A Look At The Dodgers Bullpen & Inherited Runners

Mike MacDougal allowed three inherited runners to score on Sunday, but he has been above average this season in terms of allowing inherited runners to score.

In the ninth inning of Sunday's contest with the Padres, Mike MacDougal entered the game in the ninth inning with the bases loaded and one out. Up to that moment, MacDougal had allowed just one of nine inherited runners to score, but unfortunately for Hong-Chih Kuo's ERA, MacDougal let all three runs score on Sunday.

Using the Baseball Prospectus Run Expectancy Matrix, we can find out the average runs scored each inning after every base-out situation.  For instance, having the bases loaded and one out yields an average of 1.5514 runs from that point forward in the inning. So, in MacDougal's outing, he allowed 1.4486 runs more than the average on Sunday.

Here are all the situations this season so far with runners inherited by Dodgers relievers this season:

Mike MacDougal
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 2
5th 1-- 2 1 0 0.2251 0.2251
Apr 8
5th -23 1 2 1 1.3067 0.3067
Apr 23
5th 1-- 1 1 0 0.5090 0.5090
Apr 24
7th 1-3 2 2 0 0.4956 0.4956
Apr 26
6th 123 1 3 0 1.5514 1.5514
May 1
9th 123 1 3 3 1.5514 (1.4486)
Totals 12 4 5.6392 1.6392

 

Kenley Jansen
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 10
6th -2- 2 1 0 0.3277 0.3277
Apr 15
5th -2- 0 1 1 1.0857 0.0857
Apr 22
7th 123 1 3 0 1.5514 1.5514
Totals 5 1 2.9648 1.9648

 

Matt Guerrier
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 3
8th 12- 2 2 1 0.4506 (0.5494)
Apr 11
7th 1-- 2 1 0 0.2251 0.2251
Apr 13
8th 12- 2 2 0 0.4506 0.4506
Totals 5 1 1.1263 0.1263

 

Jonathan Broxton
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 9
9th 12- 2 2 0 0.4506 0.4506
Apr 21
9th 12- 2 2 0 0.4506 0.4506
Totals 4 0 0.9012 0.9012

 

Blake Hawksworth
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 19
7th 1-- 1 1 0 0.5090 0.5090
Apr 23
8th 1-3 2 2 2 0.4956 (1.5044)
May 1
9th -2- 2 1 0 0.3277 0.3277
Totals 4 2 1.3323 (0.6677)

 

Hong-Chih Kuo
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 8
8th 1-- 2 1 0 0.2251 0.2251
Totals 1 0 0.2251 0.2251

 

Ramon Troncoso
Date Inning Bases Outs Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Apr 19
9th 12- 1 2 2 0.9032 (1.0968)
Totals 2 2 0.9032 (1.0968)

 

Dodgers Bullpen
Inherited Runners Scored Expected Runs Runs Saved
Team Totals 33 10 13.0921 3.0921

The average National League team has inherited 38 runners this season, and has allowed 11 of those runners to score.

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