FanPost

Dodgers vs Brewers, August 15th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 11:11 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Ted Lilly Randy Wolf Brewers 61.16% 8.3 61.19% 9.49

 

1 MIL 4-3 6:1   51 LAN 7-2 38:1   101 MIL 11-5 103:1
2 MIL 3-2 7:1   52 MIL 9-3 39:1   102 MIL 10-7 104:1
3 MIL 5-4 7:1   53 MIL 8-1 39:1   103 LAN 10-6 105:1
4 MIL 6-5 10:1   54 LAN 6-1 41:1   104 MIL 12-3 107:1
5 LAN 4-3 11:1   55 MIL 8-6 41:1   105 MIL 11-1 110:1
6 MIL 4-2 11:1   56 MIL 6-0 41:1   106 LAN 10-7 111:1
7 MIL 5-3 12:1   57 LAN 8-6 41:1   107 MIL 11-6 119:1
8 MIL 2-1 12:1   58 LAN 8-4 42:1   108 MIL 10-0 122:1
9 LAN 5-4 12:1   59 MIL 9-4 43:1   109 MIL 12-2 124:1
10 LAN 3-2 13:1   60 LAN 8-3 43:1   110 MIL 12-4 126:1
11 MIL 5-2 13:1   61 MIL 9-2 43:1   111 LAN 9-1 126:1
12 MIL 3-1 14:1   62 MIL 9-8 44:1   112 LAN 10-8 132:1
13 MIL 7-6 15:1   63 LAN 8-7 46:1   113 LAN 7-0 140:1
14 MIL 6-3 15:1   64 LAN 1-0 48:1   114 LAN 11-3 140:1
15 LAN 5-3 15:1   65 LAN 2-0 51:1   115 MIL 10-8 145:1
16 MIL 6-4 16:1   66 MIL 7-0 52:1   116 LAN 11-4 150:1
17 MIL 4-1 16:1   67 MIL 10-3 53:1   117 MIL 12-5 157:1
18 LAN 4-2 16:1   68 MIL 9-5 53:1   118 LAN 11-5 161:1
19 MIL 6-2 17:1   69 MIL 9-1 53:1   119 LAN 11-2 163:1
20 LAN 6-5 17:1   70 LAN 8-2 54:1   120 MIL 11-7 166:1
21 LAN 6-4 18:1   71 LAN 3-0 57:1   121 LAN 11-6 169:1
22 MIL 5-1 19:1   72 LAN 7-1 58:1   122 MIL 13-2 170:1
23 LAN 5-2 20:1   73 MIL 9-6 59:1   123 LAN 10-9 172:1
24 MIL 7-4 20:1   74 LAN 9-4 59:1   124 LAN 10-1 173:1
25 LAN 6-3 21:1   75 MIL 10-2 61:1   125 MIL 12-1 174:1
26 LAN 2-1 21:1   76 LAN 9-3 62:1   126 MIL 12-6 186:1
27 MIL 7-2 21:1   77 MIL 10-4 63:1   127 LAN 8-0 186:1
28 LAN 3-1 22:1   78 LAN 9-5 63:1   128 MIL 13-4 187:1
29 MIL 7-3 22:1   79 LAN 9-6 64:1   129 LAN 11-7 193:1
30 MIL 6-1 22:1   80 MIL 9-7 65:1   130 MIL 11-8 195:1
31 MIL 7-5 25:1   81 MIL 8-0 65:1   131 MIL 13-3 199:1
32 LAN 7-6 25:1   82 LAN 4-0 66:1   132 MIL 11-0 206:1
33 MIL 8-7 26:1   83 MIL 10-5 68:1   133 MIL 11-10 211:1
34 LAN 7-4 27:1   84 LAN 5-0 70:1   134 LAN 11-8 217:1
35 MIL 3-0 27:1   85 MIL 10-1 72:1   135 MIL 13-5 235:1
36 LAN 7-5 28:1   86 LAN 9-2 75:1   136 LAN 12-3 235:1
37 LAN 4-1 28:1   87 MIL 11-3 76:1   137 LAN 12-2 247:1
38 LAN 6-2 28:1   88 LAN 8-1 76:1   138 LAN 12-6 249:1
39 MIL 8-3 29:1   89 LAN 9-7 77:1   139 LAN 11-9 252:1
40 MIL 8-2 29:1   90 MIL 10-6 80:1   140 LAN 12-5 254:1
41 MIL 2-0 29:1   91 LAN 10-4 82:1   141 LAN 12-4 257:1
42 MIL 7-1 30:1   92 LAN 9-8 87:1   142 MIL 12-7 260:1
43 LAN 7-3 30:1   93 MIL 11-2 88:1   143 LAN 11-1 260:1
44 MIL 4-0 30:1   94 MIL 9-0 91:1   144 MIL 13-1 260:1
45 MIL 1-0 32:1   95 MIL 11-4 94:1   145 LAN 9-0 262:1
46 LAN 5-1 32:1   96 LAN 10-3 95:1   146 MIL 14-3 271:1
47 MIL 8-4 32:1   97 LAN 6-0 98:1   147 MIL 12-0 280:1
48 MIL 5-0 33:1   98 LAN 10-5 99:1   148 MIL 12-8 280:1
49 MIL 8-5 34:1   99 MIL 10-9 100:1   149 MIL 14-4 308:1
50 LAN 8-5 37:1   100 LAN 10-2 100:1   150 LAN 12-7 320:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Brewers HRs: 1.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Prince Fielder minus Matt Kemp total bases : 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Andre Ethier Total RBIs: 0.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Extra base hits combined both teams: 6.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Ted Lilly does not give up a HR: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp or Juan Rivera hit a HR: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) The Dodgers score less than 2 runs: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,F,G must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

This is a fan-written post that is in no way affiliated with or related to any of the authors or editors of True Blue LA. The opinions reflected in this post do not necessarily reflect those of True Blue LA, its authors or editors.