FanPost

BP says we win 87 games..2nd place


BP lastest projection done a few weeks ago based on VORP analysis says we will win 87 games and be 3 games back of SF who has 90 wins.

We will score more runs a than last yr..4.27 runs (4.12) and give up less 3.93 (4.27). In fact BP says we are 2nd best in  MLB in runs allowed..to A's.with SF just behind us,. So they like our pitching staff. We will scratch for runs though... ..our pythagorean is just +.34 runs at moment which is 87 wins..

Opportunities for us to gain wins...

Kemp and Ethier are both valued lower than 2009 so if either or both get back Mojo we can gain 2-3 wins..

Also CBills is projected to have worse yr than 2010 and Padilla has a VORP or WAR of zero so if either does well we may win a game ofr two more.

Right now we are in hunt...

BP will update prior to season...

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/

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