10/7 LDS Simulation Contest
Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess. I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll. As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet. A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.
Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).
Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)
Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J
Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 10:35 PM PST)
| Vis Pitcher | Home Pitcher | Vegas Favorite | Vegas Win% | Vegas O/U | Sim Fave Win% | Sim O/U |
| Ian Kennedy | Yovanni Gallardo | Brewers | 58.76% | 7.3 | 58.59% | 7.87 |
| Chris Carpenter | Roy Halladay | Phillies | 63.30% | 6.6 | 58.47% | 7.79 |
Actual Contest Questions
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (DBacks vs Brewers): 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Cardinals vs Phillies) runs: 6.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Roy Halladay outs recorded: 21.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Ryan Howard plus Miguel Montero Total Bases: 3.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Total HRs in both games: 2.5 (1:1)
F. (Prop bet) Phillies win by more than one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Ryan Madson gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Roy Halladay is the losing pitcher: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Cardinals out homer the Phillies: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Diamondbacks and Cardinals both win: (10:1)
Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J
Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid. 250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title. Players in questions C,D,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.
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Leaderboard
Today is the last day for the LDS contest then points get reset for Saturday. Would be nice if Mammoth made his picks before the others near the top of the leaderboard made theirs. If anyone wants to make a secret set of picks feel free to email them to me (xeifrank ….. yahoo ….. com)
1. MammothDodger (500)
2. Phil Gurnee (300)
3. truemontenegro (140)
4. HummaKavula (75)
5. StolenMonkey86 (50)
5. fbihop (50)
Max 25 unit bet below here
7. ivdown (0)
7. Xeifrank (0)
7. keithc13 (0)
7. Eric Stephen (0)
7. VegasBlues (0)
12. G.Scott (-25)
13. Taylor Maricle (-40)
14. David Young (-100)
The person who wins will probably have something like 10 units left at the end of the day and will have not bet on J.
Actually
The J bet is a really good bet for 10:1 odds. It’s just that I needed something to sucker MammothDodger in to betting on. I knew he probably wouldn’t want to give Phil or Truemontenegro who have a chance to catch him take that bet with those odds. Should be an exciting finish.
so i played right into your hand
damn my gullibility
by MammothDodger on Oct 7, 2011 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions
Betting on both dogs to win is 4:1 or 5:1?
I think this is a Josie Bet. I don’t see anything I want to bet on but since Mammoth is going all in I guess I can’t sit on the sidelines
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen
I believe I have lost every bet I've made in this contest
25 I
Follow @DavidYoungTBLA
- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Final LDS Results
points reset for the beginning of tomorrow’s LCS game(s).
1. truemontenegro (170, 30)
2. Phil Gurnee (150, -150)
3. HummaKavula (75, 0)
4. Taylor Maricle (60, 100)
5. StolenMonkey86 (41, -9)
6. fbihop (40, -10)
7. Xeifrank (25, 25)
8. Eric Stephen (0, 0)
8. MammothDodger (0, -500)
10. G.Scott (-25, 0)
10. ivdown (-25, -25)
10. keithc13 (-25, -25)
10. VegasBlues (-25, -25)
14. David Young (-125, -25)
if you are a winner than i tied a winner
so i am a winner to
by MammothDodger on Oct 7, 2011 9:59 PM PDT up reply actions
as my daughter used to do
up high, in the middle, down low (pulls hand away) “too slow”
by MammothDodger on Oct 8, 2011 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions
4th place is acceptable to me.
@TElciram
by Taylor Maricle on Oct 8, 2011 12:32 AM PDT up reply actions
WOOOO FUCK YEAH! FUCK YEEEEAH!!!!
GOTTA GO!
by truemontenegro on Oct 8, 2011 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions

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