A Look At The Dodgers Bullpen & Inherited Runners
by Eric Stephen on May 2, 2011 2:00 PM PDT
in Dodgers History & Records
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In the ninth inning of Sunday's contest with the Padres, Mike MacDougal entered the game in the ninth inning with the bases loaded and one out. Up to that moment, MacDougal had allowed just one of nine inherited runners to score, but unfortunately for Hong-Chih Kuo's ERA, MacDougal let all three runs score on Sunday.
Using the Baseball Prospectus Run Expectancy Matrix, we can find out the average runs scored each inning after every base-out situation. For instance, having the bases loaded and one out yields an average of 1.5514 runs from that point forward in the inning. So, in MacDougal's outing, he allowed 1.4486 runs more than the average on Sunday.
Here are all the situations this season so far with runners inherited by Dodgers relievers this season:
| Mike MacDougal | |||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 2 |
5th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
| Apr 8 |
5th | -23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.3067 | 0.3067 |
| Apr 23 |
5th | 1-- | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5090 | 0.5090 |
| Apr 24 |
7th | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4956 | 0.4956 |
| Apr 26 |
6th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.5514 | 1.5514 |
| May 1 |
9th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.5514 | (1.4486) |
| Totals | 12 | 4 | 5.6392 | 1.6392 | |||
| Kenley Jansen |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 10 |
6th | -2- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.3277 | 0.3277 |
| Apr 15 |
5th | -2- | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0857 | 0.0857 |
| Apr 22 |
7th | 123 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.5514 | 1.5514 |
| Totals | 5 | 1 | 2.9648 | 1.9648 | |||
| Matt Guerrier |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 3 |
8th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.4506 | (0.5494) |
| Apr 11 |
7th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
| Apr 13 |
8th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
| Totals | 5 | 1 | 1.1263 | 0.1263 | |||
| Jonathan Broxton |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 9 |
9th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
| Apr 21 |
9th | 12- | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4506 | 0.4506 |
| Totals | 4 | 0 | 0.9012 | 0.9012 | |||
| Blake Hawksworth |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 19 |
7th | 1-- | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5090 | 0.5090 |
| Apr 23 |
8th | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.4956 | (1.5044) |
| May 1 |
9th | -2- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.3277 | 0.3277 |
| Totals | 4 | 2 | 1.3323 | (0.6677) | |||
| Hong-Chih Kuo |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 8 |
8th | 1-- | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 |
| Totals | 1 | 0 | 0.2251 | 0.2251 | |||
| Ramon Troncoso |
|||||||
| Date | Inning | Bases | Outs | Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved |
| Apr 19 |
9th | 12- | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.9032 | (1.0968) |
| Totals | 2 | 2 | 0.9032 | (1.0968) | |||
| Dodgers Bullpen |
Inherited Runners | Scored | Expected Runs | Runs Saved | |||
| Team Totals | 33 | 10 | 13.0921 | 3.0921 | |||
The average National League team has inherited 38 runners this season, and has allowed 11 of those runners to score.
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Comments
Giants are worse off then us I think
with Sandoval out and Huff struggling and Ross struggling
These hands will always be rough
speaking of them
MLBTR had an interesting article about them and Lincecum’s upcoming arb. Guy’s looking about a potentially historic number
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions
no way they don’t extend him. or at least try to.
"The Dodgers are such a .500 team that if there was a way to split a three-game series, they'd find it." - Vin Scully
though I guess
if I’m lincey, I say nah it’s chill, let’s go to arbitration!
"The Dodgers are such a .500 team that if there was a way to split a three-game series, they'd find it." - Vin Scully
moneymoneymoney
MOOOOO-NAYYYYYYYYY!!!
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions
Lincecum gifted them a deal with his last contract, wouldn’t be surprised if he does the same.
@andrewngrant
Unless Lincecum gives them another sweetheart deal :)
No, but I expect him to sign a long-term deal there before seeing the inside of an arb hearing.
I was going to say 150/7, but I don’t think they do that. I’m with you.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
Speaking of half baked...
I give you… Lincecum!
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
He’s already making $13 million this season with two arb years. Gotta think he’ll get at last $35 million over those last two arb years, then it’s north of $20 for all FA years.
If it’s 5 years, it’s gotta be at least $95 million, if not more.
yeah, i was basing it on 13, 15, 17, 19, 21 as a rough estimate. Suppose if he bumps it up 2mil per year he’d get to your 95 total.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
That would seem to eliminate the purpose of signing him long term as the Giants would then be taking on all the risk without receiving a discount.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
CC got $23 per year, Lee got $24 per year; that’s the rate for top of the line starters.
At $23m per, that’s $92 million for the four FA years, meaning they got the final two arb years for $28 million, or between $7-15m less than he could get through arb.
The answer to is it worth the risk? As always…maybe. :)
not to mention
Lincecum has as many CYA as those two combined
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions
At that point its about locking up one of the best pitchers in the game
regardless of discount
These hands will always be rough
unless he represents 1/5 of your payroll, then it’s also about risk management. Cost of his contract, his projected value over the life of the contract, and the “Oh Shit” plan have to be considered. If he blows out his arm this year because he’s again throwing harder than he was before (including his offspeed pitches), are they willing to punt the seasons for the rest of his contract/go at it with a 80mil payroll?
Just sayin. If I don’t get him for less than $20mil per year, I don’t see the point.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
Maybe I just see the Giants to be a smaller mid-market team than they actually are.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
2011: $118,198,333
2010: $ 96,277,833
2009: $ 82,616,450
2008: $ 76,594,500
2007: $ 90,219,056
2006: $ 90,056,419
2005: $ 90,199,500
2004: $ 82,019,166
2003: $ 82,852,167
2002: $ 78,299,835
2001: $ 63,280,167
2000: $ 53,541,000
These hands will always be rough
i don’t see this is “wow, $118 mil”, I see it as "they look like they try to stay in the 80’s and are willing to operate at a loss to win when it looks like a championship is possible (2003 increases, 2010 and 2011 I assume are arb raises to Lincecum etc)
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
Yeah I don't know what to expect from them going forward
I think they stay north of 90, but other then that who knows.
These hands will always be rough
So what this is telling me is that Hawksworth is good at not letting inherited runs score
and Jansen is not? I guess that’s because his April 22 appearance was fucked
"The Dodgers are such a .500 team that if there was a way to split a three-game series, they'd find it." - Vin Scully
Oh I’m reading this backwards. I see.
"The Dodgers are such a .500 team that if there was a way to split a three-game series, they'd find it." - Vin Scully
So Broxton
is good at not letting inherited guys score?
"The Dodgers are such a .500 team that if there was a way to split a three-game series, they'd find it." - Vin Scully
Yes
mostly because if he comes in with inherited runners, I assume it’s with 2 outs in the 8th. He’s plenty good at letting his own runners score.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
April Smells
Honeysuckle Odor:
1. Matt Kemp was great all month
2. Andre was great all month
3. Casey Blake was great when he played
4. Blake Hawksworth was effective
5. Jerry Sands arm in LF
Amorphophallus Odor:
1. James Loney showing that he could indeed hit worse then his 2nd half of 2010
2. Anyone who had an at bat in LF
3. Broxton
4. Kuo
5. Furcal when he played
6. Navarro in just a few games reminded us why we liked AJ Ellis
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
God was really focused on his penis when he created the world in seven days. The man was in a hurry and he kept coming back to the most important thing in his life.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
by meercatjohn on May 2, 2011 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
that's
a lot of nachos
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Nobody gonna complain tonight
Carroll SS
Sands 1B
Ethier RF
Kemp CF
Uribe 3B
Thames LF
Barajas C
De Jesus 2B
Kershaw P
Where the fuck is Miles
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
by meercatjohn on May 2, 2011 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
I'm happy to see it
not that anyone here minds when Loney and Miles sit.
Or when doves cry.
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
it's like a Milhouse
meeting another Milhouse
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions
He got all dark and emo. His parents were thought to have died and his indiana Jones like uncle showed up and took him away to live is Solvange CA
a swishy
Danish settlement :)
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions
You should go man. It’s a really cool place to visit, once.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
Thames will hit two home runs and drive in six runs tonight. Not sure if the bullpen can hold the lead.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
first HR
for Sands tonight! (ihopeihopeihope)
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions
what if he never erupts and simply smells bad?
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
He had this to say about the experience, “The *&%^ is this # $^! !^$^!$@ !&$ !&$&$@
%
&!%!&$ !$& &%?”
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
oh ijust held down shift and keyed the 1-8 keys. There were no pics, it’s the codes I forgot existed.
No Rafael Furcals were hurt in the making of this video.
as opposed to codine
also know as sizzurp and The Lean
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions
he was overall, very pleased with the experience. :)
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions
Longest hitting streaks by terrible hitters
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Six home runs in 13 innings for the Starter tonight. Do we hit a few more or does he go Mosley on us? This would seem a good game to bet a bunch of quid on the game.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Say, what the heck is a quid?
"Champions last year," he said. "Not this year." - Rubby De La Rosa after shaming the Giants in ST
that’s 80 quid!
"Heroes get remembered, but Legends never die."
by Tommy Blackjack on May 2, 2011 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions
Yes, rather do that then bet 100 to win 205 and lose the 100.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Don't care
only care if they win the one time the game is played with real people.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
OT: New podcast for you Eric
SuperEgo
Find it on iTunes
special guests like Patton Oswalt, Paul F Tompkins, etc. Humorous sketches and characters like Monty Python meets Whitest Kids U Know meets FoTC meets Paul F Tompkins. worth a listen.
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
That more summarizes all 3 of the last ones, not just one
Patton is on newest one, PFT on previous two I believe.. anyway many laughs ahead…
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
Underdog
did you like the first Hoodwinked?
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Meh.
A few funny moments but mostly seemed like weaker Shrek to me.
But to be fair I watched it on TV not fully paying attention to every moment… why?
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
(I enjoyed Tangled though!)
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
Just wondering, we liked it, got hoodwinked into seeing II this weekend and it was awful.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
heh. sorry
yeah i heard the sequel was far inferior, alas.
do rent Tangled if the fam hasn’t seen it yet. If you liked Hoodwinked you’ll certainly like that one i bet…
There's no need to fear, Underdog is here! / Broncos/Dodgers/Lakers fan in Niners/Raiders/Giants/Warriors country, and damned proud of it.
Just Red, lost Anne Hathaway. Putty was the one who makes me laugh anyway.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Waitasec
There are two hoodwinkeds?
"Champions last year," he said. "Not this year." - Rubby De La Rosa after shaming the Giants in ST
Met's awful season continues
Top pitching prospect Jenry Mejia goes down
Jenrry Mejia (P) NY-N – AAA 5/2/2011
Mejia has a complete MCL tear in his right elbow, the New York Daily News reports. Mejia will of course seek a second opinion, but surgery is almost a certainty. Mejia had been doing pretty well before the injury at Triple-A Buffalo, with a 2.86 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 28.1 innings.
If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Cubs lineup
Castro SS, Barney 2B, Byrd CF, Ramirez 3B, Soto C, Soriano LF, Pena 1B, Johnson RF, Russell P
in case there is any confusion
that is today’s LOSING lineup. I think Phil will back me up on that one! :)
The original Babar book is horrible. You start reading it thinking it’s a cute book about a talking elephant what wears pants, and you find yourself being propagandized by a nineteenth century imperialist. Most offensively, it came out in the 1930’s, after that was less fashionable.
However, the tv shows are awesome because IT’S A TALKING ELEPHANT WHAT WEARS PANTS!
"It's supposed to be hard. If it wasn't hard, everyone would do it. The hard... is what makes it great."
A previous post said something about Dar Bar being the “188-pound grandson of a Korean grandfather and a Japanese grandmother”. Most people have two of each (grandparents).
I finally decided
that what they were trying to say is that Dar Bar has one Asian parent and that that parent is 1/2 Korean, 1/2 Japanese.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
Was looking at the Midwest League pitching leaderboards and mostly everyone is 21-22 Lee and Gould really stand out as guys born in late-ish 1991. Awesome!
Reed Johnson
Did anyone else forget he was a Dodger last year?
Welcome to Thameswood / You'll be the first to go, unless you think
He was a Dodger last year??
"Champions last year," he said. "Not this year." - Rubby De La Rosa after shaming the Giants in ST
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