10/8 LCS Simulation Contest

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 10:42 PM PDT

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess. I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll. As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet. A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit in the neck by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)

Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Friday at 10:00 PM PST)

Vis Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Vegas Favorite	Vegas Win%	Vegas O/U	Sim Fave Win%	Sim O/U
Justin Verlander	C.J. Wilson	Tigers	50.62%	7.6	38.15%	8.17

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Justin Verlander Outs Recorded: 21.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Tigers runs minus Rangers runs: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Rangers team total bases: 9.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Justin Verlander Strike Outs: 6.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Tigers win by more than one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Jose Valverde gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Justin Verlander records more than 23 outs: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Rangers hit more than one HR and win the game: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Which player scores the first run of the game: (10:1)

Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
5J Kinsler

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid. 250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title. Players in questions B,E,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.

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All points are reset to 100 for everyone. Good luck. Don’t go down in flames on the first day.

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 7, 2011 10:42 PM PDT reply actions

Thanks

That would have been brutal

by StolenMonkey86 on Oct 7, 2011 11:19 PM PDT up reply actions

20 BU
20 DO
20 F

by Eric Stephen on Oct 7, 2011 10:59 PM PDT reply actions

5AU
5BU
5DO
5EO
5F
5H
5I
5J Kinsler

by StolenMonkey86 on Oct 7, 2011 11:30 PM PDT reply actions

30EO
30H

by VegasBlues on Oct 7, 2011 11:51 PM PDT reply actions

This rain delay is going to kill any chance at both of these bets.

by VegasBlues on Oct 8, 2011 6:47 PM PDT up reply actions

Yes, that is why it is important to study the weather reports before the game. :)

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 8, 2011 9:00 PM PDT up reply actions

If I was betting real money (Not a fan of betting on baseball. I’ve always made good money on football and stick to it) then I would put more than 30 seconds worth of thought into my bets.

by VegasBlues on Oct 9, 2011 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions

30EO
5H
5I
5J

@TElciram

by Taylor Maricle on Oct 8, 2011 12:41 AM PDT reply actions

Couldn’t take your ‘J’ bet as you needed to specify a player.

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 8, 2011 10:33 PM PDT up reply actions

20 B U
20 C O
30 F
10 I
10 J M. Cabrera

by truemontenegro on Oct 8, 2011 9:31 AM PDT reply actions

50H

by MammothDodger on Oct 8, 2011 9:49 AM PDT reply actions

25AU
10G

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 8, 2011 1:13 PM PDT reply actions

Results: UUUOU No-No-No-No-Napoli

1. Eric Stephen (120, 20)
2. Xeifrank (115, 15)
3. StolenMonkey86 (90, -10)
4. Taylor Maricle (60, -40)
5. truemontenegro (50, -50)
5. MammothDodger (50, -50)
7. VegasBlues (40, -60)

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Oct 8, 2011 10:36 PM PDT reply actions

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Pos	No	Player	2012 Salary
C	17	Ellis	$490,000
1B	7	Loney	$6,375,000
2B	37	Herrera	$375,082
3B	6	Hairston	$2,250,000
SS	9	Gordon	$485,000
LF	23	Abreu	$401,311
CF	10	Gwynn	$850,000
RF	16	Ethier	$10,950,000

OF/1B	33	Van Slyke	$388,197
2B/3B	3	Kennedy	$800,000
OF/1B	30	Sands	$375,175
IF	13	DeJesus	$448,992
C	18	Treanor	$850,000

SP	22	Kershaw	$6,000,000
SP	58	Billingsley	$9,000,000
SP	29	Lilly	$12,000,000
SP	44	Harang	$3,000,000
SP	35	Capuano	$3,000,000

CL	74	Jansen	$491,000
RHP	52	Lindblom	$483,000
RHP	51	Belisario	$414,426
RHP	54	Guerra	$488,000
RHP	28	Wright	$900,000
LHP	57	Elbert	$488,500
RHP	60	Coffey	$1,000,000

DL	27	Kemp	$10,000,000
DL	21	Rivera	$4,000,000
DL	12	Sellers	$481,000
DL	5	Uribe	$8,000,000
DL	55	Guerrier	$4,750,000
DL	14	Ellis	$2,500,000
60DL	36	Hawksworth	$495,000
60DL	41	De La Rosa	$485,000

AA	50	Eovaldi	$7,885
AAA	56	Antonini	$7,869

		Manny	$8,087,432	deferred
		Andruw	$3,375,000	deferred
		Pierre	$3,050,000	deferred
		Furcal	$3,000,000	deferred
		Kuroda	$2,000,000	deferred
		Garland	$1,500,000	option buyout
		Blake	$1,250,000	option buyout
DFA	66	MacDougal	$650,000

Totals			$115,942,869
For more detailed information, click here.
Current 40-man roster count: 42 (incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

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