FanPost

Chances for the Dodgers to surprise

I want to try something that Tom Tango is doing over at the Book Blog with the Dodgers and I need you all to play along.  The question that I need a simple answer to is...  The chance that the Dodgers will win at least 100 games = the chance that they will win at most X number of games.  What I need from you is what X is in your opinion.  An example would be (and don't let this example cloud your judgement and answer) you think the Dodgers have a 15% chance of winning atleast 100 games and also have a 15% chance of winning at most 79 games, so your X would be 79.  All I need for an answer is what your X would be.  Please try not to be a big homer.  :)  After getting a large enough sample size of responses I will post some analysis of the result(s).

 

X = ?

X
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