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NL All Star team prediction

4592003861_2811d7717f_tiny by Tripon on

C: Carlos Ruiz, Brian Schneider, Paul Hoover

1B: Ryan Howard, Greg Dobbs

2B: Chase Utley, Wilson Valdez

SS: Jimmy Rollins, Juan Castro

3B: Placido Polanco,

OF: Jayson Werth, Raul Ibanez, Shane Victorino, Ben Francisco, Ross Gload

P: Roy Halladay, Jamie Moyer, Cole Hamels, Kyle Kendrick, Joe Blanton, J.A. Happ, Brad Lidge, Chad Durbin, Ryan Madson, Nelson Figueroua, Jose Contreras, J.C. Romero, Antonio Bastardo, David Herndo

Manager: Charlie Manuel

Coaches: Larry Bowa, Tony LaRussa,

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Read More: Paul Hoover (C - BOS), Carlos Ruiz (C - PHI), Brian Schneider (C - PHI), Greg Dobbs (3B - MIA), Ryan Howard (1B - PHI), Los Angeles Dodgers

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lol

"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both. " - Benjamin Franklin

by TheNewbster on May 17, 2010 1:56 AM PDT reply actions  

oh

i see what you did there.

golf clap

by npurcell on May 17, 2010 10:43 AM PDT reply actions  

injury replacements....

OF: Dominic brown and tyson gillies

Pitcher: Phillip aumonte trevor may

Catcher: Sebastian valle

add on: domingo santana

by matthewmafa on May 17, 2010 10:49 AM PDT reply actions  

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Nothing like a nice comeback to wash away the sorrow of a disappointing loss. The Dodgers win probability actually never got below 25% in yesterday's contest. The biggest win probability swing in the Phillies favor was on Ryan Howard's homerun when their odds of winning jumped from 48.2% to 59.7%. The Dodgers two biggest win probability shifts obviously came in the bottom of the 8th inning. They entered the inning witha 41.1% chance of winning, and got their odds up to 49.6% when Russell Martin came to the plate and reached on an error by Chase Utley which bumped their win expectancy to 61.0%. But the biggest jump came on Andre Ethier's bases loaded walk, the Dodgers win expectancy went from 63.5% to 87.4%. Those two at bats had a leverage indez above 5, meaning they were more than five times as important as an average at bat. The MVP of the gam (per win probability) was easily Pedro Martinez, whose .450 win probability added was more than double the next closest player, Vicente Padilla with .207 WPA. Ethier (.157), Martin (.152), and Thome (.141) also made key contributions for the Dodgers. The Least Valuable Player was Matt Kemp, whose -.246 was more than twice as bad as any other Dodger. Of course 57% of his negative contribution came on his stikeout in the 8th inning, and whiffing against a guy with more than a strikeout per inning in 2009 is nothing to be ashamed of. Finally, as Phil said in the recap below the Dodgers odds of winning the series are now 51.9%. That's not too bad all things considered.

by Brendan Scolari over 2 years ago 3 comments

Here's the win probability chart for Game 1 of the NLCS. There were some big shifts in this game, with the biggest being Carlos Ruiz's three run bomb that cut the Dodgers' odds of winning in half (from 50.7% to 25.2%). Ryan Howard's double later in the inning that put the Phillies up 5-1 cut the Dodgers' odds in half again (from 25.2% to 11.2%). The Dodgers showed resiliency, raising their odds up to 46.5% after a 6th inning Ronnie Belliard single put runners on first and second with one out and the Dodgers down a run, but they were never again favored to win the game. The Dodgers had some life until Raul Ibanez's three run blast cut their win expectancy from 17.4% to a mere 3.8%. The final blow was when Casey Blake grounded into a double play in the bottom of the 9th, cutting the Dodgers odds from 19.1% to 1.6%. The most valuable player (using win probability) was Carlos Ruiz, who had .275 win probability added. He was closely followed by Chan Ho's .240 WPA, and the two most valuable Dodgers were James Loney (.193) and Andre Ethier (.176). Five other Phillies had at least .060 WPA but no other Dodgers did. Ultimately the game could have gone either way. The Dodgers had more baserunners than the Phillies but the Phils happened to hit homeruns in the only innings where more than one of their batters reached base. It was a tough loss but there's no reason to lose hope.

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+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Recent Posts

Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000
OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000
SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
 Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000
CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000
DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000
AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869


Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000
Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)
Yahoo_full_count

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