FanPost

Mets vs Dodgers, July 7th Simulation + Contest

July Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. If you pick the correct winning team in your game score guess, you get 5 points (no points lost for wrong guess) and if you get the correct score you win the number of points of the ranking of the score in the table. For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 7:00 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Dillon Gee Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 58.76% 6.2 64.96% 6.78

 

1 LAN 2-1   51 LAN 8-3   101 LAN 10-5
2 LAN 3-2   52 NYN 7-4   102 LAN 11-4
3 LAN 4-3   53 NYN 7-2   103 NYN 10-1
4 LAN 1-0   54 NYN 7-3   104 NYN 9-7
5 LAN 3-1   55 LAN 7-5   105 LAN 9-7
6 NYN 2-1   56 LAN 9-2   106 NYN 9-0
7 NYN 3-2   57 NYN 7-5   107 LAN 10-6
8 LAN 2-0   58 LAN 9-1   108 LAN 13-1
9 LAN 4-2   59 LAN 8-4   109 NYN 10-4
10 LAN 3-0   60 NYN 7-6   110 NYN 9-8
11 LAN 4-1   61 NYN 7-1   111 NYN 10-5
12 LAN 5-4   62 LAN 9-0   112 NYN 10-6
13 LAN 4-0   63 NYN 6-0   113 LAN 12-3
14 NYN 4-3   64 LAN 9-3   114 LAN 11-5
15 LAN 5-2   65 NYN 8-2   115 LAN 13-0
16 LAN 5-1   66 LAN 10-1   116 NYN 10-7
17 NYN 3-1   67 LAN 10-2   117 NYN 11-3
18 NYN 1-0   68 NYN 8-3   118 NYN 11-4
19 NYN 4-2   69 LAN 8-5   119 LAN 12-4
20 LAN 5-0   70 LAN 8-7   120 LAN 13-2
21 LAN 5-3   71 NYN 8-4   121 LAN 10-9
22 NYN 2-0   72 NYN 8-5   122 NYN 11-2
23 LAN 6-1   73 NYN 8-1   123 LAN 11-6
24 NYN 5-4   74 LAN 9-4   124 LAN 12-5
25 NYN 4-1   75 LAN 10-3   125 NYN 11-5
26 LAN 6-2   76 LAN 10-0   126 LAN 10-8
27 LAN 6-5   77 NYN 7-0   127 LAN 13-3
28 NYN 5-3   78 LAN 9-5   128 LAN 10-7
29 LAN 6-0   79 NYN 8-6   129 NYN 10-0
30 NYN 5-2   80 LAN 11-1   130 LAN 13-4
31 LAN 6-3   81 LAN 8-6   131 NYN 11-1
32 NYN 3-0   82 LAN 11-2   132 NYN 10-8
33 LAN 7-1   83 NYN 8-7   133 LAN 14-0
34 LAN 6-4   84 NYN 9-2   134 NYN 11-6
35 LAN 7-2   85 NYN 9-4   135 NYN 12-1
36 LAN 7-0   86 NYN 9-3   136 LAN 11-8
37 NYN 5-1   87 LAN 11-3   137 LAN 14-1
38 NYN 6-3   88 LAN 11-0   138 NYN 12-5
39 NYN 6-5   89 NYN 8-0   139 NYN 12-4
40 NYN 6-4   90 LAN 10-4   140 LAN 12-6
41 LAN 7-3   91 NYN 9-1   141 NYN 13-3
42 NYN 4-0   92 NYN 9-5   142 NYN 12-2
43 NYN 6-2   93 NYN 9-6   143 LAN 13-5
44 LAN 8-1   94 LAN 12-2   144 NYN 10-9
45 LAN 8-2   95 LAN 9-6   145 LAN 14-3
46 LAN 7-6   96 LAN 9-8   146 LAN 15-2
47 LAN 8-0   97 NYN 10-3   147 LAN 11-7
48 NYN 6-1   98 NYN 10-2   148 LAN 14-2
49 LAN 7-4   99 LAN 12-1   149 NYN 11-7
50 NYN 5-0   100 LAN 12-0   150 NYN 12-3

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Dodgers runs scored: 3.5
B. O/U Clayton Kershaw Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Number of Dodgers HRs: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Matt Kemp RBIs: 0.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dillon Gee Total Pitches: 97.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Dodger win by more than one run: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp steals two or more bases: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Kershaw complete game shutout: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#3 LAN 4-3
5AO
10DU
10EU
5G

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.


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