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Dodgers Singing The First Pitch Blues

The Dodgers desperately need a good pitching performance tonight, in the finale of their series with the Diamondbacks.  Luckily, in Hiroki Kuroda, they might just have the perfect man to deliver.  After last night's grinder of a loss, Ned Colletti expressed frustration aimed at his pitching staff.  Per Tony Jackson of ESPN LA:

"Our pitching staff has been upside down with walks and falling behind hitters," Colletti said. "You can't continue to pitch behind in the count at this level and expect to get away with it. If you look at rallies late in games, almost always, at the beginning or in the middle of them, there is a walk. I'm not big on statistics, but if you look at 1-0 (counts) versus 0-1, I'm pretty sure you will see a dramatic difference in what hitters do. I'm hopeful that it's just the early part of the season putting us in that position. But it needs to get better, sooner rather than later.''

This reminded me of the 2009 Dodger Thoughts Night at Dodger Stadium, when assistant general manager Kim Ng spoke to us for several minutes.  Someone asked her what her favorite pitch was.  Within a nanosecond, Ng replied, "strike one," and went on to explain how the numbers swung dramatically based on that crucial first pitch.  Here are the numbers in the National League this season:

Split BA/OBP/SLG
After 0-1 .221/.264/.352
After 1-0     .284/.414/.483

Even factoring in balls in play on the first pitch, the numbers are still overwhelmingly in favor of throwing a first pitch strike:

Split BA/OBP/SLG
1st pitch strike    
.243/.280/.389
1st pitch ball   
.284/.414/.483

So you can see why Colletti and Ng, and most everyone in baseball would like their pitchers to throw first pitch strikes.  In the early going -- all of eight games, or roughly five percent of the season -- Dodger pitchers have not been throwing first pitch strikes:

2010 National League First Pitch Thrown
Team Strikes Balls Balls in Play Strike %
Rockies 164 117 39 63.4%
Astros 147 118 38 61.1%
Diamondbacks 165 124 26 60.6%
Reds 189 147 34 60.3%
Cardinals 139 115 33 59.9%
Marlins 185 149 37 59.8%
Mets 152 133 38 58.8%
Padres 142 127 38 58.6%
Braves 149 128 30 58.3%
Brewers 137 130 43 58.1%
NL Average 154 136 35 58.0%
Nationals 146 146 43 56.4%
Cubs 139 129 26 56.1%
Phillies 136 134 33 55.8%
Giants 164 156 29 55.3%
Pirates 165 163 33 54.8%
Dodgers 139 162 35 51.8%

The Dodgers are dead last in the National League in throwing first pitch strikes, after finishing an above-average sixth in the league last season, throwing first pitch strikes 59.4% of the time.  No wonder Colletti is angry.

Star-divide

Here are the Dodgers' individual numbers on the first pitch:

2010 Dodgers First Pitch Thrown
Pitcher Strikes Balls Balls in Play Strike %
Weaver 9 5 3 70.6%
Broxton 5 5 3 61.5%
Kuroda 14 12 5 61.3%
Ra.Ortiz 11 9 2 59.1%
Padilla 19 21 6 54.3%
Billingsley  23 24 5 53.8%
Kershaw 22 25 3 50.0%
Sherrill 8 9 1 50.0%
Haeger 14 17 1 46.9%
Monasterios    4 7 2 46.2%
Troncoso 6 11 3 45.0%
Ru. Ortiz 4 17 1 22.7%
Totals 139 162 35 51.8%

Russ Ortiz really sticks out like a sore thumb here.  He has thrown a first pitch ball to 17 of the 22 batters he has faced.  Ouch.

Other Notes

  • There is one first pitch we won't care whether it's a ball or strike, and that is the one thrown by Don Newcombe before tonight's game.  Newcombe, a teammate of Jackie Robinson with the Dodgers for six seasons, will throw out a ceremonial first pitch, and Matt Kemp will (presumably) catch it (too soon?)
  • Tonight will be the 10th time Dan Haren has faced the Dodgers since joining the Diamondbacks before the 2008 season.  In the previous nine starts, Haren has put up a 3.70 ERA with 15 walks against 50 strikeouts in 56 innings.  Yet somehow the Dodgers have won five of those games.
  • Each member of the starting outfield all have at least a .982 OPS against Haren in their careers, with Manny Ramirez leading the way.  Manny has 15 hits in 26 at-bats against Haren, including three homers, and is hitting a robust .577/.656/1.077 against the Arizona ace
  • White noticing the oddity of Blake DeWitt having a .429 on-base percentage despite a .200 batting average (and slugging percentage) in the early going, I feel compelled to point out the lowest batting average by a Dodger with a .400 on-base percentage in a single season (minimum 300 plate appearances) was Jimmy Wynn's .248 (with a .403 OBP) in 1974.
  • In addition to Newcombe, former Dodgers Tommy Lasorda, Tommy Davis and Sweet Lou Johnson, and former Laker Kareem Abdul-Jabbar will be introduced on the field before the game for Jackie Robinson Night, as will the Jackie Robinson Team 42 Scholars.
  • Jeffrey Osbourne, no doubt tuning up for the Laker playoffs, will sing both the national anthem and God Bless America tonight.

Xeifrank's simulation of today's game is here.

Game Time:  7:10pm

TV:  Prime Ticket

Baseball Reference Preview | Box Score | Gameday

Comment 31 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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MCC

already has a series preview for this weekend up this morning and has a huge Fanpost up with nothing but funny (in their minds) pictures and animated gifs of Dodger bloopers.
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on Apr 15, 2010 3:59 PM PDT reply actions  

Posted the lineups last thread

Carroll batting 8th, playing 2B…everything else the same.

D-Backs have some different players, including Abreu at 2B

by Eric Stephen on Apr 15, 2010 4:01 PM PDT reply actions  

D-backs

C. Jackson 1B
Abreu 2B
Drew SS
Upton RF
Reynolds 3B
Young CF
Parra LF
Hester C
Haren P

by Eric Stephen on Apr 15, 2010 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Johnson is hurt, Tony gets a chance

I hope Johnson tweaked his back making that comical catch on opening day

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 15, 2010 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Dodgers

Furcal SS
Kemp CF
Ethier RF
Manny LF
Loney 1B
Blake 3B
Martin C
Carroll 2B

by Eric Stephen on Apr 15, 2010 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

This Loney 5th stuff has got to stop.

by silverwidow on Apr 15, 2010 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Would you move

Kemp to the 5 hole, poor Rihanna, and move Martin up to the #2 spot? Bat Loney 7th and whomever plays 2B 8th?

by keithc13 on Apr 15, 2010 4:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ned can't be to angry

he’s the one who signed Russ Ortiz who was notorious even when he was good for lack of command.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 15, 2010 4:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Not 17 out of 22 bad though

by Eric Stephen on Apr 15, 2010 4:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Replacing DeWitt with Carroll might be the first time adding Carroll to the lineup could result in more power.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 15, 2010 4:06 PM PDT reply actions  

That is one stat you don't want to be last in

I’m tired of Rick Honeycut myself. Bring me Charlie Hough

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 15, 2010 4:07 PM PDT reply actions  

An email from my brother this morning with the subject “is it Honeycutt?” inspired this post.

by Eric Stephen on Apr 15, 2010 4:23 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Matt Magill

I think his evening is done after five innings; he will be replaced by Allen Webster. Magill’s line tonight:

5.0 IP, 3 H’s, 0 R’s, 0 BB’s, 7 K’s

After two games his season line is as follows:

9.0 IP, 5 H’s, 0R’s, 1BB, 12 K’s

Granted those two games have been against South Bend, which looks to me like it could be the worst team in the Midwest League this year, with a lot of young players, but it would be nice if Magill emerged as a prospect.

by CanuckDodger on Apr 15, 2010 4:15 PM PDT reply actions  

Representing Royal High in Simi

Hopefully this kid can continue his success

by SeanMillerSavior on Apr 15, 2010 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

:)

Royal High School, ftw! It’s been a few months since I’ve looked, but there hasn’t been a single MLB player to come out of Royal to my knowledge. I’d love for Magill to be the first :)

by Ivdown on Apr 15, 2010 7:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

At a bar havin some beers

The bartender Mary, is a Giants fan. She’s talking mad shit. She’s hot so I say ok. Let’s beat them ok.

by Skunkburner on Apr 15, 2010 5:00 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

No need

She has two tigobitties. I don’t care. Haha

by Skunkburner on Apr 15, 2010 5:26 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

"I'm not big on statistics"

In other news, scientists have discovered that heat is hot.

Question: if Ned thinks that walks are so bad for his pitchers to give up, why doesn’t he also think that walks are a good thing for his hitters to draw (and thus that OBP is a million times more meaningful than BA)…?

Oh right: he’s stupid.

by D4P on Apr 15, 2010 5:37 PM PDT reply actions  

Citation for the quote, please?

by berkowit28 on Apr 15, 2010 5:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Eric Stephen

links the quote at TBLA from Tony Jackson.

by D4P on Apr 15, 2010 5:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

It’s in the quoted boxed in this article; however, it isn’t really the part to focus on.

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Apr 15, 2010 6:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure what you mean

D4P seems to spend his life looking for every opportunity to slate Ned Colletti, which I personally am heartily sick of (D4P’s obsession, that is). It’s tedious, boring, and simple-minded. (Readers of Dodger Thoughts will know there’s a long history here. Readers only of this blog may think I’m exaggerating, since D4P has only recently appeared here; but I’m not.) At least this time, if it’s a genuine quote, as it apparently is, he’s welcome to the tenuous hold on reality that gives him. I don’t expect that any comments of others here will affect D4P’s mannerisms, nor would I ever attempt to modify someone’s behavior: it won’t work, and it’s not my place. Only blog managers can do that, if they deem it necessary. I can’t imagine we’re at that point (yet). Thus I am not focusing on the last sentence, but was (until now) ignoring it.

by berkowit28 on Apr 15, 2010 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

D4P

won’t be here long with his one trick pony rhetoric

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 15, 2010 7:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

We are undefeated

on Jackie Robinson day. 3-0. Keep the streak alive!!!!!!!!

by keithc13 on Apr 15, 2010 6:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Is it racist

that Ned hires an Asian to do his math?

This may not be the best question for Jackie Robinson night.

by Cool Dudes on Apr 15, 2010 8:01 PM PDT reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
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2B 37 Herrera $375,082
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SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
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OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
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SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
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RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
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DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
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DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

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