FanPost

Dodgers vs Giants, July 18th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. If you pick the correct winning team in your game score guess, you get 5 points (no points lost for wrong guess) and if you get the correct score you win the number of points of the ranking of the score in the table. For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Monday at 12:15 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Chad Billingsley Ryan Vogelsong Giants 55.46% 6.3 51.74% 7.69

 

1 SF 3-2   51 SF 7-1   101 SF 9-7
2 SF 4-3   52 LAN 7-6   102 SF 10-5
3 SF 2-1   53 SF 7-5   103 LAN 11-3
4 LAN 3-2   54 LAN 8-2   104 SF 11-1
5 SF 5-4   55 SF 6-0   105 SF 11-2
6 LAN 2-1   56 LAN 8-3   106 LAN 11-4
7 LAN 4-3   57 LAN 8-1   107 LAN 11-1
8 LAN 3-1   58 SF 8-2   108 LAN 10-6
9 LAN 4-2   59 LAN 8-4   109 SF 11-3
10 SF 3-1   60 SF 8-7   110 SF 10-6
11 SF 4-2   61 LAN 7-0   111 SF 11-4
12 SF 1-0   62 SF 8-3   112 SF 10-0
13 LAN 5-4   63 SF 8-4   113 LAN 10-7
14 LAN 5-3   64 LAN 8-5   114 SF 10-9
15 SF 4-1   65 LAN 9-2   115 SF 12-3
16 SF 6-5   66 SF 8-5   116 LAN 12-2
17 LAN 4-1   67 SF 8-1   117 LAN 11-5
18 SF 5-3   68 LAN 8-6   118 SF 11-5
19 LAN 5-2   69 LAN 9-3   119 LAN 12-3
20 SF 5-2   70 SF 7-0   120 SF 12-2
21 SF 2-0   71 LAN 9-1   121 LAN 12-1
22 LAN 1-0   72 SF 9-3   122 SF 10-7
23 LAN 2-0   73 LAN 8-0   123 SF 11-0
24 LAN 5-1   74 LAN 9-4   124 LAN 10-8
25 LAN 3-0   75 SF 8-6   125 SF 12-4
26 SF 3-0   76 LAN 8-7   126 SF 10-8
27 SF 5-1   77 SF 9-4   127 SF 11-6
28 LAN 6-4   78 SF 9-2   128 LAN 11-0
29 LAN 6-3   79 SF 9-1   129 LAN 10-9
30 LAN 6-2   80 SF 8-0   130 LAN 12-4
31 SF 6-3   81 LAN 9-5   131 LAN 11-6
32 LAN 6-5   82 LAN 10-3   132 SF 12-1
33 SF 6-2   83 SF 9-8   133 LAN 12-5
34 LAN 4-0   84 LAN 10-2   134 LAN 13-2
35 SF 6-4   85 LAN 9-6   135 SF 12-5
36 SF 4-0   86 SF 9-5   136 LAN 13-1
37 LAN 6-1   87 SF 10-3   137 LAN 12-0
38 SF 7-6   88 LAN 10-1   138 LAN 13-3
39 SF 6-1   89 SF 10-2   139 LAN 13-4
40 LAN 7-2   90 LAN 10-4   140 SF 13-2
41 LAN 7-3   91 SF 10-4   141 SF 11-8
42 LAN 5-0   92 LAN 9-0   142 LAN 11-7
43 LAN 7-4   93 SF 10-1   143 LAN 11-8
44 SF 7-3   94 SF 9-6   144 LAN 12-6
45 SF 5-0   95 LAN 9-7   145 SF 12-6
46 SF 7-2   96 LAN 9-8   146 SF 11-7
47 LAN 7-1   97 LAN 10-5   147 SF 12-0
48 LAN 7-5   98 SF 9-0   148 SF 11-10
49 SF 7-4   99 LAN 11-2   149 SF 13-1
50 LAN 6-0   100 LAN 10-0   150 LAN 12-7

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 6.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Ryan Vogelsong minus Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Ryan Vogelsong HRs Allowed: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Andre Ethier RBIs 0.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers starting catcher number of singles: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Ryan Vogelsong is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Andre Ethier hits atleast one double: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Javy Guerra gets a save: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#32 LAN 6-5
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  For question G if you are not sure who the starters will be you can say "Starting LFer" or "whoever bats leadoff" etc... Players in questions B,C,D,F,G must all start for question to be valid.

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