Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Trent Richardson Interviews Fellow Brown Brandon Weeden

10/7 LDS Simulation Contest

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number).   For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)



Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

 

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 10:35 PM PST)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Ian Kennedy Yovanni Gallardo Brewers 58.76% 7.3 58.59% 7.87
Chris Carpenter Roy Halladay Phillies 63.30% 6.6 58.47% 7.79

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored (DBacks vs Brewers): 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Cardinals vs Phillies) runs: 6.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Roy Halladay outs recorded: 21.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Ryan Howard plus Miguel Montero Total Bases: 3.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Total HRs in both games: 2.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Phillies win by more than one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Ryan Madson gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Roy Halladay is the losing pitcher: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Cardinals out homer the Phillies: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Diamondbacks and Cardinals both win: (10:1)


Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.

Comment 28 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Leaderboard

Today is the last day for the LDS contest then points get reset for Saturday. Would be nice if Mammoth made his picks before the others near the top of the leaderboard made theirs. If anyone wants to make a secret set of picks feel free to email them to me (xeifrank ….. yahoo ….. com)

1. MammothDodger (500)
2. Phil Gurnee (300)
3. truemontenegro (140)
4. HummaKavula (75)
5. StolenMonkey86 (50)
5. fbihop (50)
Max 25 unit bet below here
7. ivdown (0)
7. Xeifrank (0)
7. keithc13 (0)
7. Eric Stephen (0)
7. VegasBlues (0)
12. G.Scott (-25)
13. Taylor Maricle (-40)
14. David Young (-100)

by Xeifrank on Oct 6, 2011 10:47 PM PDT reply actions  

8CO
5DO
10EO

6F
5G
5H
6I
5J

by StolenMonkey86 on Oct 7, 2011 9:13 AM PDT reply actions  

Heh


- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Oct 7, 2011 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

The person who wins will probably have something like 10 units left at the end of the day and will have not bet on J.

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Actually

The J bet is a really good bet for 10:1 odds. It’s just that I needed something to sucker MammothDodger in to betting on. I knew he probably wouldn’t want to give Phil or Truemontenegro who have a chance to catch him take that bet with those odds. Should be an exciting finish.

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

it’s a good bet. Probably should be 4:1 or 5:1

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 1:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

Betting on both dogs to win is 4:1 or 5:1?

I think this is a Josie Bet. I don’t see anything I want to bet on but since Mammoth is going all in I guess I can’t sit on the sidelines

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 7, 2011 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Both dogs winning = 0.38 * 0.42 = 0.1596 or 16%, 84/16 = 5.25 to 1 odds.

That was done with Vegas odds.

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

150E Over

Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen

by Phil Gurnee on Oct 7, 2011 1:33 PM PDT reply actions  

Final LDS Results

points reset for the beginning of tomorrow’s LCS game(s).

1. truemontenegro (170, 30)
2. Phil Gurnee (150, -150)
3. HummaKavula (75, 0)
4. Taylor Maricle (60, 100)
5. StolenMonkey86 (41, -9)
6. fbihop (40, -10)
7. Xeifrank (25, 25)
8. Eric Stephen (0, 0)
8. MammothDodger (0, -500)
10. G.Scott (-25, 0)
10. ivdown (-25, -25)
10. keithc13 (-25, -25)
10. VegasBlues (-25, -25)
14. David Young (-125, -25)

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 8:47 PM PDT reply actions  

I tied the guy who was leading going into the final day. I’m a winner!

by Eric Stephen on Oct 7, 2011 9:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

WOOOO FUCK YEAH! FUCK YEEEEAH!!!!

GOTTA GO!

by truemontenegro on Oct 8, 2011 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

A place for Dodger fans to congregate without spending $10 on parking.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Cal_state_dominguez_hills_logo_small
Opposing Pitcher Preview: 5/25-5/27 Harrell, Norris, Happ
Cal_state_dominguez_hills_logo_small
Opposing Pitcher Preview: 5/21-5/23 Corbin, Cahill, Saunders
Tbj_pin_small
Memories of the past: Dodger Glory.com
Cal_state_dominguez_hills_logo_small
Opposing Pitcher Preview: 5/18-5/20 Lynn, Westbrook, Lohse
Cal_state_dominguez_hills_logo_small
Opposing Pitcher Preview: 5/14-5/15 Kennedy and Miley

Recent FanPosts

Sbn_ds_small
TBLA Challenge Week VII
Cal_state_dominguez_hills_logo_small
Opposing Pitcher Preview: 5/16-5/17 Richard and Volquez
Sbn_ds_small
TBLA Challenge Week VI
Small
Hey NYC Dodgers Fans
Dodgers_small
Dodger Need Help. ASAP!

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Pos No Player 2012 Salary
C 17 Ellis $490,000
1B 7 Loney $6,375,000
2B 37 Herrera $375,082
3B 6 Hairston $2,250,000
SS 9 Gordon $485,000
LF 23 Abreu $401,311
CF 10 Gwynn $850,000
RF 16 Ethier $10,950,000

OF/1B 33 Van Slyke $388,197
2B/3B 3 Kennedy $800,000
OF/1B 30 Sands $375,175
IF 13 DeJesus $448,992
C 18 Treanor $850,000

SP 22 Kershaw $6,000,000
SP 58 Billingsley $9,000,000
SP 29 Lilly $12,000,000
SP 44
Harang $3,000,000
SP 35 Capuano $3,000,000

CL 74
Jansen $491,000
RHP 52 Lindblom $483,000
RHP 51 Belisario $414,426
RHP 54 Guerra $488,000
RHP 28
Wright $900,000
LHP 57 Elbert $488,500
RHP 60 Coffey $1,000,000

DL 27 Kemp $10,000,000
DL 21 Rivera $4,000,000
DL 12 Sellers $481,000
DL 5 Uribe $8,000,000
DL 55 Guerrier $4,750,000
DL 14 Ellis $2,500,000
60DL 36 Hawksworth $495,000
60DL 41 De La Rosa $485,000

AA 50 Eovaldi $7,885
AAA 56 Antonini $7,869



Manny $8,087,432 deferred


Andruw $3,375,000 deferred


Pierre $3,050,000 deferred
Furcal $3,000,000 deferred
Kuroda $2,000,000 deferred
Garland $1,500,000 option buyout
Blake $1,250,000 option buyout
DFA 66 MacDougal $650,000

Totals
$115,942,869

For more detailed information, click here.

Current 40-man roster count: 42
(incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

Yahoo_full_count

Manager

Eric___ned___reporters_2011_trade_deadline_small Eric Stephen

Editors

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Dgy_small David Young

Hanauma_bay_small Chad Moriyama

2501_small Michael White

Raptors_small Brandon Lennox

Img_0103_small CraigMinami