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10/6 LDS Simulation Contest

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number).   For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)



Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

 

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Wednesday at 10:15 PM PST)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Doug Fister Ivan Nova Yankees 60.24% 9.1 52.44% 9.06

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Yankees minus Tigers runs: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Ivan Nova outs recorded: 18.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Robinson Cano Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Total relief pitchers used in game: 7.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Yankees win by more than one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Jose Valverde gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Yankees score in the first inning: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Tigers win by more than two runs: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Yankees win in extra innings: (10:1)


Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,G must all start for that question to be valid.

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Display:

Leaderboard

1. MammothDodger (300)
2. truemontenegro (180)
3. VegasBlues (140)
4. fbihop (105)
5. Phil Gurnee (75)
5. HummaKavula (75)
7. Eric Stephen (60)
8. keithc13 (50)
8. StolenMonkey86 (50)
10. Xeifrank (40)
11. ivdown (30)
Max bet of 25 units below here
12. Taylor Maricle (-15)
13. G.Scott (-25)
14. David Young (-75)

Note: Thursday and Friday games left in LDS contest.

by Xeifrank on Oct 5, 2011 10:28 PM PDT reply actions  

75G

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 6, 2011 9:17 AM PDT reply actions  

haha, it would be funny to see you get a push from those 10 bets.

by Xeifrank on Oct 6, 2011 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

If all I get is G and I that would do it

by StolenMonkey86 on Oct 6, 2011 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

dog

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 6, 2011 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Gurnee Hedge. We should make Mammoth bet early tomorrow. :)

by Xeifrank on Oct 6, 2011 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

25 I


- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Oct 6, 2011 3:59 PM PDT reply actions  

UUUOO No-Yes-No-No-No

1. MammothDodger (500, 200)
2. Phil Gurnee (300, 225)
3. truemontenegro (140, -40)
4. HummaKavula (75, 0)
5. StolenMonkey86 (50, 0)
5. fbihop (50, -55)
7. ivdown (0, -30)
7. Xeifrank (0, -40)
7. keithc13 (0, -50)
7. Eric Stephen (0, -60)
7. VegasBlues (0, -140)
12. G.Scott (-25, 0)
13. Taylor Maricle (-40, -25)
14. David Young (-100, -25)

by Xeifrank on Oct 6, 2011 9:06 PM PDT reply actions  

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Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

Yahoo_full_count

Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox

Img_0103_small CraigMinami