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2010 Player Profile: Reed Johnson, Manny's Caddy?

Reed Johnson's socks will remind fans of Juan Pierre, as well as both of them trying to make the catch on balls Manny Ramirez would clearly have played on a hop. (Photo courtesy of Juan Ocampo/Dodgers)

Reed Johnson is another local boy returning home by signing with the Dodgers.  The Temecula Valley High School graduate was born in Riverside and played college baseball in the renowned Cal State Fullerton program. (Trivia question:  What Fullerton player has the most plate appearances in the majors?  Answer after the jump.)  The Toronto Blue Jays drafted him in the 17th round of the 1999 draft and he played in their organization until he was released during 2008 spring training.  Johnson wasn't out of work long enough to collect unemployment checks as he was picked up by the Chicago Cubs two days later and spent the last two seasons with them.

The Dodgers signed the 33-year old Johnson with the intent of him being the team's fourth outfielder.  His most likely roles are defensive replacement for Manny Ramirez, spot starter in the outfield, and right-handed pinch-hitter.

LF CF RF
UZR/150, career 23.3 -14.8 -7.9

 

Johnson has major-league experience at all three outfield positions, but as a frequent part-time player, has only amassed about one full season's worth of time in CF, slight more than one season in RF, and about two seasons in LF, therefore his UZR ratings, particularly outside of LF, may suffer from small sample sizes.  Is Johnson really an extraordinarily great LF, below-par RF and a lousy CF?  I imagine the truth lies somewhere in between those points.

As a batter, Johnson's results have been uneven, but one thing he does do consistently well is hit left-handed pitching.  His career triple-slash line against them is: .313 / .378 / .463 / .841 in 1027 plate appearances, so don't be surprised if he gets some starts in RF against the tough lefties, giving Andre Ethier the occasional game off.

Fun Facts

Johnson is one of only five batters to have hit both a leadoff and walkoff home run in the same game, having done so on June 15, 2003; the others are Billy Hamilton (1893), Vic Power (1957), Darin Erstad (2000), and Ian Kinsler (2009).

He also has led the league in an offensive category; his 21 HBP in 2006 led the AL that season.  He does have a propensity for being hit by pitches, getting plunked at a rate of once every 29.2 PA.  This somewhat helps make up for his low 5.3% career walk rate.  However the broken foot he suffered last year was not the result of an errant pitch, but of his own foul ball.

Contract Status (details here)

Johnson has a guaranteed one-year contract for $800,000, with incentives that could add $250,000 to his salary.

2010 Outlook

Year Age PA BB% Runs RBI BA OBP SLG wOBA
2006 29 517 6.4% 86 49 .319 .390 .479 .378
2007 30 307 5.2% 31 14 .236 .305 .320 .284
2008 31 374 5.1% 52 50 .303 .358 .420 .338
2009 32 186 7.0% 23 22 .255 .330 .412 .327
2010 Projections - Age 32 Season
Bill James 471 5.1% 51 67 .277 .316 .425 .323
CHONE 503 4.6% 54 69 .262 .298 .404 .307
Marcel 526 5.7% 58 68 .271 .312 .415 .313
ZiPS 448 5.4% 50 58 .277 .315 .415 .322

 

I can't see Johnson and his guaranteed contract not being on the roster to start the season, and he will last the season unless he takes a Brady Clark type nosedive at the plate.  I will guess that he hits .275 / .339 / .415 with 131 PAs.

What are your predictions for Reed Johnson (BA/OBP/SLG and Plate Appearances)?

(Statistics courtesy of baseball-reference.com and fangraphs.com)

Star-divide

Trivia answer: The manager of the Dodgers' AAA affiliate in Albuquerque, ex-Dodger Tim Wallach.

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I predict that if Johnson’s PAs are anything close to the projections, I’m going to need to be steering clear of the comment sections on most Dodger blogs. ;-)
.

by akbash on Mar 22, 2010 7:11 AM PDT reply actions  

I predict .285 / .380 / .450

I expect he will (and should) get quite a few reps against LHP in right field.

by Michael White on Mar 22, 2010 7:55 AM PDT reply actions  

Then my 40HR prediction for Dre is in doubt.

by delias man on Mar 22, 2010 7:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Fan Fact

In case anyone missed what David wrote because they were to busy playing with their johnson to reed about our Johnson.

Fun Facts

Johnson is one of only five batters to have hit both a leadoff and walkoff home run in the same game, having done so on June 15, 2003; the others are Billy Hamilton (1893), Vic Power (1957), Darin Erstad (2000), and Ian Kinsler (2009).

Hard enough to hit a lead off home run, even harder for a lead off hitter to hit two home runs in a game, kind of incredible that the 2nd home run was a walk off.

by meercatjohn on Mar 22, 2010 8:11 AM PDT reply actions  

Not the same thing, but still cool ...

On 8/17/08, the Dodgers homered on the first and last pitches of the game. I believe it’s the only time in their history this happened.

http://bit.ly/9mxsfV

by JonWeisman on Mar 22, 2010 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

Long time listener, first time caller.

.303/.355/.422, 235 PAs, roughly 40 starts (24 in LF, 3 in CF, 13 in RF).

He’ll spend plenty of time helping keep baseball’s best outfield fresh and taking over for Manny when the inevitable soreness keeps him out for a few days here and there. Should get a fair amount of starts in RF if Ethier struggles early against lefties.

by some_dude on Mar 22, 2010 8:49 AM PDT reply actions  

Welcome!

I was with you until you started benching Ethier :)

by kinbote on Mar 22, 2010 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

I like the bench this year

although I had high hopes for Mark Loretta. But I do think our bench has improved quite a bit from last season.

by LA Taco on Mar 22, 2010 9:04 AM PDT reply actions  

I do too

And I was a GA doubter (I still doubt his ability to start or play the field, but think he could prove an excellent pinch hitter).

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Mar 22, 2010 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Our bench figures to be much better this season. I can’t believe that our bench for most of last season was Pierre, Loretta, Ausmus, and Castro.

by OB12 on Mar 22, 2010 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

Johnson, Anderson, Belliard, Carroll, Ausmus

Pierre was great to have on the bench. This bench has little speed with Belliard bringing the only modicum of power. I’m not impressed and neither will be the relief pitchers facing these guys. Compare this bench to the Rockie bench and I’d give the Rockies or Diamondbacks a plus over us. Seth Smith and Giambi are nice weapons, E Young is also a weapon in a different way.

by meercatjohn on Mar 22, 2010 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

I would say that Belliard, Johnson and Anderson all have a little bit of pop in their bats. None have loads of power or are even a legitimate HR threat, but that isn’t to say that they can’t put one in the seats. I will miss the speed that Pierre brought to the bench, that is something that I think we are lacking.

by OB12 on Mar 22, 2010 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Off topic but Tony Jackson tweeted

about Belisario’s name plate being removed from his locker. But then later tweeted “might have been awhile I go. I just noticed today.” Duh… Anyway, presumably this doesn’t mean anything.

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Mar 22, 2010 9:13 AM PDT reply actions  

a tweet that doesn’t mean anything, what are the odds of that?

by meercatjohn on Mar 22, 2010 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

From Tony Jackson

the odds go up exponentially :-P

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Mar 22, 2010 9:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

Update

from Jackson:
@dodgerscribe Turns out it was a prank. They put Belisario’s name plate over Padilla’s locker

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Mar 22, 2010 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Dodgers lineup at Brewers: Furcal 6 Johnson 9 Paul 7 Kemp 8 Belliard 3 Carroll 4 Green 5 Ellis 2 Kershaw 1

by Eric Stephen on Mar 22, 2010 9:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Dodgers lineup vs. Angels: DeWitt 4 Blake 5 Ethier 9 Ramirez 7 Loney 3 Anderson DH Hu 6 Repko 8 Knoedler 2 Monasterios, RHP

by Eric Stephen on Mar 22, 2010 9:19 AM PDT reply actions  

Blake batted second in the batting order twice as a Dodger in the regular season, in his 5th & 7th game with the club in 2008

by Eric Stephen on Mar 22, 2010 9:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

FYI

http://www.npbtracker.com/2010/03/hanshin-looking-to-import-more-pitching/

The Hanshin Tigers are looking at three major league pitchers to bolster their rotation, according to a report from Sports Hochi passed along by Patrick Newman of NPB Tracker. The report lists Jo-Jo Reyes, Eric Stults, and Seth McClung as possibilities. You may recall that another Japanese club, the Chiba Lotte Marines, has previously shown interest in Stults.

by meercatjohn on Mar 22, 2010 9:24 AM PDT reply actions  

With Kershaw starting today, that puts him on track for April 7th (2nd regular season game). Also home opener.

by silverwidow on Mar 22, 2010 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

By that logic Eric Stults is the opening day starter. Plenty of time to maneuver things around to get ready for opening day

by Eric Stephen on Mar 22, 2010 9:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed. That would be great. He THRIVES at home and I’m sure he’d love the pomp.

by silverwidow on Mar 22, 2010 9:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

The Angel game is on Prime Ticket today, by the way

by Eric Stephen on Mar 22, 2010 9:29 AM PDT reply actions  

I feel bad that Vin had to call such a lousy game yesterday.

Somebody mentioned that Aaron Miller was unlucky, and that’s true. Shoddy defense cost him two outs. He has very good stuff and was throwing much harder than Stults yesterday. But he isn’t on the level of Lindblom and not even close to Withrow.

by silverwidow on Mar 22, 2010 9:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Your two wonder boys ;)

I think Miller might have been pretty lucky last season, but I like his stuff and can’t wait to see a full season from him (same with Gould).

by Ivdown on Mar 22, 2010 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

At first

when I read the headline I thought it said Manny’s CaNDY giving this a different spin and making me feel a little sick.

by RawhideBlue on Mar 22, 2010 10:01 AM PDT reply actions  

Per DodgerThoughts RT

dodgerthoughts
  
RT @BloggingBombers: Rule 5 pick Jamie Hoffmann cleared outright waivers and was returned to the Dodgers. \

So, now the Dodgers can fill that 40th spot.

by bhsportsguy on Mar 22, 2010 10:31 AM PDT reply actions  

I don’t think Repko is long for this organization.

by OB12 on Mar 22, 2010 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

has to be on 40 man by May

per his contract. so it gives a little time to sort out who might be gone. would seem that Repko is the most likely candidate but that has been said very often here for quite some time.

Do we know if there is some kind of financial penalty if Hoffman is not added per his contract or can he be released prior to then?

by MammothDodger on Mar 22, 2010 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

By May

Stults or Haeger could well be DFA’d.

by Michael White on Mar 22, 2010 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

For minor leaguer viewing

Now is the time to go to Spring training, the games are free, the crowds are really small and at Camelback, you can watch them do their drills in the morning and then play in the afternoon.

by bhsportsguy on Mar 22, 2010 11:00 AM PDT reply actions  

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2012 Dodgers Payroll

Italics denote estimates
Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $500,000 team control
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 14 Ellis $2,500,000
3B 5 Uribe $8,000,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000 team control
LF 21 Rivera $4,000,000
CF 27 Kemp $10,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

IF/OF 6 Hairston $2,250,000
OF 10 Gwynn $850,000
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
C 18 Treanor $850,000
IF 12 Sellers $485,000 team control

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 37 Capuano $3,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000

CL 54 Guerra $485,000 team control
RHP 74
Jansen $500,000 team control
RHP 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
RHP Coffey $1,000,000
RHP 66 MacDougal $650,000
LHP 57 Elbert $485,000 team control
RHP 36
Hawksworth $500,000 team control

TJ 41 De La Rosa $485,000 team control



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout

Totals
$112,162,432

For more detailed information, click here.

Players on 40-man roster used as roster
fillers until moves are made.

Current 40-man roster count: 40
(not including Belisario)

2012 Non-Roster Invitees

No Player Age*
63 Jose Ascanio rhp
27
61 Alberto Castillo lhp
36
60 Matt Chico lhp
29
35 John Grabow lhp
33
59 Angel Guzman rhp
30
47 Wil Ledezma lhp
31
72 Shane Lindsay rhp
27
62 Fernando Nieve rhp 29
73 Scott Rice lhp 30
70 Will Savage rhp
27
71 Ryan Tucker rhp
25

30 Josh Bard c 34
82 Griff Erickson c 24
81 Matt Wallachc 26
67 Jeff Baisley 3b/1b 29
62 Luis Cruz ss/2b 28
33 Josh Fields 3b 29
64 Lance Zawadzki if 27
56 Cory Sullivan of 32

*Age on June 30, 2012

NRI count: 19

For more info, click here.


Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox