FanPost

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks, July 17th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. If you pick the correct winning team in your game score guess, you get 5 points (no points lost for wrong guess) and if you get the correct score you win the number of points of the ranking of the score in the table. For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 10:00 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Ted Lilly Daniel Hudson Diamondbacks 60.16% 8.8 64.51% 9.13

 

1 ARI 4-3   51 ARI 9-2   101 ARI 12-2
2 ARI 3-2   52 ARI 8-5   102 LAN 6-0
3 ARI 5-4   53 ARI 9-3   103 ARI 12-3
4 ARI 2-1   54 LAN 5-1   104 ARI 12-1
5 ARI 4-2   55 ARI 8-0   105 ARI 10-9
6 LAN 4-3   56 ARI 9-1   106 LAN 10-3
7 ARI 3-1   57 ARI 8-6   107 LAN 10-7
8 ARI 5-2   58 LAN 7-2   108 ARI 10-7
9 ARI 6-5   59 LAN 8-5   109 LAN 10-2
10 LAN 3-2   60 LAN 8-4   110 LAN 9-1
11 ARI 4-1   61 ARI 9-4   111 LAN 10-6
12 ARI 5-3   62 LAN 8-6   112 ARI 10-8
13 LAN 5-4   63 LAN 2-0   113 LAN 11-5
14 ARI 5-1   64 LAN 8-7   114 ARI 13-3
15 ARI 6-3   65 LAN 1-0   115 ARI 11-6
16 LAN 4-2   66 LAN 6-1   116 ARI 12-5
17 ARI 6-2   67 LAN 3-0   117 ARI 12-4
18 LAN 5-3   68 LAN 8-3   118 LAN 7-0
19 ARI 6-4   69 ARI 10-2   119 LAN 10-9
20 ARI 6-1   70 ARI 10-3   120 LAN 10-8
21 LAN 2-1   71 ARI 10-1   121 LAN 11-4
22 LAN 6-5   72 ARI 9-5   122 ARI 12-0
23 ARI 7-6   73 ARI 9-8   123 ARI 13-2
24 ARI 7-2   74 ARI 10-4   124 ARI 13-1
25 ARI 3-0   75 LAN 8-2   125 ARI 12-6
26 LAN 6-4   76 ARI 9-0   126 ARI 11-7
27 ARI 7-3   77 ARI 9-6   127 LAN 11-3
28 ARI 4-0   78 LAN 7-1   128 LAN 11-2
29 LAN 5-2   79 LAN 9-4   129 LAN 10-1
30 LAN 3-1   80 LAN 9-5   130 ARI 13-4
31 ARI 7-4   81 LAN 9-6   131 LAN 8-0
32 ARI 7-1   82 ARI 11-2   132 ARI 11-8
33 LAN 6-3   83 ARI 10-5   133 ARI 13-5
34 ARI 2-0   84 LAN 9-3   134 LAN 11-7
35 ARI 5-0   85 LAN 4-0   135 LAN 11-6
36 ARI 1-0   86 ARI 11-1   136 LAN 12-4
37 ARI 8-2   87 LAN 5-0   137 ARI 14-1
38 ARI 6-0   88 ARI 11-3   138 LAN 12-5
39 ARI 7-5   89 LAN 9-2   139 ARI 14-2
40 LAN 4-1   90 ARI 9-7   140 LAN 9-0
41 ARI 8-3   91 LAN 9-7   141 LAN 11-8
42 LAN 7-4   92 ARI 11-4   142 LAN 12-3
43 LAN 7-5   93 LAN 8-1   143 ARI 13-0
44 LAN 6-2   94 ARI 10-0   144 ARI 11-9
45 ARI 8-7   95 LAN 9-8   145 ARI 11-10
46 LAN 7-6   96 LAN 10-5   146 LAN 11-1
47 ARI 8-1   97 ARI 10-6   147 ARI 13-6
48 LAN 7-3   98 LAN 10-4   148 ARI 14-3
49 ARI 8-4   99 ARI 11-5   149 LAN 12-2
50 ARI 7-0   100 ARI 11-0   150 ARI 12-7

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Ted Lilly HRs Allowed: 1.0 (1:1)
C. O/U James Loney RBIs: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Matt Kemp Total Bases 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Kelly Johnson + Chris Young HRs: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Ted Lilly allows no HRs: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Diamondbacks win by more than 2.5 runs: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Which player hits 1st HR of the game: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#19 LAN 6-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H Matt Kemp

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  For question G if you are not sure who the starters will be you can say "Starting LFer" or "whoever bats leadoff" etc... Players in questions A,B,C,D,E,H must all start for question to be valid.

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