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Opening Day Series - Pittsburgh Pirate Preview

Pirate fans will be happy to see the first decade of the 21st century fade into the past. Not one Pirate team in the last decade won more then 75 games.  We won't dwell on the past but on the future, and the Pirates have some nice players who will make the team worth watching even if it doesn't translate into wins right away.

Changes:

Notable Losses: Matt Capps and Jesse Chavez

Notable Additions: Akinori Iwamura, Octavio Dotel, Ryan Church

Old Friends: Andy LaRoche, Delywn Young, Joel Hanrahan

Position Breakdown

1st Base- One time top catching prospect for the Mariners Jeff Clement has been given the job to start the season.  Clement has never fulfilled his number one pick expectations and it is doubtful he can hit enough to play 1st base but it is worthwhile to find out now. If wonderkid Pedro Alveraz can handle 3rd base, Clement will get a long look, if not his reign may be brief.

2nd Base- Akinori Iwamura comes over from the Rays to take over not only 2nd base but the leadoff spot. Iwamura was a 3rd baseman in Japan but has transitioned smoothly to 2nd base. He will give the Pirates some on base skills but with little power. Delywn Young will back him up and be there in case Iwamura has any injury problems.

SS - Ronny Cedeno came over from the Cubs Seattle to replace Jack Wilson. Cedeno does not have the glove of Wilson but he can handle the position and should provide close to the same offensive production.

3rd Base - Andy LaRoche came over from the Dodgers in the Manny deal and we should all be familiar with him. Last year looks like a failure at first blush but he did manage to increase his power in the 2nd half. The man who we once thought could provide 25 home runs while producing a plus on base percentage has never materialized. He has a very short window to impress because the highly touted Pedro Alvarez is right on his tail. Most pundits feel Alvarez will be playing 3rd base full time at some point this year. We won't see him this series so I won't spend much time on him.

C - Ryan Doumit - will hit cleanup for the Pirates,  and when healthy can provide some solid power from the catching position.  They will need him healthy because this is a team devoid of power.

CF - The Pirates have the most exciting center fielder East of the Rockies in Andrew McCutchen who finally lived upto his number one pick status by  breaking out in 2009, in a way very similar to what Matt Kemp did in 2007. He is one of the faster baserunners in baseball, has decent on base skills, power is coming. For the first time in years the Pirates have someone worth watching that fans can expect to stick around for a while.

OF - Lasting Milledge was once a top Met prospect and at 24 years old may still live upto that promise. At this point he's not very useful as a corner outfielder until he can either get his power amped up or his on base skills moving in the northerly direction.  He improved once he started playing full time but he has to improve a lot to become a productive corner outfielder.

OF - Garrett Jones was a Mitch Jones clone except he got to play and gave the Pirates a huge shot in the arm. He smoked 21 home runs along with a nifty .938 OPS. If Garrett had not shown up the most home runs on the team would have been the 12 hit by the LaRoche brothers.  Probably the biggest question for the Pirates is what can Garrett do for an encore. Is he a Casey Blake or will the pitchers figure him out and send him back to AAA where he toiled forever?

OF - Ryan Church who was once traded from the Nationals to the Met's for Lasting Milledge now finds himself backing up Milledge. Church is a solid backup outfielder who might even be better then the guys they are putting out there but has no upside so might as well find out with Milledge and Jones can do.

OF - Delywn Young had a huge spring with six home runs but will have to be happy with pinch hitting duties. He can play the outfield or 2nd, and possibly 3rd in a pinch.

You can see a trend where the Pirates have gobbled up other teams failed top prospects in an effort to hit gold. So far that has not produced much but Clement, Milledge, and LaRoche are all young enough that they could still work out, and it is a strategy worth pursuing while the Pirate own top draft picks start materializing. Last year McCutchen was the first wave, and this year Pedro Alveraz will be the 2nd wave. Unfortunately for the Pirates they don't have much pitching. The best pitching prospect is  ex-Giant prospect Tim Alderson. The 2nd best is 2006 number one pick Brad Lincoln who just hasn' t progressed very quickly for such a high pick out of college.  The Pirates had the 4th pick and missed out on the likes of Kershaw or  Lincecum.

Starting Pitching for our Series:

Game One - Zach Duke - Opening day starter uses a high ground ball rate and excellent control to survive.  Just another crafty lefthander with little dominance who has little room for error.

Game Two - Ross Ohlendorf - Gains in 2009 were masked by a friendly hit rate. Has home run problems, accentuated by a dominance around 6.0 while only inducing 42-43% ground balls.

Game Three - Paul Maholm - Another ground ball inducing lefty, Maholm took a step back in 2009 mainly due to a drop in dominance and an elevated hit rate. He's the best Pirate pitcher which means he might be the only guy who can muster a sub 4.00 but everything would have to break right for him to achieve that.

Bullpen:

Ocavio Dotel was imported from the White Sox to take over the closer duties that left with Matt Capps. He can still strike out hitters at  a good clip (10.8 ) and just might be able to handle the job. He hasn't been a  teams primary closer since 2004 so who knows how it will turn out.  When Joel Hanrahan the ex - closer for the Nationals and one time Dodger prospect comes off the DL he will be the primary setup man. Others of note are ex-Angel Donnelly, Evan Meek, and Javier Lopez. None of the bullpen members have solid base skills and the Dodgers should be able to score against this group.

The Pirates look to lose more games then they win once again and it would behoove the Dodgers to take at least two of three to start the season.

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Great to see a series preview!

It will be interesting to see how Torre stacks his bullpen in the early going. I expect Ramon Ortiz to be used in later game situations, with Monk more a middle inning option. Weaver and Russ Ortiz should be long men. Troncoso is key for us. Bring it on!

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 10:03 AM PDT reply actions  

Would not want to be a Pirates’ fan.

by oshea2002 on Apr 4, 2010 10:08 AM PDT reply actions  

Actually, I like the Pirates this year. As Phil points out, they have accumulated a lot of other teams’ prospects, and they appear to have bottomed out. They have talent and will be fun to watch.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 10:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

They certainly have from a “quantity” perspective, but are any of these guys gonna turn them into a winning team? I like McCutcheon a lot, but this team could still approach 100 losses.

by oshea2002 on Apr 4, 2010 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

Shhhh! Jinx!

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Apr 4, 2010 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

Vin Scully interview in SB Sun

Vin Scully is interviewed in the San Bernardino Sun today.

http://www.sbsun.com/dodgers/ci_14816948

About this season, he says

It’s much of the same thing year after year – you’re full of anticipation and optimism, to see this team so close to the World Series twice. Will Manny hold up his end? Will Furcal manage to play all year? You’ve got the older players on the left side, with Casey Blake, and then the young stars on the right side with Kemp, Ethier, Loney and Martin, and how frustrated a Blake DeWitt must be going up and down. And will Kershaw be another Koufax, will Billingsley regain his form, and will Broxton be another Gagne or still be suffering from anything against Philadelphia last year? There are always so many basic questions and it’s the fun of watching the answers slowly evolve. There are so many chapters to read and we haven’t even started.

by MartinGreen on Apr 4, 2010 10:50 AM PDT reply actions  

Quick question

My wife asked me a question about defense and the Hall of Fame. In short, are there players in the Hall of Fame mainly for their defense? The best I could come up with was Ozzie Smith, but I opined that he only became a lock once his offense jumped up from substandard levels. Is there a better example? Maybe a 10-time GG winner who was otherwise not that good at other parts of his game. I’ll take your answers off the air. Thanks!

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:31 PM PDT reply actions  

Opening Day lineup

Via Jon Weisman (via Dodgers Twitter)

1) Furcal
2) Martin
3) Ethier
4) Ramirez
5) Kemp
6) Loney
7) Blake
8) DeWitt
9) Padilla

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:34 PM PDT reply actions  

Personally, I like Martin 2nd—takes advantage of his plate discipline. Kemp batting 5th is not as egregious as Jason Bay batting 5th for the Mets. What are they thinking?

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think I like Kemp batting 5th. More guys will be on base for him so maybe pitchers won’t be able to throw so many breaking balls in the dirt against him.

by Jesse S. on Apr 4, 2010 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

Twitter

I just now see Eric S. has had it up for about an hour now. I’m a twitter twit.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I wonder if any of you guys

might be interested in catching a game in the Inland Empire? Would be nice.

Also, just a small thing. Ronny Cedeño came over from the Mariners last season, not the Cubbies as stated in your write up.

Who is Karim Garcia? Who is he to challenge me?

by Who Is Karim Garcia? on Apr 4, 2010 1:37 PM PDT reply actions  

Funny…I’ve been checking out their schedule this morning; thinking about going to a Saturday night or Sunday day game this month. I’ve never been to a game there, although it is my (and Eric’s) home town.

by KellyStephen on Apr 4, 2010 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm more than willing to

carpool or meet there if anyone else is willing.

Who is Karim Garcia? Who is he to challenge me?

by Who Is Karim Garcia? on Apr 4, 2010 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ah, not such an unusual step then for Eric to move to Victorville, perhaps.

by berkowit28 on Apr 4, 2010 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thanks

Forgot he did a side trip to Seattle last year before ending up in Pittsburgh.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Apr 4, 2010 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

I will go if somebody good is on rehab there.

by delias man on Apr 4, 2010 4:42 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Mariners' Rotation

RHP Felix Hernandez
RHP Ian Snell
LHP Ryan Rowland-Smith
RHP Doug Fister
LHP Jason Vargas

I don’t think the Angels are intimidated.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Speaking of Angels…i was looking at the Angels schedule today (I’m 10 minutes from Anaheim Stadium) and they have some weird Wednesday schedule going on this year. 3 games at 12:35 (in July and August, when it’s nice and toasty), 5 at 7:05, and 5 at the weird time of 4:05. Anyone have any ideas on that?

by KellyStephen on Apr 4, 2010 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Lee will be back in that rotation within a month tops.

by Jesse S. on Apr 4, 2010 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

true

But it just highlights the dangers of depending on a dominant top of the rotation. Their defense should remain extraordinary, but 4 out of 5 days they may be evenly matched at best on the mound.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

You’re assuming Lee is going to be out a long time? Because with Lee in the rotation him and Felix can match up with anyone.

by Jesse S. on Apr 4, 2010 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

A month is a long time for a team that has to have everything go well from the get-go.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well a 1 1/2 weeks of that 1 month has already passed. I don’t think it’s comforting to Mariners fans that Lee’s current injury is the same injury that has kept him out for long bouts in the past, but assuming he comes back sometime in the next 3 weeks I think they’ve got an above average rotation.

by Jesse S. on Apr 4, 2010 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

King Felix and Cliff Lee are aces

But I really like Snell And Rowland-Smith.

Who is Karim Garcia? Who is he to challenge me?

by Who Is Karim Garcia? on Apr 4, 2010 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like RRS, but Snell is a true wild card. I wasn’t trying to be controversial; I just noticed the rotation and thought it looked a little light.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ugh opening day in Pittsburgh?

Blegh.

On the World Champion Lakers Basketball Network...

by sumo390 on Apr 4, 2010 3:18 PM PDT reply actions  

That was a decent thump of an earthquake

6.9 in Baja, and felt it pretty good in Hemet.

by EMDarrow on Apr 4, 2010 4:09 PM PDT reply actions  

yeap

i felt it too…sorta

"Just by the aura of D.J. Mbenga being there, the shot missed."

by shaqfor3 on Apr 4, 2010 4:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Didn't

feel it here…but I live in Arkansas….:)

by keithc13 on Apr 4, 2010 4:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Dear Phil Gurnee

“No team won more then 75 games and seven times they won fewer then 70 games.”

It’s more THAN 75 games and fewer THAN 70 games. You always do this. It wouldn’t be a problem if you didn’t WRITE FOR WORLD’S LARGEST — and best — DODGER BLOG!!!!

I love this site and love reading what people have to say. I also like to contribute to game threads when I’m not working, so don’t think I’m some dude who just joined up. I also like the content of what you write, but this has to stop.

Also as to not bag on you without giving you constructive criticism here is the then/than rule of thumb.

Than is a conjunction used in comparisons: Better than, more than

Then is a time/sequence element: The Pirates lost the season opener, then lost the next seven.

I’m sure I made several grammatical mistakes in writing this and for that I’m sorry.

by RandallP on Apr 4, 2010 5:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Last time I checked this was a blog, not a writing class. :)

by Julio Nievas on Apr 4, 2010 7:51 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Joe Morgan off to a hot start

commenting on how Safeco field is so much bigger, and so much more of a pitchers park than Fenway Park and DODGER STADIUM?
http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor/_/year/2009

also it was after a ball Beltre hit to cnterfield, Dodger Stadium is 5 ft. deeper at center than Safeco is..

good to have baseball back though : )

William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.

by Ollie on Apr 4, 2010 5:55 PM PDT reply actions  

oh and hey, for anyone that may care

Kings clinched a playoff spot today by virtue of a calgary loss, its been a long 8 years!

William Doolittle at your service, a.k.a. will do.

by Ollie on Apr 4, 2010 5:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

YES!

I'm nobody's fool, least of all yours

by BoulderDodger on Apr 4, 2010 6:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sabathia changed shoes??? How often does that happen in baseball during a game? Weird…

by keithc13 on Apr 4, 2010 7:03 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Finally, opening day. And I have to work.

by Skunkburner on Apr 4, 2010 6:21 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

I’ll be driving 6 hours with my 4-year old son, waiting to get home and check the DVR. BTW, that bodes well for the Dogs tomorrow; when I can’t watch, they play well.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 9:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good game in Boston

Chan Ho Park = Yankee Choker. Sorry, but that’s the way it works.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 9:26 PM PDT reply actions  

Yanks fans are mad at Girardi for pinch-running Winn but not running him.

by kinbote on Apr 4, 2010 10:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yankees have a serious problem with their middle relief. Even if you chalk Sabathia’s struggles to his annual early season slump, Park, Marte, and Chamberlain were all shaky against a Red Sox lineup that is supposed to be worse than last year.

by dsm9412 on Apr 5, 2010 12:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

RT @RobBiertempfel: #Pirates’ likely Opening Day lineup: Iwamura 4, McCutchen 8, Jones 9, Doumit 2, Milledge 7, Clement 3, LaRoche 5, Duke lhp, Cedeno 6

by Eric Stephen on Apr 4, 2010 10:07 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

I am so excited!

Another year of baseball, sarcastic commentary and hopefully hundreds of .jpeg photos of the majestic American Bison.

by K3vo on Apr 4, 2010 10:19 PM PDT reply actions  

in other news, Matt Kemp makes ESPN’s preseason all-mlb team

by K3vo on Apr 4, 2010 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

He’s a beast, that’s a fact.

by Ivdown on Apr 5, 2010 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

t-minus 12 hours and counting

Night all!

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on Apr 4, 2010 10:45 PM PDT reply actions  

yesssss

Time to dream the bison crush HRs.

by Julio Nievas on Apr 4, 2010 10:59 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

btw

the trueblueLA NCAA tournament breacket standings are set…

im 15th place with only 58 points and the winner is already indy blue if duke wins or loses… hes also the only person to chose duke

by matthewmafa on Apr 4, 2010 11:03 PM PDT reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

Yahoo_full_count

Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox

Img_0103_small CraigMinami