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10/1 LDS Simulation Contest

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number).   For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)



Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

 

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Friday at 11:30 PM PST)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Ian Kennedy Yovanni Gallardo Brewers 57.36% 7.1 57.46% 6.71
Kyle Lohse Roy Halladay Phillies 67.43% 7.0 61.07% 7.00
James Shields Derek Holland Rangers TBD TBD 65.23% 9.24

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored (DBacks vs Brewers): 6.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Cards vs Phillies) 6.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Roy Halladay Outs Recorded: 23.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Phillies runs minus Cardinals runs: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Evan Longoria minus Albert Pujols Total Bases: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Derek Holland is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Ryan Madson gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Brewers, Phillies and Rangers all win: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Josh Hamilton hits a HR: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Carlos Ruiz hits a HR: (10:1)


Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,E,F,G,I,J must all start for that question to be valid.  In question H if one of the three teams listed loses, then you lose the bet even if one of the other two games gets rained out.  You cannot win the bet unless all three games are played and you cannot lose the bet unless one of the three teams loses.

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Leaderboard

Sorry this is up a little late today. The site was jacked up for me last night. You can place wagers on any bet from a game that hasn’t started yet.

1. ivdown (200)
2. Taylor Maricle (100)
2. StolenMonkey86 (100)
2. Eric Stephen (100)
2. MammothDodger (100)
6. HummaKavula (75)
7. keithc13 (50)
8. David Young (45)
Max bet of 25 below here
9. Phil Gurnee (25)

by Xeifrank on Oct 1, 2011 9:56 AM PDT reply actions  

10A O Total Runs Scored (DBacks vs Brewers): 6.5 (1:1)

35I. (Prop bet) Josh Hamilton hits a HR: (5:1)
Fuck that J. (Prop bet) Carlos Ruiz hits a HR: (10:1)


- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Oct 1, 2011 11:14 AM PDT reply actions  

UOOOO Yes-No-Yes-No-No

2:1 and 4:1 hit, but nobody bet them.

LDS Leaderboard
1. ivdown (190, -10)
2. Taylor Maricle (100, 0)
2. StolenMonkey86 (100, 0)
2. Eric Stephen (100, 0)
5. Xeifrank (87, -13)
6. HummaKavula (75, 0)
7. keithc13 (50, 0)
7. MammothDodger (50, -50)
9. Phil Gurnee (25, 0)
10. David Young (0, -45)

by Xeifrank on Oct 1, 2011 7:52 PM PDT reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

Yahoo_full_count

Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox

Img_0103_small CraigMinami