In the ninth inning of Sunday's contest with the Padres, Mike MacDougal entered the game in the ninth inning with the bases loaded and one out. Up to that moment, MacDougal had allowed just one of nine inherited runners to score, but unfortunately for Hong-Chih Kuo's ERA, MacDougal let all three runs score on Sunday.
Using the Baseball Prospectus Run Expectancy Matrix, we can find out the average runs scored each inning after every base-out situation. For instance, having the bases loaded and one out yields an average of 1.5514 runs from that point forward in the inning. So, in MacDougal's outing, he allowed 1.4486 runs more than the average on Sunday.
Here are all the situations this season so far with runners inherited by Dodgers relievers this season:
Mike MacDougal | |||||||
Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 2 |
5th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
Apr 8 |
5th | -23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.3067 | 0.3067 |
Apr 23 |
5th | 1-- | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5090 | 0.5090 |
Apr 24 |
7th | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4956 | 0.4956 |
Apr 26 |
6th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.5514 | 1.5514 |
May 1 |
9th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.5514 | (1.4486) |
Totals | 12 | 4 | 5.6392 | 1.6392 |
Kenley Jansen |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 10 |
6th | -2- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.3277 | 0.3277 |
Apr 15 |
5th | -2- | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0857 | 0.0857 |
Apr 22 |
7th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.5514 | 1.5514 |
Totals | 5 | 1 | 2.9648 | 1.9648 |
Matt Guerrier |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 3 |
8th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.4506 | (0.5494) |
Apr 11 |
7th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
Apr 13 |
8th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
Totals | 5 | 1 | 1.1263 | 0.1263 |
Jonathan Broxton |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 9 |
9th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
Apr 21 |
9th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
Totals | 4 | 0 | 0.9012 | 0.9012 |
Blake Hawksworth |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 19 |
7th | 1-- | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5090 | 0.5090 |
Apr 23 |
8th | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.4956 | (1.5044) |
May 1 |
9th | -2- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.3277 | 0.3277 |
Totals | 4 | 2 | 1.3323 | (0.6677) |
Hong-Chih Kuo |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 8 |
8th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
Totals | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
Ramon Troncoso |
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Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
Apr 19 |
9th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.9032 | (1.0968) |
Totals | 2 | 2 | 0.9032 | (1.0968) |
Dodgers Bullpen |
Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved | |||
Team Totals | 33 | 10 | 13.0921 | 3.0921 |
The average National League team has inherited 38 runners this season, and has allowed 11 of those runners to score.