ru.Ortiz $63,934
AAA 50 Link $48,087
DFA 35
Taschner $39,344


Zerpa $35,000
McDonald $28,771
AAA 60 Hu $13,148
AAA 57 Elbert $6,557
AAA
Hoffmann ($25,000)


Stults ($400,000)

Totals
$98,992,190
 
For more detailed information, click here.

SPONSORS

SBNation.com Recent Stories

ATLANTA - APRIL 22:  Omar Infante #4 of the Atlanta Braves celebrates after scoring against the Philiadelphia Phillies at Turner Field on April 22, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Albert Pujols, Joey Votto, And The Triple Crown Villains Who Plot Their Ruin

Washington Nationals' Nyjer Morgan, center, is led off the field after a brawl during the sixth inning of a baseball game against the Florida Marlins, Wednesday, Sept. 1, 2010, in Miami. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee) +4 updates

Nats, Marlins Brawl After Nyjer Morgan Charges Mound

Photo

Aroldis Chapman Touches 104, Earns First Win As Reds Rally Past Brewers

More from SBNation.com >


Manager

Eric_press_box_1_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Bison_small David Young

2501_small Michael White

Minor League Expert

Greatlakesloons_small Brandon Lennox