2011 Dodgers Player Profile: Clayton Kershaw, The Face Of The Franchise
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 7:00 AM PST
in Community Projections
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The 2009 NLCS gave us a glimpse of what was to come. After dispatching the Cardinals in three games, the Dodgers had the extra time to shuffle their rotation to whatever order they wished heading into their rematch against the hated Phillies. Joe Torre chose Clayton Kershaw to start game one. Even at 21, Kershaw gained the trust of his manager to open the biggest playoff series for the Dodgers in 21 years. That Kershaw didn't perform well that night -- he allowed five runs in 4 2/3 innings, getting hung with the loss -- was ancillary to the bigger picture. This was Kobe Bryant throwing up air balls against Utah in 1997. Trust us, this kid will eventually come through in this situation.
| 2011 Dodgers Player Profiles |
| Today marks the start of our series of 2011 player profiles, where we will analyze one player per day, between now and the end of March. This is also the spot for our community projections, so be sure to give us your predictions for each player for this season in the comments section. |
Last spring training all signs were pointing toward Kershaw getting the opening day nod. The decision took a little bit longer than usual -- "we'll announce it tomorrow" became a few days, which became a week, etc -- but the prevailing thought was that Kershaw was going to get the start in Pittsburgh on April 5. The Dodger PR staff even sent out an email with a list of youngest opening day starters in both franchise and MLB history. That's why it was so surprising when Vicente Padilla got the opening day start.
One side effect of Padilla starting opening day on the road was that Kershaw got to start the home opener, which was an honor in itself. Kershaw won that day, which was his only win in the first month. Kershaw was pitching decently enough to start the season, but the problem of walks reared their ugly head again. Kershaw walked 4.79 batters per nine innings in 2009, which was 77th among 78 MLB starters who pitched at least 162 innings. After six starts in 2010, Kershaw walked 24 batters in 30 2/3 innings, which was a big reason why he was averaging only five innings per start.
Then, the promise started to become real.
Kershaw's next start was May 9, during what was probably the finest outing of his career to date. Kershaw pitched eight scoreless innings, hanging a loss on Ubaldo Jimenez (the "and one" of Ubaldo's 15-1 record heading into the All-Star break), and didn't allow a ball to be hit out of the infield in the first seven innings. From that point on, Kershaw was one of the best starters in baseball.
| Split | G | W-L | IP | H | R | ER | BB/9 | UIBB/9 | K/9 | ERA | WHIP |
| May 9 through end of season |
26 | 12-8 | 173.2 | 132 | 56 | 49 | 2.95 | 2.54 | 9.12 | 2.54 | 1.088 |
Kershaw dramatically decreased his walk rate, averaging two and a half unintentional walks per nine innings for the rest of the year. That allowed Kershaw to pitch deeper into games; he averaged 6.68 innings per start, pitching six innings or longer in 22 of 26 starts and seven innings or more 13 times. He reached both the 200-inning and 200-strikeout plateau last season, becoming just the sixth Los Angeles Dodger age 22 or younger to throw 200 innings.
This is Kershaw's time.
Clayton Kershaw is easily the ace of the Dodgers. He is the one player on the team without a ceiling. No matter what you think of the Dodger offense, with Kershaw on the mound you should feel comfortable that with Kershaw on the mound the Dodgers should win. If he continues to pitch like he did during the last five months of 2010, the Dodgers are in great shape. If, at 23 years old, Kershaw improves on his performance, we are in for a real treat.
Trivia
Kershaw not only got married this offseason, but also went with his new wife on a missionary trip to Africa, alternatively teaching Zambian children how to both dance and pitch.
Contract Status
Kershaw made $440,000 last season, and with just over two years of service time, is still under team control this season, so he will earn somewhere in the neighborhood of $500,000 in 2011. Some might even say now is the time to lock Kershaw up with a long-term contract. He has one year to go before earning arbitration eligibility, when the big money starts to roll in.
Stats
| Year | Age | IP | BB/9 | K/9 | ERA | FIP | x-FIP | tERA | ERA+ |
| 2008 | 20 | 107.2 | 4.3 | 8.4 | 4.26 | 4.08 | 3.96 | 4.37 | 98 |
| 2009 | 21 | 171.0 | 4.8 | 9.7 | 2.79 | 3.08 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 143 |
| 2010 | 22 | 204.1 | 3.6 | 9.3 | 2.91 | 3.12 | 3.80 | 3.06 | 132 |
| 2011 Projections - Age 23 Season | |||||||||
| Year | IP | BB/9 | K/9 | ERA | FIP | ||||
| Bill James | 213.0 | 4.1 | 9.3 | 3.13 | 3.22 | ||||
| Marcel | 179.0 | 3.7 | 9.4 | 3.07 | 3.15 | ||||
| Baseball HQ | 189.0 | 3.7 | 9.2 | 3.14 | |||||
| ZiPS | 193.2 | 4.0 | 9.4 | 3.02 | |||||
2011 Outlook
All the projections seem pretty similar, with Kershaw putting up an ERA in the low threes, which makes sense because his ERA the last two seasons was 2.91 and 2.79, respectively. I think the walk improvement from last season was real, and that Kershaw won't approach anywhere close to walking four batters per nine innings. This is Kershaw's year to lead the staff, and I think he does just that, putting up a 2.93 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 218 1/3 innings, leading the league with 231 strikeouts.
That's my half-baked guess for Kershaw's performance in 2011. What's yours? Give us your prediction for ERA, WHIP, and innings pitched in the comments, and feel free to add strikeouts or any other predictions you have as well.
316 comments
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Comments
I’m sticking to my guns. If he again outperforms his xFIP considerably I’ll probably adjust my opinion (at least regarding Kershaw) next season.
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 7:52 AM PST up reply actions
Check tERA
He’s no Ted Lilly out there with the fly balls
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
So am I the only one
who went blind for a bit after the Joan Rivers Go Daddy commercial?
The blindness went away, but the nightmares? That’s gonna take awhile.
by jim hitchcock (railway) on Feb 7, 2011 7:43 AM PST reply actions
I rewind the game and study nuances of cover 2 and the depth of the linebackers every game instead of watching commercials.
"You better send roses to the house, you feel me?! ROSES, DAWG, WITH PICKLES IN UM!! FRIED PICKLES!" - DJ Pauly D
Thats better then having some dumbasses
rewinding to watch the same commercial 3 times, missing a larget chunk of the game, or rewinding 3 times because somebody on the sidelines go nudged. Ugh. If you throw a football watching party, watch the fucking game please.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
ERA 2.49
WHIP 1.04
IP 232
K 219
Cy Young Voting – 3rd Place due to only 18 wins
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
ERA: 2.91
WHIP: 1.19
IP: 210
K: 217
Sacrifices: 13
2B: 1
I admire your optimism, but this is over. RLB 2/5/11
by BetterDeadThanRed on Feb 7, 2011 7:48 AM PST reply actions
Brewers’ preview on MLB Network said they acquired TWO aces in the off season. Uh, what?? Marcum is good but he throws 87.
seriously?
I’d agree, he’s a good #3 guy, but I thought after Halladay left, the Jay’s #1 was Romero.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 7:52 AM PST up reply actions
did he?
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 10:37 AM PST up reply actions
I have been greatly underwhelmed by Super Bowl commercials
for about 5 years running. Other then hype I can’t believe anyone would care to sit through the game only to watch commercials.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
here, here
which incidentally changes some of the dynamics of Super Bowl parties. Used to be non-fans would sit for the commercials, but now you have the great halftime shift.
Everyone at the party I was at
just got up and went to go play football in the street at half time. Shockingly the black eyed peas are not all that big a draw.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
they played two covers. You’re at the Super Bowl, your largest audience ever, and you admit to them you don’t really have much of a catalog, our female member can’t hold a note, and will.I.am needs auto-tune when singing live.
Prince did it too
and it sucked when he did it, why would BIP think they could do better?
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
I like prince
I just don’t get why when you have time to play all of 3 times you would spend half that time doing covers.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
I didn’t realize Chickens had Strips. When on the chicken can I find the strip?
/Carl’s Jr’s logic turned back on them
but
they’re hand breaded…..
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:38 AM PST up reply actions
my immediate response was “I’ll bread your hands” but then I realized, even when my mom used to threaten me like that, it was always creepy.
i'm not even sure what that means.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:43 AM PST up reply actions
when i was little
if say I wanted applesauce, my mom, if in the wrong mood, would say “I’ll apple your sauce”. Apparently no one else had a parent that did this.
hm
I do this all the time. I’m your mother?
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Did she ever watch Arrested Development? You could stump her with, “Mom, can we go to the analrapist?”
by then
she had mellowed out, only told me “She’d be on my like white on rice” which I guess is really on me
not sure how that sounded to little Josie
but that is hilarious.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:47 AM PST up reply actions
I think Andy Samberg
should just go up and do all his digital shorts/music videos for the half-time show of the next super bowl. The black-eye peas sucked.
They could sell it as Justin Timberlake and Andy Samberg
boom millions of dollars
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
He probably is
for shame, he looked as shocked as the rest of the stadium when that happened.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Probably not
I mean from 50+ yards away it has to be hard to see
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
And really less then 50 percent of the stadium would have had a good front view
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
still
i love Lewis Black’s routine about that. That and the halftime show where it was N’Sync, Aerosmith, and Brittney Spears. Or the “Trifecta from Hell” as he called it.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:55 AM PST up reply actions
What a picture
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
TJI
Betting with Monopoly money is bloody awesoke. Congratulations to BHsportsguy who quietly accumulated the bills and took home the TBLA pot.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
The Xoom is 800 dollars
pass
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Donde esta David
we still on for the Lakes at 11?
I try to avoid looking at my mother in the tits, regardless of the situation.
Interesting post on Fangraphs about Matt Cain & the Giants
It isn’t just Matt Cain who is able to limit his HR/FB. Several Giants have done it over the last decade or so, both home and away.
What does seem clear, though, is that the Giants – not Cain specifically – are the outlier here. Since 2002, their team HR/FB rate is 8.6% against a league average of 10.4%, putting them over two standard deviations from the mean.
It’s an issue that still requires more research, but I think the evidence should encourage us to study the Giants as a team more than Cain as the great exception to the rules.
Of the four teams the Giants play most of their road games against, the Dodgers and Padres have pitcher friendly parks as well.
Just an aside as I’m sure fangraphs accounted for that in their analysis (haven’t had a chance to read it.)
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 8:31 AM PST up reply actions
I guess with D.S they consider it pretty much “average” for home runs
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 8:51 AM PST up reply actions
Petco is only 4 years oldish right?
Was qualcom anti homer?
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
When it first opened it was, deep and high-walled. They moved the walls in at some point, but I think it was still anti-homer. Just my perception though.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
The park might’ve been anti-homer, but Matt Vasgersian evened things out, amirite?
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:18 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Dodger stadium isnt the same pitchers park..
Since they added all the new seats a coupe of years ago. Theres still alot of room in the outfield, but theres alot of foul balls that arent being caught anymore.
Is the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum still the ultimate pitcher’s park?
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:31 AM PST up reply actions
It’s pretty ultimate, but PETCO is the king.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 10:33 AM PST up reply actions
Never heard anything about it, but it’s a bad move if they do. The Padres big advantage is that they can pick up any pitcher who throws strikes and get a 4 ERA out of them.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 10:43 AM PST up reply actions
The three-year park factors at baseball-reference.com for DS are
Batting – 95, Pitching – 95which is a pretty good pitcher’s park.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
It’s pretty good, but it’s down from being by far the pitchingist park.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 10:39 AM PST up reply actions
Didn't you see the ads for the NFL draft
during the Super Bowl?
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 9:00 AM PST up reply actions
that
was cool.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:25 AM PST up reply actions
So in NCAA tournament, there are 2 play-ins for 2 12 seeds and 2 play-ins for 2 16 seeds? Let me know if I am reading this correctly.
"You better send roses to the house, you feel me?! ROSES, DAWG, WITH PICKLES IN UM!! FRIED PICKLES!" - DJ Pauly D
I didn’t realize it until you just mentioned it. When the went to 68 i assume the play in games were all for the 16 seeds.
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 9:36 AM PST up reply actions
I hope this is the year Kershaw becomes an ace
because heck, the Brewers acquired 2 of those this off season!
;-)
{double sarcasm alert}
I don’t know if I want to make a prediction for Kershaw this year, just because I’m all fearful of jinxing it. But I expect damn good things and just want him to stay healthy.
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
yeah, that must have been the international rumor everyone was hearing but me. 31 years old, he’s got another three before he’s old enough to retire in LA.
I liked him in FIFA 06
with the other statue on the right wing, baldy would have been running forever out there.
ERA: 2.251
WHIP: -1
IP: 203
Ks: 215
W-L: 20-3
Kershaw is Aces. I once saw Kershaw pull a woman from a burning building, that he set on fire, just to test himself.
Gawker(including deadspin) is trying to Digg themselves out of existence
good riddance
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Netflix
thinks I’ll 5 star The Social Network. They weren’t wrong about The Kids Are Alright, nor Winter’s Bone. In fact, I think Netflix knows me better than I do. I don’t really enjoy Major League as much as I thought I did before Netflix told me I thought it was just average.
rec'd
i’m thinking of going to Netflix now, especially after i learned Blockbuster was charging late fees again.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:38 AM PST up reply actions
It has a system
that is about a billionty times better. I love their website.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
i'm going to write you
such an angry letter, as soon as I find a stamp.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:40 AM PST up reply actions
be sure to lick the envelope, and tip your postman whom you know by name, then get in your Studebaker and buy some corn flakes from the barrel at the corner market to eat with the milk that was delivered to your door.
that's a balanced breakfast right there
young missy.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:45 AM PST up reply actions
Good God, I can remember all those things first-hand. (Except the Studebaker; we didn’t have one of those. Well, and the “barrel”; this was still LA.)
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Josie
forgot the Helm Bakery Delivery Man, and the guy who brought Ice to your Ice Box.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
once had an apartment in Oakland with an ice book. Used to keep our homebrew beer in there. I also love the ironing boards built into the kitchen wall.
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:30 AM PST up reply actions
My Dads
first job around 1943 was delivering blocks of Ice to homes in Appleton, Wisconsin.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
I wonder what the Ice making factories looked like. They must have been oppressively cold.
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:35 AM PST up reply actions
Did you notice BH’s kitchen had the built-in ironing board?
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
damn it
no, I totally missed that. That is, by far, the feature I most wish would make a comeback. Well, that and Drawing Rooms
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:41 AM PST up reply actions
I remember seeing an older home that had a walk in aisle style closet with a small door on the interior wall at the end. That was an exterior wall of the house. The little door opened to a screened-off opening on the outside – this was so that the clothes in the closet could be aired out between wearings!
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
that….is….the best….ever. I love it when designers are too clever for reality.
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:53 AM PST up reply actions
When I was apartment hunting we found a place that had a door in the bedroom that led outside.
The apartment was on the second floor.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 10:55 AM PST up reply actions
Nope. Just a screen and a 12 foot drop.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 11:06 AM PST up reply actions
I had one in an apartment
I lived in in the 80’s. A friend had an apartment with a Murphy bed. That was cool.
Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man
PECOTAs Are Out
Spoilers: We are bad. Also Jerry Sands is the second best hitter in the organization already. Interpret that how you want.
@andrewngrant
does that include
the MLB team?
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:39 AM PST up reply actions
wow
PECOTA no like us. :(
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:40 AM PST up reply actions
To be fair it’s a pretty nice projection for Sands, but him being second best is because Ethier is the only guy projected for an .800 OPS.
@andrewngrant
HQ
also hates our offense. Only 3 players have a positive RAR, Andre, Kemp, and Rafy
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
PECOTA also
sucks. I know they get more right most of the time, but it’s still just projections and they usually miss a lot on the Dodgers.
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
When
Martin and Loney are your examples, then yeah, they don’t improve at stuff.
Take a look at young RF who at this moment are regressing not improving – Justin Upton, Markakis, and Kemp since he’s really a RF.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
Should we wait until they release the fourth or fifth version, after a few “oops, we did our calculations wrong” posts?
Upside, the pitching is awesome.
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 9:42 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
So PECOTA ranks the Dodgers
1) Ethier
2) Sands
Really?
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 9:43 AM PST up reply actions
ZIPS
Has Sands (OPS+ 101) as tied the 5th best Dodgers hitter.
OPS+ List
1. A.Ethier 127
2. M.Kemp 111
3. J.Loney 104
4. R.Furcal 102
5t. J.Uribe 101
5t. J.Sands 101
Brandon Belt (for reference) is 113.
I wonder if PECOTA is going to be more stable this year. They had some serious problems last year.
Pitching in PECOTA
Clayton is our 4th most valuable pitcher, by WARP? Sure, makes perfect sense. Everyone knows that 23 year old pitchers get worse every year.
by Dave Pomerantz on Feb 8, 2011 11:12 AM PST up reply actions
The Rose Bowl
still holds the attendance record for the Super Bowl. Who played in that game? Go!
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Johnny Unitas
Now there’s a haircut you can set your watch too.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 9:47 AM PST up reply actions
This is probably not a happy memory
for those on the board old enough to remember the game.
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Kershaw
Is freaking awesome. I loved this post, and I love how the blog from Africa is so low key with the photos of his work in Africa. No major announcements…just Kershaw out there teaching kids baseball…love it.
I need a Kershaw jersey for Christmas!!!
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 9:49 AM PST reply actions
I know. Dang, how can I make this happen?
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 10:20 AM PST up reply actions
I can still get a Manny jersey on that site for a whopping $30 discount.
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 10:41 AM PST up reply actions
Ned
video interview . Among the highlights:
He challenged Jansen to work on his conditioning and show up on time; sounds like Ned is satisfied with the results. Thames will get most/all starts vs LHP and even face some RHP. Gibbons/Gwynn/Paul to compete for playing time. Scott Elbert is a power lefty, a hard to find commodity, and will be an asset to the pen. Padilla’s role is up in the air and he could even end up in the rotation (I’d like to see how this would happen without an injury).
Was Jansen showing up on time a concern? That’s news, I guess
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 10:03 AM PST up reply actions
C
could jansen = belisario? because that does not sound like Jansen
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
Maybe this is Ned’s problem all along. Maybe Jansen = Belisario, and maybe Uribe = Utley. Hell, I’d give Utley 3/21, too.
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:08 AM PST up reply actions
Maybe Ned
forgot that in 2009 Jansen as a catcher was leading his team to an improbable ranking in the World Cup.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
If I make a joke, can I trust y'all to take it as just a joke?
KERSHAW
ERA 1.19
WHIP 0.774
IP 200.7
215K
15-10
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
That was the joke!
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:03 AM PST up reply actions
Clayton
could easily lose 5 – 8 games that he gives up less then 4 runs in.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
So what you're saying is
I shoulda made a better joke by making the W-L record 8-18?
I will make a note of it.
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:37 AM PST up reply actions
You, of all people, know that you have to go all-in on hyperbole for it to work.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Don’t know what I was thinking. I apologize for the error.
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:45 AM PST up reply actions
Kershaw Prediction
W – L: 18 – 10
ERA: 2.97
IP: 222
K: 230
BB: 81
WHIP: 1.14
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
oh really sbnation?
you can filter out xml formatted text but you can’t figure out how not to make the entire thread bold/italicized if someone doesn’t close a thread? /fume
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
some of the Carmax ones were ok?
I thought as a whole, it was maybe the weakest set of ads I can remember. I hated the halftime show too
Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man
Halftime sucked on TV, however the food spread was topps
the dog through the plate glass Dorito had no payoff so it sucked.
Baby smacking window was a winner
Eric was torn at the end of the game when he had lost all his monopoly money and they showed a Kitten and Baby as he did not know who to punch first only the eventually he’d get both of them.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
I think the commercial that got the biggest laughs from us was the Doritos one that ended with the guy reanimated from his ashes.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Creepiest one
was the Doritos one where the guy was sucking the other guy’s fingers. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.
Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man
i enjoyed that one
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 10:30 AM PST up reply actions
Some dead guy on ESPN
just said Aaron Rodgers moves into the top 5 QBs in the league, one spot about Rofl-burger. So I’m thinking that must be:
1. Peyton Manning
2. Tom Brady
3. Aaron Rodgers
4. Ben Rothlesberger
5. Phillip Rivers
agree? disagree?
Football season is over
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
by meercatjohn on Feb 7, 2011 10:34 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
pitchers and catchers are yet to report, I still got like a week or so before I have to shape up and fly right : )
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:42 AM PST up reply actions
week and two days!!
but here’s something for you in the meantime.
AA-RON ROD-GERS!!! (CLAP! CLAP! CLAPCLAPCLAP!!!!)
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 10:45 AM PST up reply actions
AA-RON ROD-GERS!!! (CLAP! CLAP! CLAPCLAPCLAP!!!!)
I got a little misty talking about it last night, finally a Rodgers lead team has appeared in and won a big bowl game. Only 6 years too late : )
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:55 AM PST up reply actions
As soon as the final whistle blows for the Super Bowl for my favorite team, it is officially baseball season.
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 10:47 AM PST up reply actions
Oh right, I knew there was a gap
1. Maning
2. Brady
3. Rodgers
4. Rolengardner
5. Brees
6. Rivers
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:36 AM PST up reply actions
Rolengardner?
lol
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 10:38 AM PST up reply actions
my favorite was when his coach called him Roto-Rooter
by Josie Becker on Feb 7, 2011 10:39 AM PST up reply actions
Yeah
Brees has to be ahead of Rivers. nice job San Diego
Yeah, well, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man
1)Resign him
2)trade Rivers for a first
3) profit
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
He has been tied at 3 with brees before he won
and before the playoffs even started. That blowhard can go blow hard
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
kershaws pitches
whats crazy to me about Clayton is how he basically relegated his amaaaaazing curve ball to his 3rd pitch and went mostly fastball then slider. for all I know he didnt even have a slider 2 years ago, now he slays dudes with it.
if only umps would call that damn curve a strike now..
by hee came hee seop'd he choi'd on Feb 7, 2011 10:44 AM PST reply actions
Ump didn’t have a problem calling it on Sean Casey. Of course, that was Spring Training, but still…
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 10:46 AM PST up reply actions
Prediction
IP – 210
ERA – 3.33
WHIP – 1.201
K – 204
K/9 – 8.75
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
My prediction for Kid K
IP – 192
ERA – 2.98
WHIP – 1.194
K – 224
"The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing."
Pecota's
Now, just as a reminder–PECOTAs are available only to our subscribers (Premium and Fantasy) who are signed up for a whole year. If you haven’t already subscribed, you can do so here. Doing so doesn’t just get you access to PECOTA, but also to our fantasy tools like the Player Forecast Manager and Team Tracker, as well as exclusive access to some of the best baseball writing out there. If you’re already a subscriber, thank you for your support, and I truly hope that you all enjoy what we do as much as we enjoy doing it. I am continually amazed at how intelligent and knowledgeable our readers are, and I really do think that the people who read BP are among the best baseball fans I’ve ever known.
Hmm, only full year subscribers, that makes sense, can’t be giving away this stuff to the month to month guys like myself.
Not sure if this is behind the paywall or not but here is the introduction to this year’s Pecota’s.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
Not PECOTA, but...
FWIW, MLB.com has their fantasy baseball rankings out, and whatever projection system they are using projects Kemp to hit .284/.339/.493 in 2011.
It’s like 2010 never happened!
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 11:27 AM PST up reply actions
Did you overreact to Billingsley’s second half of 2009?
by Michael White on Feb 7, 2011 11:30 AM PST up reply actions
Dude, I overreact to everything.
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 11:46 AM PST up reply actions
Plays on team no one cares about.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 11:32 AM PST up reply actions
More like Shin Soo Who am I right?
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 11:35 AM PST up reply actions
I’m going with “because he has never played in an All-Star game.”
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 11:33 AM PST up reply actions
That is a really slick format for the player projections and highlight reels. I love the dollar amount for each player too.
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 11:44 AM PST up reply actions
Clayton
number 7 on the board for pitchers. Not a secret anymore.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
I know…these past 2 years he has been the 5th pitcher I have picked up…what a steal!
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 11:47 AM PST up reply actions
I'll take it!
Though it’s not quite as good as my .275/.335/.520 prediction
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
Kershaw question
All star? Yes or no?
All Star starter? Yes or no?
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 11:29 AM PST reply actions
Uribe is totes gonna be an all star
Kuo?
Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
Ethier
The NL does need a center fielder, after all.
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 11:53 AM PST up reply actions
reply fail
that is to Kid K allstar questions
Hating the Giants for going on a half century and counting!
by MammothDodger on Feb 7, 2011 11:34 AM PST up reply actions
i forgot
he was gonna be the manager, you know it’s gonna be fuggin Lincecum.
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on Feb 7, 2011 12:00 PM PST up reply actions
There has never been a need to justify picking Tim Lincecum over Clayton Kershaw for anything.
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 12:03 PM PST up reply actions
Maybe
Guardian of the weed supply?
/tooeasy
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 12:12 PM PST up reply actions
Prediction
IP – 206
ERA – 2.94
WHIP – 1.165
K – 221
BB – 83
H – 157
W-L – 14-7
Prediction
IP—> 214
ERA—> 2.63
WHIP—> 1.075
BB—> 70
K—> 240
H—> 165
W-L—> 17-6
"Oh ville lumière, sens la chaleur de notre coeur, vois-tu notre ferveur quand nous marchons près de toi. Dans cette conquête, chasser l'ennemi, enfin pour que nos couleurs brillent encore..."
"Nous sommes les parisiens (clap clap clap clap) et nous chantons en choeur (clap clap clap clap). Nous sommes les parisiens (clap clap clap clap), fidèles à nos couleurs (clap clap clap clap). Lololo lololo, lololo lololo"
Kiss my Aul[ass], hahaha
Eddie Vedder on Clayton Kershaw
“I leave here believing
More than I had
This [kid] has got
No Ceiling.”
WHY NEXT YEAR'S POOR RECORD, DUE TO POOR WEATHER, WILL BE KERSHAW'S FAULT
You all know for a year I been feeling
That next year this team will be reeling.
But who knew their bane
Would be snow, wind and rain?
If only that guy had a ceiling.
Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!
by Humma Kavula on Feb 7, 2011 12:11 PM PST up reply actions
Reggie Bush makes it harder and harder to root for him
Now he says Money Train (with Wesley Snipes, Woody Harrelson, and J-Lo) is one of his favorite movies.
At least
He didn’t say Money Talks with Charlie Sheen & Chris Tucker (Seriously? WTF?).
"The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing."
I've seen that at least 6 times
I actually enjoy it.
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
I've seen that movie at least 4 times
For some reason I just can’t turn it off, lol
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
K2
Just for comparison sakes I checked out the original K mans’ 23 year old season.
Young Clayton is ahead of the curve and if his maturation resembles anything near Sandys’, we are in for quite a show.
Check out these eye popping stats;http://mlb.mlb.com/team/player.jsp?player_id=117277
If we
have to wait for that maturation, Clayton will not be be doing the 63-66 run as a Los Angeles Dodger.
"I don't see how an article of clothing can be indecent. A person, yes. "
Well done.
Other quick Pecota notes, I would say they are bullish on position players generally, perhaps and Reg maybe has said before, it is easier to deal with pitchers.
As far as starting rotations go, the Phillies are the best in terms of WARP by a good margin, the Dodgers have 4 pitchers with WARPs at 4 or slightly higher (Kershaw is not highest) and they are third in the NL slightly behind the Giants.
Garland does very well as a 5th starter at 2.5 WARP as a 5th starter.
I checked, yeah it’s Heyward.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 12:39 PM PST up reply actions
Nothing we didn't already know, but
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;ylt=AgNJK6eOqoWfVPbllbl8gURvLYF?slug=ti-youngrangers020711
I, for one, would rather not see Michael find his niche in Colorado at 2B and thoroughly outperform Uribe in every statistical way, but I just can’t see how or why the Rangers could trade him to the Angels. Here’s hoping Napoli sucks or gets injured in ST so Texas is forced to hold onto Young to DH at least until the trade deadline.
"The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing."
Michael Young is a dick.
Also the Angels are a destination because they’re dumb enough to take that contract.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 12:34 PM PST up reply actions
There are statistics for defense, too, and Uribe runs circles around Young in that regard.
by Eric Stephen on Feb 7, 2011 12:44 PM PST up reply actions
Voting is open for the Brooklyn Throwback uniforms
Until Feb. 17. Vote early and vote often.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
In case you don’t know this already, the Dodger throwback unis will be made of today’s materials, so that means the 1941style, if voted in, won’t be satin. Would have been great to see the Dodgers playing in the same material as Hugh Hefner’s PJs.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
I just want the oldest one, so they will make a new era fitted cap of that so i can buy it to wear around.
WiFi help
OK, so the vast majority of networks I come across are locked. Fine. But how come there are some which are “unlocked” but don’t let me in? I don’t get it. Help, please.
They’re probably filtering out all but a few computers.
@andrewngrant
by regfairfield on Feb 7, 2011 12:59 PM PST up reply actions
MAC Address filtering
I will toss you in slow-rec softball
by robotmadeofnails on Feb 7, 2011 1:50 PM PST up reply actions
Kershaw prediction
17-9
ERA: 2.97
WHIP: 1.24
K’s: 225
by SeanMillerSavior on Feb 7, 2011 1:29 PM PST reply actions
Ok, I was really close on his numbers for 2010, let's hope I can do the same for 2011
Kershaw 2011:
2.55 ERA
1.10 WHIP
235 strikeouts
222.2 Innings
75 Walks
170 Hits
Top 3 in Cy Young voting
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
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