The Los Angeles Dodgers (25-11) have been dreadful in five run games but they are playing well enough in the rest of their games to stay competitive. They figure to get better and I suppose that when it’s all done they will probably win the National League West.
If you'd asked me a week ago, I'd have said that the Dodgers were getting ready to play worse. Between May 27 and June 9, they played 11 one-run games and won 9 of them. That's a bit of streaky luck that's likely to even out at some point. However, I admit that I didn't consider the other end of the scale -- how have the Dodgers done when scoring a lot of runs? So, I found this interesting and full of hope.
However, later in the piece, Posnanski has this:
The Dodgers and D-Backs have nearly identical records when scoring five or more. But the Dodgers are contending and the D-Backs are not... primarily due to the Dodgers' excellent record in one-run games.
That's a cold bucket of ice water. Why should the Dodgers expect to improve? Why shouldn't the D-Backs expect to get even a little better, considering how "unlucky" they've been in both one-run games and games in which they score five?
What do you guys think? If the Dodgers keep playing the way they've been playing, can they expect their record to get better, worse, or about the same?