True Blue LA: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Along The Olentangy for Ohio State Fans!

2010 Player Profile: Chad Billingsley

Chad Billingsley had the tale of two seasons last year.  He started out hot, earning a spot on the All-Star team with a stellar first half, but faded down the stretch:

Months GS IP W-L BB/9 K/9 ERA FIP
Apr-Jun 17 112.1 9-4 4.09 8.81 3.12 3.25
Jul-Oct 15 84.0 3-7 3.75 7.39 5.25 4.46

Billingsley struggled to the point that he did not make a postseason start (although he was scheduled to start Game 4 of the NLDS -- you know, if the Cardinals would have won a game).  Billingsley, as he told Tony Jackson of ESPN last month, chalked his struggles up to pressing too hard:

"There were times in the middle of a game -- and it might not have just been when a guy drove in a run, but maybe it was a guy leading off an inning with a double, something like that -- where I would think maybe I should have used a different pitch selection," Billingsley said. "Then maybe you try to overthrow or try to do too much. That's the mental part of it. But the only way to get better is by doing it, by being out there on the mound. You can't simulate it in the bullpen or by throwing batting practice. You have to be out there facing hitters in a game situation.

"You can't dwell on it. Sometimes, you throw your best pitch and a guy gets a hit and drives in a run. You can't do anything about that now. You just have to bear down and go after the next guy."

Billingsley's career 119 ERA+ is the eighth best in Dodger history through age 24.  This is the point in the exercise when we all hope he's more Don Drysdale than Ismael Valdes.

Previously on True Blue LA

Contract Status

Signed a one-year deal for $3.85 million for 2010.  Billingsley is arbitration eligible through 2012.

2010 Outlook

Year Age IP BB/9 K/9 ERA FIP x-FIP tRA ERA+
2006 21 90.0 5.80 5.90 3.80 4.88 5.39 4.62 118
2007 22 147.2 3.92 8.63 3.31 4.02 4.14 4.07 134
2008 23 200.2 3.59 9.01 3.14 3.35 3.62 3.57 133
2009 24 196.1 3.94 8.21 4.03 3.82 4.04 3.92 98
2010 Projections - Age 26 Season
Bill James 185.0 3.94 8.61 3.65 3.72
CHONE 182.0 3.76 8.65 3.71 3.67
Marcel 173.0 3.75 8.53 3.69 3.78
Baseball HQ 203.0 3.68 8.38 3.64 3.72
ZiPS 199.1 3.43 8.58 3.34 3.48

Billingsley still has a lot going for him.  He's 25 years old, and has a career track record that stacks up well with the best young pitchers in the gameJustin Verlander and Felix Hernandez, both similar to Billingsley at his current service time, were able to parlay a great fourth season into hug five year contracts ($78 million for King Felix, $80 million for Verlander).  Might a similar future await Billingsley?

I vote yes:  3.31 ERA, 1.256 WHIP, 211 innings

What is your guess for Chad Billingsley's 2010?  Give us a prediction of ERA, WHIP, and innings pitched.

0 recs  |  Comment 19 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

ERA: 3.12
WHIP: 1.24
IP: 199

by silverwidow on Mar 7, 2010 8:29 AM PST reply actions  

Bills

I think he goes..3.40ERA; 1.28 whip and 208 IP…and FIP of 3.7

by coloblue on Mar 7, 2010 8:29 AM PST reply actions  

In the 2010 projections chart, which column is which?

by JonWeisman on Mar 7, 2010 8:35 AM PST reply actions  

It flows from the earlier table, although without borders on the table it looks a bit funky

by Eric Stephen on Mar 7, 2010 8:37 AM PST up reply actions  

ERA: 2.93
WHIP: 1.08
IP: 205

by Michael White on Mar 7, 2010 8:36 AM PST reply actions  

Very optimistic WHIP in my opinion.

by silverwidow on Mar 7, 2010 8:55 AM PST up reply actions  

3.09 ERA
1.18 WHIP
202 IP

by MammothDodger on Mar 7, 2010 8:51 AM PST reply actions  

Like this pic of Billingsley, with Loney, at Matt Kemp’s “”http://twitpic.com/176zy1" target="new">Ante Up For Autism" last night:

by Eric Stephen on Mar 7, 2010 9:29 AM PST reply actions  

He means this pic. :)
Uh, oh, I don’t like Bills deer caught in the headlights look. ;)

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Mar 7, 2010 11:14 AM PST up reply actions  

yes

and apparently Phillies hitters can smell fear

by shooterm1 on Mar 7, 2010 8:53 PM PST up reply actions  

My prediction

3.52 era
1.24 whip
195 innings

by SeanMillerSavior on Mar 7, 2010 9:32 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

So Alfredo griffin is taking foul and he balls from fans in bp at the angels park. Man. I thought the dodgers were bad off financially.

by Ivdown on Mar 7, 2010 10:01 AM PST reply actions  

3.49/1.31/199

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Mar 7, 2010 11:02 AM PST reply actions  

3.42 ERA, 1.277 WHIP, 205 IP

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Mar 7, 2010 11:16 AM PST reply actions  

2.86 ERA, 1.192 WHIP, 220 IP

by Tripon on Mar 7, 2010 11:16 AM PST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

A place for Dodger fans to congregate without spending $15 on parking.
Start posting about the Dodgers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

NL West Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
San Diego 76 59 .562 0 Lost 10
San Francisco 76 61 .554 1 Won 2
Colorado 72 64 .529 4.5 Won 3
Los Angeles 69 68 .503 8 Lost 2
Arizona 56 81 .408 21 Lost 2

(updated 9.5.2010 at 7:48 PM PDT)

True Blue LA on Twitter

2010 Dodger Payroll

Pos No Player 2010 Salary
C 28 Barajas $117,486
1B 7 Loney $3,100,000
2B  13 Theriot $909,290
3B 23 Blake $6,000,000
SS 15 Furcal $8,500,000
LF  21 Podsednik $640,710
CF 27 Kemp $4,000,000
RF 16 Ethier $6,000,000

SS/2B/3B 14 Carroll $1,475,000
OF 5 Johnson $850,000
2B/3B/1B 3 Belliard $825,000
OF/1B 31 Gibbons $155,738
C 12 Ausmus $850,000
C 17 Ellis $332,241

SP 22 Kershaw $440,000
SP 58 Billingsley $3,850,000
SP 18 Kuroda $14,100,000
SP  29 Lilly $1,696,721
SP 44 Padilla $4,025,000

CL 56 Kuo $950,000
RHP 51 Broxton $4,000,000
RHP  26 Dotel $636,612
RHP 74
Jansen $159,563
RHP 54 Belisario $297,541
RHP 38 Troncoso $297,792
RHP 36 Weaver $800,000
LHP 52 Sherrill $4,500,000
RHP 37 Monasterios $460,000

DL 59 Schlichting $185,792
DL 55 Martin $5,050,000

Manny $7,267,760


Pierre $4,000,000


Andruw $3,600,000


Schmidt $2,000,000


Wolf $2,000,000


Hudson $1,440,000


Nomar $1,250,000
Anderson $409,699
Ra.Ortiz $349,727
AAA 45 Miller $292,623
DeWitt $266,612


Ohman $200,000
AAA 49 Haeger $195,393
AAA 47 Wade $194,514
AAA  48 Ely $161,749
AAA 30 Paul $131,147


Repko $122,951
DFA 33 Castro $118,033
Green $96,175
Ru.Ortiz $63,934
AAA 50 Link $48,087
DFA 35
Taschner $39,344


Zerpa $35,000
McDonald $28,771
AAA 60 Hu $13,148
AAA 57 Elbert $6,557
AAA
Hoffmann ($25,000)


Stults ($400,000)

Totals
$99,109,950
 
For more detailed information, click here.

SPONSORS

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Texas Rangers Michael Young, left, is held back by Texas Rangers third base coach Dave Anderson (obscured) after being called out at third by third base umpire Alfonso Marquez, front right, to end a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Sunday, Sept. 5, 2010, in Minneapolis.  Rangers manager Ron Washington (wearing sunglasses) looks on. The Twins won 6-5. (AP Photo/Paul Battaglia) +1 updates

Twins Top Rangers 6-5 Thanks To Controversial Ump Decision

LOS ANGELES CA - SEPTEMBER 04:  Jamey Carroll #14 of the Los Angeles Dodgers is pulled off the bag as Darren Ford #34 of the San Francisco Giants steals second base in the eighth inning at Dodger Stadium on September 4 2010 in Los Angeles California. The Giants defeated the Dodgers 5-4.  (Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images) +1 updates

Dodgers' Slide Continues With 3-0 Loss To Rival Giants

BOSTON - SEPTEMBER 05: Jonathan Papelbon #58 of the Boston Red Sox heads for the dugout after he is pulled in the ninth inning against the Chicago White Sox on September 5 2010 at Fenway Park in Boston Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

White Sox Score Four In 9th, Hand Jonathan Papelbon His Seventh Blown Save Of 2010

More from SBNation.com >


Manager

Eric_press_box_1_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Bison_small David Young

2501_small Michael White

Minor League Expert

Greatlakesloons_small Brandon Lennox