Here's a look at runners inherited by the Dodger bullpen this season, through tonight's game in Washington DC. Using the Baseball Prospectus Run Expectancy Matrix, we can find out the average runs scored each inning after every base-out situation. For instance, having runners on first and third base with nobody out yielded an average of 1.92135 runs from that point forward in the inning.
Here are all the situations so far with inherited runners this season:
Jeff Weaver | |||||||
Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 7 |
5th | 123 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.76613 | 0.76613 |
Apr 8 |
6th | -2- | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.67372 | (0.32628) |
Apr 10 |
5th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.96214 | 0.96214 |
Apr 13 |
6th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.96214 | (0.03786) |
Apr 18 |
8th | 1-- | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.88248 | 0.88248 |
Totals | 9 | 2 | 4.24661 | 2.24661 |
Ramon Ortiz |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 5 |
5th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.53403 | (1.46597) |
Apr 14 |
7th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.96214 | 0.96214 |
Apr 15 |
9th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.53403 | 1.53403 |
Apr 23 |
6th | 1-- | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.53125 | 0.53125 |
Totals | 9 | 3 | 4.56145 | 1.56145 |
Ramon Troncoso |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 13 |
7th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.22795 | 0.22795 |
Apr 14 |
6th | -23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.57143 | 0.57143 |
Apr 16 |
9th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.44000 | (1.56000) |
Apr 18 |
8th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.44000 | 0.44000 |
Apr 22 |
8th | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.94382 | 0.94382 |
Totals | 9 | 2 | 2.62320 | 0.62320 |
Carlos Monasterios |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 17 |
4th | 12- | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.58113 | (0.41887) |
Totals | 2 | 2 | 1.58113 | (0.41887) |
Jonathan Broxton |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 9 |
9th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1.53403 | (0.46597) |
Totals |
3 |
2 | 1.53403 | (0.46597) |
George Sherrill |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 10 |
9th | 1-- | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.88248 | (0.11752) |
Apr 18 |
8th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.96214 | 0.96214 |
Apr 21 |
6th | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.45833 | (1.54167) |
Totals |
5 |
3 | 2.30295 | (0.69705) |
Ronald Belisario |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 22 |
7th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.96214 | (1.03786) |
Totals | 2 | 2 | 0.96214 | (1.03786) |
Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved | |
Team Totals | 39 | 16 | 17.81151 | 1.81151 |
So the Dodgers have given up almost two runs less than expected in those situations. Raise your hand if you noticed that since opening day, Ramon Ortiz has left all six inherited runners stranded.