FanPost

Rockies vs Dodgers, July 25th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Game score guesses must be unique (can't copy anyone elses game score guess).  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 11:30 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Juan Nicasio Rubby De la Rosa Dodgers 52.49% 7.1 48.82% 7.24

 

1 LAN 3-2 5:1   51 COL 7-5 39:1   101 LAN 10-3 195:1
2 LAN 2-1 5:1   52 LAN 7-3 40:1   102 COL 10-6 199:1
3 LAN 4-3 6:1   53 LAN 6-0 44:1   103 COL 9-8 224:1
4 COL 3-2 7:1   54 LAN 7-4 44:1   104 LAN 10-4 229:1
5 COL 2-1 8:1   55 COL 8-1 44:1   105 LAN 9-7 231:1
6 COL 4-3 8:1   56 COL 8-4 44:1   106 COL 11-0 252:1
7 LAN 3-1 9:1   57 LAN 7-5 47:1   107 COL 11-5 260:1
8 LAN 5-4 9:1   58 LAN 7-1 48:1   108 COL 12-3 283:1
9 COL 3-1 10:1   59 COL 7-0 48:1   109 LAN 11-2 312:1
10 COL 4-2 10:1   60 COL 8-5 58:1   110 COL 10-7 320:1
11 LAN 4-2 10:1   61 COL 9-3 60:1   111 LAN 10-5 328:1
12 LAN 1-0 11:1   62 COL 9-2 61:1   112 COL 11-6 333:1
13 COL 5-4 12:1   63 LAN 7-0 64:1   113 COL 12-2 337:1
14 COL 4-1 12:1   64 LAN 8-7 64:1   114 LAN 11-3 346:1
15 COL 5-2 13:1   65 COL 9-1 64:1   115 LAN 11-1 351:1
16 COL 5-3 13:1   66 LAN 8-2 68:1   116 COL 12-1 351:1
17 LAN 4-1 13:1   67 LAN 8-3 68:1   117 LAN 10-9 372:1
18 LAN 2-0 14:1   68 LAN 8-1 70:1   118 LAN 11-4 372:1
19 LAN 5-3 15:1   69 COL 8-0 72:1   119 COL 11-7 372:1
20 LAN 3-0 15:1   70 COL 8-6 73:1   120 COL 12-4 378:1
21 COL 2-0 15:1   71 COL 9-4 76:1   121 LAN 10-0 384:1
22 COL 1-0 16:1   72 LAN 8-4 80:1   122 COL 10-8 384:1
23 LAN 5-2 16:1   73 COL 8-7 86:1   123 LAN 10-6 438:1
24 LAN 6-5 16:1   74 LAN 8-5 90:1   124 LAN 11-5 438:1
25 COL 5-1 16:1   75 COL 10-3 90:1   125 COL 12-5 438:1
26 COL 3-0 17:1   76 COL 9-5 92:1   126 COL 13-2 438:1
27 COL 6-2 18:1   77 COL 10-2 96:1   127 LAN 10-7 489:1
28 LAN 5-1 19:1   78 LAN 9-2 99:1   128 LAN 12-3 520:1
29 COL 6-3 19:1   79 LAN 8-6 101:1   129 COL 13-1 543:1
30 COL 4-0 20:1   80 COL 9-0 109:1   130 COL 13-4 555:1
31 COL 6-4 20:1   81 LAN 9-3 113:1   131 COL 13-3 567:1
32 LAN 4-0 21:1   82 COL 10-1 119:1   132 COL 12-6 567:1
33 COL 6-1 22:1   83 LAN 8-0 122:1   133 COL 10-9 581:1
34 COL 6-5 22:1   84 LAN 9-1 129:1   134 LAN 10-8 594:1
35 LAN 6-3 24:1   85 COL 9-6 132:1   135 COL 12-0 594:1
36 COL 7-2 25:1   86 COL 10-4 137:1   136 LAN 11-0 594:1
37 LAN 6-2 25:1   87 LAN 9-8 145:1   137 COL 11-8 609:1
38 LAN 6-4 25:1   88 LAN 9-4 146:1   138 LAN 12-1 640:1
39 COL 5-0 26:1   89 COL 11-2 152:1   139 COL 14-3 640:1
40 COL 7-3 27:1   90 COL 11-3 153:1   140 LAN 11-6 757:1
41 COL 7-4 28:1   91 COL 11-1 162:1   141 COL 14-1 781:1
42 LAN 5-0 29:1   92 COL 10-0 172:1   142 LAN 12-2 781:1
43 COL 7-1 31:1   93 COL 9-7 172:1   143 COL 13-6 833:1
44 LAN 7-6 31:1   94 COL 10-5 173:1   144 LAN 11-7 833:1
45 LAN 6-1 32:1   95 LAN 9-5 173:1   145 COL 13-5 833:1
46 COL 6-0 34:1   96 LAN 10-2 175:1   146 LAN 12-4 892:1
47 COL 8-3 36:1   97 LAN 9-0 182:1   147 COL 12-7 892:1
48 COL 8-2 37:1   98 COL 11-4 189:1   148 COL 14-2 961:1
49 COL 7-6 38:1   99 LAN 10-1 190:1   149 COL 11-10 999:1
50 LAN 7-2 39:1   100 LAN 9-6 192:1   150 LAN 11-10 1041:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 6.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Dodgers runs minus Rockies runs: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Matt Kemp Total bases plus stolen bases: 2.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Dodgers hits minus Rubby De la Rosa strikeouts: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Rubby De la Rosa HRs Allowed: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Juan Uribe gets an RBI: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Andre Ethier or James Loney hit a HR: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Rubby De la Rosa strikes out 10 or more batters: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#44 LAN 7-6
10AO
5CU
15DU
20H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,E,F,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.

Bankroll Leaderboard

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