FanPost

DBacks vs Dodgers, July 30th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Saturday at 12:45 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Micah Owings Chad Billingsley Dodgers 55.65% 7.0 63.05% 7.54

 

1 LAN 3-2 5:1   51 ARI 7-4 40:1   101 ARI 10-5 180:1
2 LAN 2-1 6:1   52 LAN 7-5 41:1   102 LAN 12-2 183:1
3 LAN 4-3 6:1   53 ARI 7-2 43:1   103 LAN 9-7 192:1
4 LAN 3-1 8:1   54 ARI 5-0 45:1   104 ARI 9-7 193:1
5 LAN 5-4 9:1   55 ARI 7-5 46:1   105 ARI 9-8 199:1
6 ARI 3-2 9:1   56 LAN 8-0 47:1   106 LAN 12-1 204:1
7 LAN 4-2 10:1   57 LAN 9-2 48:1   107 LAN 10-6 208:1
8 LAN 4-1 10:1   58 LAN 8-4 49:1   108 ARI 9-0 209:1
9 ARI 2-1 10:1   59 ARI 7-6 50:1   109 ARI 11-4 215:1
10 ARI 4-3 10:1   60 LAN 9-1 51:1   110 ARI 10-1 235:1
11 LAN 1-0 11:1   61 ARI 7-1 55:1   111 ARI 11-3 237:1
12 LAN 2-0 11:1   62 LAN 8-5 58:1   112 ARI 10-6 254:1
13 LAN 5-2 12:1   63 LAN 8-7 58:1   113 LAN 12-4 254:1
14 LAN 3-0 12:1   64 LAN 9-3 59:1   114 LAN 11-5 254:1
15 LAN 5-1 12:1   65 ARI 8-2 61:1   115 LAN 12-3 257:1
16 ARI 4-2 13:1   66 ARI 8-4 62:1   116 ARI 11-2 274:1
17 ARI 3-1 13:1   67 LAN 9-0 65:1   117 ARI 10-7 283:1
18 LAN 5-3 14:1   68 ARI 8-5 66:1   118 LAN 13-2 293:1
19 LAN 4-0 14:1   69 ARI 8-3 66:1   119 LAN 13-3 293:1
20 LAN 6-5 15:1   70 ARI 6-0 71:1   120 LAN 12-0 297:1
21 ARI 5-4 15:1   71 LAN 9-4 72:1   121 LAN 10-9 320:1
22 ARI 5-3 16:1   72 LAN 10-1 74:1   122 LAN 10-7 324:1
23 LAN 6-3 17:1   73 ARI 8-6 74:1   123 LAN 13-1 342:1
24 LAN 5-0 17:1   74 LAN 8-6 79:1   124 ARI 11-5 342:1
25 LAN 6-2 18:1   75 ARI 8-7 81:1   125 ARI 11-1 362:1
26 ARI 5-2 18:1   76 LAN 10-3 82:1   126 LAN 11-6 372:1
27 LAN 6-1 18:1   77 LAN 10-2 82:1   127 ARI 10-0 430:1
28 ARI 4-1 19:1   78 ARI 8-1 85:1   128 ARI 10-8 438:1
29 ARI 1-0 20:1   79 LAN 10-0 89:1   129 LAN 12-5 438:1
30 LAN 6-4 21:1   80 ARI 9-3 90:1   130 ARI 12-4 454:1
31 LAN 6-0 22:1   81 LAN 9-5 95:1   131 ARI 12-5 462:1
32 ARI 2-0 22:1   82 ARI 9-4 100:1   132 ARI 12-3 471:1
33 LAN 7-2 25:1   83 ARI 7-0 100:1   133 LAN 10-8 471:1
34 ARI 6-5 25:1   84 ARI 9-5 109:1   134 ARI 11-6 471:1
35 ARI 6-4 25:1   85 LAN 10-4 112:1   135 ARI 12-1 480:1
36 LAN 7-1 25:1   86 ARI 9-2 114:1   136 LAN 14-2 489:1
37 ARI 5-1 26:1   87 LAN 11-1 115:1   137 LAN 13-4 489:1
38 ARI 6-3 26:1   88 ARI 9-1 119:1   138 LAN 13-0 499:1
39 ARI 3-0 27:1   89 LAN 9-6 121:1   139 ARI 12-2 531:1
40 ARI 6-2 27:1   90 LAN 11-2 125:1   140 ARI 11-0 531:1
41 LAN 7-3 27:1   91 LAN 11-0 127:1   141 ARI 10-9 543:1
42 LAN 7-6 28:1   92 LAN 9-8 129:1   142 LAN 12-6 581:1
43 LAN 7-4 29:1   93 LAN 10-5 136:1   143 ARI 12-6 581:1
44 LAN 7-0 32:1   94 ARI 10-3 142:1   144 ARI 13-3 594:1
45 LAN 8-1 35:1   95 LAN 11-3 143:1   145 ARI 11-8 609:1
46 LAN 8-2 35:1   96 ARI 9-6 150:1   146 LAN 11-10 609:1
47 ARI 4-0 35:1   97 ARI 8-0 160:1   147 LAN 11-7 624:1
48 ARI 7-3 38:1   98 ARI 10-2 161:1   148 LAN 11-8 624:1
49 ARI 6-1 38:1   99 ARI 10-4 174:1   149 LAN 14-0 624:1
50 LAN 8-3 40:1   100 LAN 11-4 178:1   150 ARI 11-7 624:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.0 (1:1)
B. O/U Andre Ethier walks: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Matt Kemp minus Justin Upton Total Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Winning team runs minus losing team runs: 2.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers starting OFers total RBIs: 1.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) The game is decided by one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) A Dodger player gets more than 4.5 Total Bases: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Chad Billingsley goes >= 8 full innings with 7 or more strikeouts: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#89 LAN 9-6
10AO
5CU
15DU
20F

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions B,C,H must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.

Bankroll Leaderboard

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