What's up with Broxton

by dingers on Jul 21, 2010 3:30 PM PDT

Suffice to say being at last night’s game was horrific, since I was just there as a fan. And I was surrounded by Giants fans. And I was with my brother, who was basically in town for this game. And that’ll be the only game I get to see with him all year, unless the Dodgers make the playoffs.

Ech.

Anyway, strange managerial decisions and gaffes aside, Jonathan Broxton threw 12 pitches last night before the Mound Incident That Shall Never Be Mentioned Again and it’s likely Broxton’s on the verge of being broken.

Sunday's game was a disaster and Broxton had to pitch 44 pitches to end it. There wasn't much to be said after Sunday's game, it was just a crushing loss. Broxton, it turns out, had the stuff, he was just getting hit (more on why he was getting hit after the jump). He threw his heater in excess of 100 for the first time all year and had some amazing movement on it. My first thought was maybe the Cardinals got lucky, and Broxton's BABIP would suggest that too.

But as the numbers suggest, it may be that Broxton's fastball isn't working as an out-pitch anymore.

You can read the full post with charts and graphs and fun looking numbers over here:

http://dingersblog.com/2010/07/21/broxtons-got-99-mph-problems-and-that-pitch-is-one/

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I could make Nolan Ryan look like he was losing velocity if my chart range was 90-110mph. God, his 100mph fastballs are SO AVERAGE

Just a reminder, fans, comin' up is our "Die-hard Night" here at the stadium. Free admission to anyone who was actually alive the last time the Dodgers won a pennant.

by G.Scott on Jul 21, 2010 6:29 PM PDT reply actions

Good stuff

A lack of analysis of Broxton’s eyes though :)

by Eric Stephen on Jul 21, 2010 6:55 PM PDT reply actions

His KEPA rate (Killer Eyes Per Appearance) is pretty low too, but I felt the information spoke for itself

http://www.dingersblog.com

by dingers on Jul 22, 2010 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions

Good job

Would like to know his swing and miss % on fastballs but I can’t get it. :o

by Chad Moriyama on Jul 22, 2010 1:57 AM PDT reply actions

That’s a good question and as you probably know, nobody has splits on those by pitch. He basically only throws fastballs, and the off-speed stuff is rarely swung at, but Fangraphs has his swinging strike % at 12.6 this year, down from 14.5 the previous two years. Everything that should be a static number with ++ pitches (Z-contact and Contact) are up while first pitch strikes and amount of pitches in the strike zone remain at his career average, which is really bad.

Baseball-Reference has his swinging strike percentage at 14% before the Yankees game and 11% after, so yeah … that’s not good.

http://www.dingersblog.com

by dingers on Jul 22, 2010 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions

Pretty interesting article

but some really wishful thinking in the conclusion:

A trip to the DL followed by some proper bullpen use by Joe Torre would help a lot, I think.

:-P

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Jul 22, 2010 2:44 AM PDT reply actions

I’m an optimist at heart and believe there’s good in all people :o)

http://www.dingersblog.com

by dingers on Jul 22, 2010 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions

That can be true

and it can still be true that there isn’t smart in all people. :-)

The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Jul 22, 2010 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions

I really think the biggest thing is that Broxton is relying on the Fastball too much. He needs to be willing to throw his slider more. He was doing it on Tuesday, and it was working. The infield hit was really frustrating, but Sunday compared to Tuesday, I saw a Broxton throwing more offspeed stuff.

by robotmadeofnails on Jul 23, 2010 2:00 PM PDT reply actions

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Pos	No	Player	2012 Salary
C	17	Ellis	$490,000
1B	7	Loney	$6,375,000
2B	37	Herrera	$375,082
3B	6	Hairston	$2,250,000
SS	9	Gordon	$485,000
LF	23	Abreu	$401,311
CF	10	Gwynn	$850,000
RF	16	Ethier	$10,950,000

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OF/1B	30	Sands	$375,175
IF	13	DeJesus	$448,992
C	18	Treanor	$850,000

SP	22	Kershaw	$6,000,000
SP	58	Billingsley	$9,000,000
SP	29	Lilly	$12,000,000
SP	44	Harang	$3,000,000
SP	35	Capuano	$3,000,000

CL	74	Jansen	$491,000
RHP	52	Lindblom	$483,000
RHP	51	Belisario	$414,426
RHP	54	Guerra	$488,000
RHP	28	Wright	$900,000
LHP	57	Elbert	$488,500
RHP	60	Coffey	$1,000,000

DL	27	Kemp	$10,000,000
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DL	12	Sellers	$481,000
DL	5	Uribe	$8,000,000
DL	55	Guerrier	$4,750,000
DL	14	Ellis	$2,500,000
60DL	36	Hawksworth	$495,000
60DL	41	De La Rosa	$485,000

AA	50	Eovaldi	$7,885
AAA	56	Antonini	$7,869

		Manny	$8,087,432	deferred
		Andruw	$3,375,000	deferred
		Pierre	$3,050,000	deferred
		Furcal	$3,000,000	deferred
		Kuroda	$2,000,000	deferred
		Garland	$1,500,000	option buyout
		Blake	$1,250,000	option buyout
DFA	66	MacDougal	$650,000

Totals			$115,942,869
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Current 40-man roster count: 42 (incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

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