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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Team Preview - Diamondbacks get no relief

This is our third match up with Diamondbacks but much has changed for one team since the last meeting. The Last Diamondback preview was a battle for last place, twenty one days later the Diamondbacks are still in last place, while we are  fighting for 1st place.

If you think the Diamondback bullpen has been bad it is because it has been bad. Not just bad but beyond bad. They are dead-last in ERA (7.62),  FIP (6.41), and  xFIP (5.31). Home runs have been the bug a boo as they have given up 31 home runs. By contrast the Dodgers have only given up 13 home runs.

As bad as the bullpen has been the rotation is not much better. They have also given up a league leading 54 home runs but at least they are not dead - last in ERA (5.22), FIP (4.81), and xFIP (4.11). Brandon Webb is still out, Dan Haren is not having his usual first half all-star stuff. Their hottest pitcher has been Ian Kennedy but we miss him again.

Star-divide

Position Breakdown

1st Base- Nothing has changed much for Adam LaRoche since we last wrote him up.  His TSL of .272/.363/.506 is still in the upper tier of first baseman this year.

2nd Base- Kelly Johnson has slowed down from his lofty levels, and has seen his wOBA fall from .442 to .396. Tony Abreu had his wrist sprained when he was spiked at 2nd base and hit the DL last week.

SS -Stephen Drew  has continued his solid start, keeping his TSL at .299/.365/.483 and a wOBA of .376.

3rd Base -  Mark Reynolds continues to strike out at a prodigious rate moving it from 34% to 38% with a 40% rate in May. Would love to see him crack the 40% barrier. Even with all the strike outs, Reynolds continues to be productive when he makes contact. TSL of .230/.337/.496 is big drop from 21 days ago as he has struggled in May.

C -  Chris Snyder has had a miserable May, and the Diamondbacks can't wait for Montero to get back. Snyder hit .150/.346/.283 in May. Other then taking a walk he was a big zero. Pretty big guy to be carrying a slug% of .283 for a months worth of work.

CF - Chris Young continues his comeback with a solid May giving him two solid months in a row. Not sure when the last time was that Chris Young had two good months in a row.  The BABIP has fallen from .356 to .331 but he's kept the  TSL of .281/.348/.461. He continues to match Matt Kemp. (hard to believe Matt Kemp has an OPS below .800) Editor Note: Kemp has an OPS of .804 in May, my mistake and overall is .840. Thanks to MartinGreen for pointing out the error which makes the previous sentence moot.

RF -Justin Upton had a better May then April but an OPS of .812 is still far from what the Diamondbacks were expecting for the future HOF. For the season he still has a K rate of 36%.

LF - Conor Jackson has been back but he's terrible. Not sure if he's in danger of losing his job but a TSL of .191/.291/.309 is not going to get it done from left field. Or any field for that matter. The only thing Conor Jackson can be happy about is that ECR won the City Championship this past Saturday.

Bench - With Abreu on the DL, Montero on the DL, the bench is weak.

 Starting Pitching for our Series:

The exact same three pitchers who faced us last time, face us again.

Game One -Rodrigo Lopez -has seen his xFIP rise from 3.74 to 5.23 in a matter of 21 days. I'd say he's on the trajectory predicted back on April 12th.

Much traveled Rodrigo Lopez will go in game two. Lopez has not pitched more then 14 games in the majors since 2006 but here he is in the Diamondback rotation. His skills are gone, and he may not be here the next time I do one of  these.

 

Game Two - Diamondback ace Dan Haren is not pitching like an ace. This is what he had to say about how he's been pitching:

"I think taking a step back and thinking about what's gone on," Haren said. "It's been 11 starts. I've thrown plenty of innings, gotten plenty of strikeouts, I'm not walking anybody. I mean, really it's simple. I'm giving up too many homers and a few too many hits, but really it's just too many homers. The homer is killing me. There's no excuse for that."

Game Three - Ex Dodger Edwin Jackson is also getting killed by the long ball. His ERA is 6.03 but his xFIP is only 3.89. 

Bullpen: Everyone sucks. Everyone. Actually that is not true. Aaron Heilman has been solid. So no matter what the score, don't lose hope, this is a team we can score late against.

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Normally I try to respect subscription content

But this “Rumor” on Espn.com was too good to ignore.

Posey to bat seventh on Monday
8:12AM ET
Buster Posey | Giants
Top Email

The San Francisco Giants finally called up catcher Buster Posey and the former first-round pick started at first base the last two days, collecting six hits and four RBI.

The San Francisco Chronicle reported Sunday that manager Bud Black has informed catcher Bengie Molina that he is still the starting catcher for the Giants, despite Posey’s presence.

Posey has batted sixth the last two games, but Black hinted he might drop him to seventh Monday against the Rockies’ Ubaldo Jimenez.

I could not find an article in the Chronicle that mentioned this and more importantly, could not find one that said the Giants fired Bochy and hired Black away from the Padres.

by bhsportsguy on May 31, 2010 7:17 AM PDT reply actions  

What did you expect?

I mean c’mon, it’s ESPN. I bet 75% of the people working there, dont even know that California exists. This is the same network , that thinks all MLB teams are from either New York or Boston. Personally Id rather read the National Enquirer, while Im looking for something truthful or even factual.

by darrelld on May 31, 2010 8:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

Seriously

If it ain’t Yanks or Sawx they don’t care.

by Dodgerbobble on May 31, 2010 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

When did Bud Black take over the Giants?

Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man

by mleadman on May 31, 2010 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nevermind

Maybe if I read your entire post…

Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man

by mleadman on May 31, 2010 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions  

Matt Kemp OPS

“Hard to believe Matt Kemp has an OPS below .800”

Maybe it’s hard to believe, because Kemp’s OPS is .840?

by MartinGreen on May 31, 2010 7:55 AM PDT reply actions  

I was looking at May, my mistake

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

B-Ref has Kemp’s May OPS at .804

by Tripon on May 31, 2010 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

It was below .800 when I wrote it last night

it is now at .804 and has been noted above.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nice to be home

And playing a crappy team. Maybe they can move into first place in the West this week.

by Dodgerbobble on May 31, 2010 8:43 AM PDT reply actions  

Do all 8 opening day position players play today?

If so is the batting order the same?

Rafael Furcal, SS
Russell Martin, C
Andre Ethier, RF
Manny Ramirez, LF
Matt Kemp, CF
James Loney, 1B
Casey Blake, 3B
Blake DeWitt, 2B

by MammothDodger on May 31, 2010 8:47 AM PDT reply actions  

I could see Martin moving down

Kemp back to 2nd, then Loney after Ramirez, Blake, Martin, DeWitt. My guess anyway.

There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.

by underdog on May 31, 2010 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

i almost wrote it that way

then i remembered Kemp in 2 hole started a week or so later.

by MammothDodger on May 31, 2010 8:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Kemp does well in the 2 hole.

I dont have any stats to back that up, so I could be totally wrong. I like Martin 8th. He seems to get on base more when he is there. Again, no stats to back that up. Seems to me that it should be Furcal, Kemp, Dre, Manny, Loney, Blake, Dewitt and then Martin. But then again, since I dont have any stats to back it up, that lineup could be awesome, or awful.

by darrelld on May 31, 2010 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

That lineup is perfectly fine.

by silverwidow on May 31, 2010 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Furcal continues to work his way out of his second ST and improves each day
Martin is playing well, especially on Defense
Ethier comes back, how long will it take to get the timing back on the swing?
Manny showing his age
Kemp has been pulling off the ball for awhile. Stay in on it. See it.
Loney is playing very well. Both on offense and defense
Blake is playing out of his mind now, like last year
DeWitt … C’,mon dude … stay back and through the ball …
Pitching has been fantastic

by 68elcamino427 on May 31, 2010 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

OH MAN

I didn’t realize there was a game today! I keep thinking today is like Sunday 2.0. And considering I may still be at work when it happens, perhaps tonight is not a complete wash after all.

They say to never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious.

by Maddz on May 31, 2010 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Last weekend Joe said he liked Martin #2, although he also liked Kemp there too.

He did say with Ethier out, he liked putting Kemp behind Manny because it freed Matt up to run some more.

I tend to think we will see Kemp-Ethier-Manny 2-3-4, but it also wouldn’t surprise me to see Martin batting 2nd.

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Small sample size

But for the year, Kemp’s been hitting right handers like he does left handers, and left handers like he does right handers career wise.

2010
Against RHP: .884 OPS in 166 PA
Against LHP: .722 OPS in 59 PA

Obviously, expect that to flip as the year pasts but I thought that was kinda odd.

by Tripon on May 31, 2010 8:48 AM PDT reply actions  

KInd of odd

how Manny and Kemp have been pedestrian in May, but the Dodgers had a great month. Thank you Andre, Blake, and the elite pitching.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

Dont thank Blake... thank the Beard.

And Im being totally serious. He has my vote for MVB.

by darrelld on May 31, 2010 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

Xavier Paul

In the future, become a veteran, you young punk.

Otherwise it’s the minors for you.

by KempKershaw on May 31, 2010 9:48 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Not yet. Should happen in a few hours.

by silverwidow on May 31, 2010 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

Awesome!

We just need some skin bleaching cream now, so then he can LOOK like Mark Sweeney too.

by darrelld on May 31, 2010 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

Payroll column and spreadsheet updated activating Andre

and sending Paul down, if not official it is at least Stephenized.

by MammothDodger on May 31, 2010 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

I didn’t get around to adding Elbert until yesterday so I just updated it all in one fell swoop.

The Ramon Ortiz and Nick Green numbers are just placeholders for now; they will go down once their fate becomes official.

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

so did you add and subtract Elbert

at the same time, doesn’t that…….equal 0

by MammothDodger on May 31, 2010 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Haha

Elbert got 3 days of service time, so I added his ~$6,500 into the total.

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Open spot on 40-man roster

41 players total – Wade & Ausmus (60-day DL) = 39

I wonder if they have plans to use this at all? Maybe towards the trade deadline.

by silverwidow on May 31, 2010 9:54 AM PDT reply actions  

A reminder of all things ridiculous

The great blog Beyond The Boxscore had the DIamondbacks ranked 11th in the power rankings last week and the Dodgers ranked 18th. Haven’t seen the latest rankings out yet, but chances are the Diamondbacks moved to #5 ahead of the Mariners. :)

by Xeifrank on May 31, 2010 9:59 AM PDT reply actions  

Maybe "power"

means how many home runs they hit and give up. In which case they are elite.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

No, its supposed to determine playoff spots.

by Tripon on May 31, 2010 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

that was tongue in cheek

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Looking forward to Eric's May Breakdown

just to see how dominant the pitching has been this month.

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on May 31, 2010 10:01 AM PDT reply actions  

Ethier will pass him by Wednesday :)

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ethier will pass him by tonight.

by Tripon on May 31, 2010 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ethier is going to break home plate’s ankle after his walk-off

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Sooooo, did anybody notice that Kemp’s UZR went down again? Currently at -13.6 and -17 DRS. His arm is -3.2 and -4. It seems like hes played a ton better on defense the last few weeks, but hes still getting killed in the numbers.

by UCLADodger32 on May 31, 2010 10:56 AM PDT reply actions  

Again, SSS warning, but interesting nonetheless.

by UCLADodger32 on May 31, 2010 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Billingsley – Where are the pscho-critics now? Great job, Great turn around by the pitcher.
Kershaw – Continues to mature – what a talent.
Kuroda – Stay healthy my friend.
Ely – So good they named a town in Nevada after him … before he was born.
Padillia – One of the Original Wildcards

by 68elcamino427 on May 31, 2010 11:45 AM PDT reply actions  

Ely – So good they named a town in Nevada after him … before he was born

This is great.

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

Anyone see Oswalt get bounced in the 3rd?

I am at work, I’m sure it was for arguing balls and strikes. If you saw it, let me know if you can.

I’ll hang up and listen

by keithc13 on May 31, 2010 12:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Going to the game tonight.

Stoked that I’ll get to see Ethier back in the lineup (right?). Taking my son with me again, too. Dodgers are a perfect 1-0 in games that he attends, looking to extend the win streak to 2 games. Also pumped to see Chad pitch for the first time in person.

On a side note, the giveaway tonight is a kids Manny batting practice jersey to first 15,000 kids 14 and under. Do the kids have to have tickets, or can they just be with their parents?

by Jesse S. on May 31, 2010 12:32 PM PDT reply actions  

Have a good time

You should be OK to get the jersey, since the giveaways are usually given out just behind the entrance and they hand them to kids as they walk in.

by Eric Stephen on May 31, 2010 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

Yahoo_full_count

Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox

Img_0103_small CraigMinami