10/3 LDS Simulation Contest

by Xeifrank on Oct 3, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess. I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll. As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet. A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)

Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Monday at 7:15 AM PST)

Vis Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Vegas Favorite	Vegas Win%	Vegas O/U	Sim Fave Win%	Sim O/U
Colby Lewis	David Price	Rays	56.52%	7.7	50.96%	7.73
C.C. Sabathia	Justin Verlander	Tigers	55.56%	7.2	49.56%	7.48

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rangers vs Rays): 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Both Games Combined 14.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Justin Verlander Outs Recorded: 23.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Colby Lewis Earned Runs Allowed: 2.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Evan Longoria Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) David Price is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Neftali Feliz gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) One or more teams get shutout today: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Miguel Cabrera hits a HR: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Justin Verlander strikes out more than 10 batters: (10:1)

Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid. 250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title. Players in questions C,D,E,F,G,I,J must all start for that question to be valid.

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Comments

Leaderboard

1. Taylor Maricle (100)
1. Eric Stephen (100)
1. ivdown (100)
4. StolenMonkey86 (81)
5. HummaKavula (75)
6. Xeifrank (57)
7. keithc13 (50)
7. MammothDodger (50)
Max bet 25 units below here
9. Phil Gurnee (25)
10. David Young (0)

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by Xeifrank on Oct 3, 2011 7:52 AM PDT reply actions

5AO
3BU
10CU
5DO
5EO
3F
5G
3H
5I
2J

by StolenMonkey86 on Oct 3, 2011 8:16 AM PDT reply actions

50 CU
50 F

by Eric Stephen on Oct 3, 2011 8:21 AM PDT reply actions

20 I

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 3, 2011 9:04 AM PDT reply actions

25I

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 3, 2011 9:25 AM PDT reply actions

25AO
20CU
5J

Follow @fbihop

by fbihop on Oct 3, 2011 12:00 PM PDT reply actions

20EO
10H
15i
15J

by Ivdown on Oct 3, 2011 12:11 PM PDT reply actions

20DO
20CO
20F
10H

@TElciram

by Taylor Maricle on Oct 3, 2011 12:14 PM PDT reply actions

going against the grain with the C over bet.

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 3, 2011 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions

25 I

Follow @DavidYoungTBLA
- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Oct 3, 2011 2:16 PM PDT reply actions

50J

by MammothDodger on Oct 3, 2011 5:02 PM PDT reply actions

Results: UOOUU No-Yes-No-No-Yes

The 10:1 bet hits on Verlander getting 11 Ks. Other than that most people did pretty poorly.

1. MammothDodger (550, 500)
2. ivdown (205, 105)
3. fbihop (105, 5)
4. HummaKavula (75, 0)
5. Taylor Maricle (70, -30)
6. StolenMonkey86 (60, -21)
7. keithc13 (50, 0)
8. Xeifrank (37, -20)
9. Phil Gurnee (0, -25)
9. Eric Stephen (0, -100)
11. David Young (-25, -25)

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 3, 2011 10:31 PM PDT reply actions

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Pos	No	Player	2012 Salary
C	17	Ellis	$490,000
1B	7	Loney	$6,375,000
2B	37	Herrera	$375,082
3B	6	Hairston	$2,250,000
SS	9	Gordon	$485,000
LF	23	Abreu	$401,311
CF	10	Gwynn	$850,000
RF	16	Ethier	$10,950,000

OF/1B	33	Van Slyke	$388,197
2B/3B	3	Kennedy	$800,000
OF/1B	30	Sands	$375,175
IF	13	DeJesus	$448,992
C	18	Treanor	$850,000

SP	22	Kershaw	$6,000,000
SP	58	Billingsley	$9,000,000
SP	29	Lilly	$12,000,000
SP	44	Harang	$3,000,000
SP	35	Capuano	$3,000,000

CL	74	Jansen	$491,000
RHP	52	Lindblom	$483,000
RHP	51	Belisario	$414,426
RHP	54	Guerra	$488,000
RHP	28	Wright	$900,000
LHP	57	Elbert	$488,500
RHP	60	Coffey	$1,000,000

DL	27	Kemp	$10,000,000
DL	21	Rivera	$4,000,000
DL	12	Sellers	$481,000
DL	5	Uribe	$8,000,000
DL	55	Guerrier	$4,750,000
DL	14	Ellis	$2,500,000
60DL	36	Hawksworth	$495,000
60DL	41	De La Rosa	$485,000

AA	50	Eovaldi	$7,885
AAA	56	Antonini	$7,869

		Manny	$8,087,432	deferred
		Andruw	$3,375,000	deferred
		Pierre	$3,050,000	deferred
		Furcal	$3,000,000	deferred
		Kuroda	$2,000,000	deferred
		Garland	$1,500,000	option buyout
		Blake	$1,250,000	option buyout
DFA	66	MacDougal	$650,000

Totals			$115,942,869
For more detailed information, click here.
Current 40-man roster count: 42 (incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

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