2010 Player Profile: Manny Ramirez


While many know-it-all media types warned the Dodgers that Manny Ramirez would not produce in 2009 at the same level as 2008 (as though it was an earth-shattering revelation to suggest that posting an OPS+ of 221 was unsustainable) a 50 game suspension for a failed steroid test was a stunning development.  Despite showing up to spring training late thanks to prolonged contract negotiations with the club Ramirez, got off to a very strong start.  With Ramirez posting a line of .372/.500/.674 in April/May of 2009, the Dodgers were able to jump out to an early lead in the division which was never relinquished. 

And then all hell broke loose. 

On May 7th, news broke that Ramirez was suspended for 50 games for testing positive for HCG, a women's fertility drug which violates Major League Baseball's performance enhancing drug policy.  Manny went down pretty quietly, which is to say he didn't put up a public fight and wasn't much heard from until he showed up Albuquerque to begin his rehab assignment.  Many erroneously believe that Manny struggled after he came back from suspension, but that wasn't really the case.  In nearly a full month of action in July, Ramirez posted an OPS of .931 in 91 plate apperances.  The real turning point for Ramirez was not the return from suspension (and the implicit notion that Ramirez was unable to perform once he was off the "juice") but was getting hit by a Homer Bailey pitch on July 21, 2009. Despite delivering a dramatic pinch hit grand slam the following night, Ramirez's production went on a solid decline for the rest of the season.  Manny posted an OPS of .881 in August and an OPS of .833 in September and October, leading me to believe that Ramirez was suffering from a lingering hand injury as the season came to an end.

Year Projection Age G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ wOBA
2006 34 130 558 449 79 144 27 1 35 102 0 1 100 102 .321 .439 .619 1.058 165 .434
2007 35 133 569 483 84 143 33 1 20 88 0 0 71 92 .296 .388 .493 .881 126 .375
2008 36 153 654 552 102 183 36 1 37 121 3 0 87 124 .332 .430 .601 1.031 165 .432
2009 37 104 431 352 62 102 24 2 19 63 0 1 71  81 .290 .418 .531 .949 155 .396
2010 Bill James 38 140 602 514 88 152 32 1 30 101 1 0 88 118 .296 .406 .537 .943 .381
2010 CHONE 38 114 478 415 65 116 22 1 24 78 0 0 57 97 .280 .374 .511 .885 .376
2010 Marcel 38 481 409 67 118 25 1 21 73  2 1 63 91 .289 .389 .509 .897 .365
2010 HQ 38 488 90 147 34 2 27 98 0 90 .301 .410 .546 .957

 

 

2010 Expectations

On the one hand, Dodger fans should expect a bounce in the counting stats for Ramirez, as there does not figure to be another 50 game suspension (well in a worst case scenario of a 2nd test it would be a 100 game suspension anyway.) Additionally, Ramirez should get a boost if it turns out the late season struggles were the result of a hand injury that has been rested in the long offseason. On the other hand, Ramirez is entering his age 38 season, which figures to be his last in Los Angeles.  Torre has indicated that Manny would get more regular rest in 2010, perhaps as often as 1 game off per week and if the Dodgers jump out to an early lead in 2010 as they did in 2009, lineups without Ramirez would be appropriate. However, Torre has shown that he is pretty quick to change his mind regarding his star outfielder, and if the Dodgers get off to a slow start it'll be interesting to see how often Ramirez sits down in favor of Reed Johnson.   

My projection: .284/.380/.490

What are your community projections for Manny Ramirez?

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join True Blue LA

You must be a member of True Blue LA to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at True Blue LA. You should read them.

Join True Blue LA

You must be a member of True Blue LA to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at True Blue LA. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker