FanPost

Mets vs Dodgers, July 5th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. If you pick the correct winning team in your game score guess, you get 5 points (no points lost for wrong guess) and if you get the correct score you win the number of points of the ranking of the score in the table. For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Monday at 11:00 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Mike Pelfrey Ted Lilly Dodgers 54.44% 7.4 55.30% 7.88

 

1 LAN 3-2   51 NYN 5-0   101 LAN 10-5
2 LAN 4-3   52 LAN 6-0   102 LAN 11-3
3 LAN 2-1   53 NYN 7-1   103 LAN 11-2
4 NYN 3-2   54 LAN 8-2   104 LAN 10-9
5 LAN 5-4   55 LAN 8-3   105 NYN 11-2
6 NYN 4-3   56 NYN 8-2   106 LAN 10-0
7 LAN 4-2   57 NYN 8-3   107 NYN 11-4
8 LAN 3-1   58 LAN 8-4   108 LAN 10-6
9 NYN 2-1   59 LAN 8-7   109 NYN 11-3
10 NYN 4-2   60 NYN 8-4   110 LAN 11-1
11 NYN 5-4   61 NYN 6-0   111 NYN 10-7
12 LAN 5-3   62 LAN 8-1   112 NYN 11-1
13 NYN 3-1   63 NYN 8-5   113 LAN 11-4
14 LAN 4-1   64 LAN 8-5   114 LAN 11-5
15 LAN 5-2   65 LAN 7-0   115 LAN 12-3
16 NYN 5-3   66 LAN 9-3   116 LAN 10-7
17 LAN 6-5   67 LAN 9-2   117 NYN 11-5
18 NYN 5-2   68 NYN 8-6   118 NYN 10-8
19 NYN 4-1   69 NYN 8-1   119 NYN 11-6
20 LAN 1-0   70 NYN 9-3   120 LAN 11-6
21 LAN 5-1   71 LAN 9-1   121 NYN 10-0
22 LAN 6-3   72 NYN 7-0   122 NYN 12-3
23 LAN 2-0   73 LAN 8-6   123 LAN 12-4
24 LAN 6-4   74 LAN 9-4   124 LAN 12-2
25 LAN 3-0   75 NYN 9-4   125 LAN 12-1
26 NYN 6-5   76 NYN 8-7   126 NYN 10-9
27 NYN 6-3   77 NYN 9-2   127 NYN 12-5
28 LAN 6-2   78 LAN 8-0   128 NYN 12-2
29 NYN 6-4   79 NYN 9-5   129 LAN 11-0
30 NYN 5-1   80 LAN 10-2   130 LAN 10-8
31 NYN 1-0   81 NYN 9-1   131 NYN 11-7
32 NYN 6-2   82 NYN 10-3   132 LAN 12-5
33 LAN 4-0   83 LAN 9-5   133 NYN 11-8
34 LAN 6-1   84 NYN 9-6   134 LAN 11-7
35 NYN 2-0   85 LAN 9-8   135 NYN 11-0
36 LAN 7-6   86 NYN 10-4   136 NYN 12-1
37 NYN 3-0   87 NYN 10-2   137 NYN 12-4
38 LAN 7-2   88 NYN 8-0   138 LAN 13-3
39 NYN 6-1   89 LAN 10-3   139 LAN 13-2
40 LAN 7-3   90 LAN 10-4   140 LAN 11-8
41 LAN 5-0   91 NYN 9-7   141 LAN 12-6
42 LAN 7-4   92 LAN 10-1   142 NYN 13-2
43 NYN 7-4   93 LAN 9-0   143 NYN 12-6
44 NYN 4-0   94 LAN 9-6   144 LAN 13-4
45 NYN 7-3   95 NYN 10-5   145 LAN 11-10
46 NYN 7-2   96 NYN 9-8   146 NYN 13-3
47 LAN 7-1   97 NYN 9-0   147 NYN 13-4
48 NYN 7-5   98 LAN 9-7   148 NYN 12-7
49 NYN 7-6   99 NYN 10-6   149 LAN 12-0
50 LAN 7-5   100 NYN 10-1   150 NYN 11-9

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. Total Runs Scored: 7.5
B. O/U Ted Lilly HRs Allowed: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Andre Ethier total bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Jose Reyes At Bats: 4.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers bullpen pitch count: 44.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp hits a HR: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Dodgers get shutout: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Dodgers score four or more runs in one inning: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#50 LAN 7-5
5AO
10DU
10EU
5G

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't.

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